2014 Annual Meeting Program Agenda

National Weather Association
39th Annual Meeting
Sheraton Hotel, Salt Lake City, UT
October 18–23, 2014

Theme: Building a 21st Century Weather Enterprise: Facilitating Research to Operations – Optimizing Communication and Response

Authors/Presenters, please inform the Program Committee at annualmeeting@nwas.org for any corrections or changes required in the listing of your presentations or abstracts as soon as possible. Instructions for uploading your presentation PowerPoint slides, extended abstracts and posters to the NWA Web site to be linked from this final agenda are shown on the Presentation Instructions and Tips website page. See Upload Instructions, then send your file(s) on the Presentations and Extended Abstract Upload webpage.

All activities are being held in the Sheraton Salt Lake City Hotel unless otherwise noted.

Click on titles of presentations to view abstracts.

A link powerpoint is provided for each presentation that is available on-line. The files are compressed, so you will need a program, such as WinZip or Stuffit, to uncompress them. Some of the presentations are large and may take a while to download.

Click on the PDF icon  [PDF file]  to view the extended abstract.


Saturday – 18 October

10:00 AM Aviation Weather Safety Seminar: Aviation Weather in the Intermountain West
The NWA Aviation Meteorology Committee invites all to attend this free valuable seminar (10 AM -1PM) specifically designed for pilots who fly in the Intermountain West. Additional details on the event and registration information can be found on the FAA Safety Registration Page.
Speakers include:
Terry Lankford, FSS Specialist (retired), Murphys, CA
Christine Kruse, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
Sarah Rogowski, NOAA/NWS/CWSU, Salt Lake City, UT
Seminar location: Kibbie Executive Terminal on the east side of SLC International airport, 337 N 2270 W, Salt Lake City UT 84116, first floor training room


11:00 AM NWA 12th Annual Scholarship Golf Outing, Stonebridge Golf Course, West Valley City, UT
Sponsored by NWA Corporate Member
Baron Services, Inc.
Contact Betsy Kling, betsykling@wkyc.com for information or to sign-up.


11:00 AM Lunch
12:30 PM Tee-off


12:00 PM Exhibit Hall Setup begins: Sundance Room


Sunday – 19 October

12:00 PM NWA Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 7:00 PM)


7:00 AM NWA Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 6:00 PM)


8:30 AM Broadcast Meteorology Workshop: Canyons Ballroom


9:00 AM Exhibits Open (Close at 6:00 PM): Sundance Room


12:00 PM Seventh Annual Student Session: Snowbird-Solitude Room and Wasatch Room


Broadcast Meteorology Workshop
Canyons Ballroom
Session Chair:
Mike Goldberg, NWA Councilor and Broadcast Meteorology Committee Workshop Chair & WTVR-TV Richmond, VA

8:30 AM B1.0 Welcoming Remarks
Jeff Craven, NWA President, NOAA/NWS, Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI


8:35 AM B1.1 Opening Remarks
Miles Muzio, NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee Chair & KBAK-TV
Bakersfield, CA
Mike Goldberg, NWA Councilor and Broadcast Meteorology Committee Workshop Chair & WTVR-TV Richmond, VA


8:45 AM powerpoint    B1.2 Welcome to Salt Lake City
Kevin Eubank, KSL-TV, Salt Lake City, UT


9:00 AM powerpoint    B1.3 Storm Prediction Center Risk Communication: Recent Changes and Future Plans
William Bunting, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK


9:15 AM powerpoint    B1.4 Outlook and Warning Methodologies for the 28 April 2014 Tornado Outbreak
Alan Gerard, NWA Past President (’07), NOAA/NWS, Jackson, MS


9:30 AM B1.5 Advanced Tornado Safety Planning
Richard D. Smith, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK


9:45 AM powerpoint    B1.6 A Comparative Evaluation of Weather Graphics and Their Effect on Severe Weather Decision Making
Megan McClellan, KTEN-TV, Denison, TX
Laura Mock, WHSV-TV, Harrisonburg, VA


10:00 AM Coffee Break; Exhibits Open: Sundance Room


10:30 AM B2.0 Societal and Government Response to the 28 January 2014 Winter Storm. i.e., Atlanta SnowJam
Keith Stellman, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA


10:45 AM B2.1 Winter Weather Workshop – Precipitation Type Intricacies
Patrick Market, NWA Past President (’11), University of Missouri, Columbia, MO,
John Gagan, NWA Councilor, NOAA/NWS, Springfield, MO
Chad M. Gravelle, NOAA/NWS/Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO


11:40 AM B2.2 Climate Central Preview of Monday Luncheon
Bernadette Woods, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ


11:55 AM B2.3 Sponsor Presentation - Baron Services Inc.


12:00 PM Lunch on your own; Exhibits open Sundance Room


1:30 PM B3.0 A Review of Significant Weather Events Occurring in 2014
Greg Carbin, NWA Councilor and NWA Professional Development Committee Chair& NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK


2:15 PM B3.1 Potential Links Between Global and Regional Tropical Cyclone Trends and Climate Change
H. Michael Mogil, How the WeatherWorks, Naples, FL


2:30 PM powerpoint    B3.2 2017: The Sun Will Darken
Joe Rao, News 12 Westchester, Westchester, NY


2:45 PM powerpoint    B3.3 Easy and Quick Way to Show Viewers You Are THE Go-To Science Broadcaster in Your Market
Joe Witte, adnetNASA, Arlington, VA


3:00 PM Coffee Break; Exhibits Open: Sundance Room


3:30 PM B4.0 Broadcast Weather: Effective Messaging in the Evolving Multi-Media Landscape
Nate Johnson, WRAL-TV, Raleigh, NC


3:45 PM powerpoint    B4.1 Social Media Workshop
Frank Alsheimer, NWA Social Media Committee Chair and 2013 Annual Meeting Program Chair & NOAA/NWS, Charleston, SC
Richard D. Smith, NOAA/NWS Norman, OK Tim Brice, NOAA/NWS, El Paso, TX and Brad Panovich, WCNC-TV, Charlotte, NC


4:45 PM B4.2 Broadcast Meteorology Committee Q & A
Miles Muzio, NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee Chair & KBAK-TV, Bakersfield, CA


5:00 PM Announcements/Dinner on your own


7:00 PM DVD Swap Canyons Ballroom
Miles Muzio, NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee Chair & KBAK-TV,
Bakersfield, CA
Chris Dunn, NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee Seal of Approval Chair & KPHO-TV, Phoenix, AZ


8:30 PM Concurrent Student DVD Critique in Student Session Wasatch Room
Mike Goldberg, NWA Councilor and Broadcast Meteorology Committee Workshop Chair & WTVR-TV, Richmond, VA



Seventh Annual Student Session
Snowbird-Solitude Room
Session Co-chairs:

Kevin M. Barjenbruch, NWA Societal Impacts of Weather and Climate Committee Chair, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
Randy Graham, NWA 2014 Annual Meeting Program Chair, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT

12:00 PM Welcoming Remarks and Introduction
Janice Bunting, NWA Executive Director, Norman, OK
Jeff Craven, NWA President, NOAA/NWS, Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
Randy Graham, NWA 2014 Annual Meeting Program Chair, NOAA/NWS,
Salt Lake City, UT


12:10 PM Government Careers
Christopher Strager, Director, NOAA/NWS Central Region Headquarters, Kansas
City, MO


12:20 PM Broadcasting Careers
Kathy Sabine, KUSA-TV, Denver, CO


12:30 PM Private Sector Careers
Ken Carey, NWA Councilor, Earth Resources Technology (ERT) Inc., Laurel, MD


12:40 PM Grad School and Academic Careers
John D. Horel, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT


12:50 PM Career Track Panel Discussion
Moderator - Jennifer Henderson, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA
Panel – Christopher Strager, Director, NOAA/NWS Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO
Kathy Sabine, KUSA-TV, Denver, CO
Ken Carey, NWA Councilor, Earth Resources Technology (ERT) Inc., Laurel, MD
John D. Horel, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT


1:30 PM Sponsor Presentation - University of Oklahoma College of Atmospheric and Geographic Sciences


1:33 PM Break; Exhibits Open: Sundance Room


Student Session continues
Snowbird-Solitude Room
Session Chair
: Kevin M. Barjenbruch, NWA Societal Impacts of Weather and Climate Committee Chair, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT

1:45 PM Communication Workshop
Susan Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA
Nate Johnson, WRAL-TV/NC State University, Raleigh, NC


2:30 PM Social Media Workshop
Facilitated by NWA Social Media Committee Members
Tim S. Brice, NOAA/NWS, El Paso, TX
Richard D. Smith, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK
Trevor M. Boucher, NOAA/NWS, Nashville, TN


3:15 PM Refreshment Break; Exhibits Open: (Refreshments in Wasatch Room)


Student Session continues
Wasatch Room
Session Chair
: Dean Hazen, NOAA/NWS, Pocatello, ID

3:30 PM Speed Mentoring
Facilitated by:
Chad M. Gravelle, NOAA/NWS/Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO and the Ad Hoc NWA Mentoring Committee


5:00 PM Dinner on your own


Student Session continues
Snowbird-Solitude Room
Session Chair
: Brett E. McDonald, NOAA/NWS, Riverton, WY

6:30 PM Severe Weather Forecasting Master Class
Facilitated by:
Marc Singer, NOAA/NWS, Billings, MT
Chad M. Gravelle, NOAA/NWS/Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO
Darren Van Cleave, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT


8:15 PM Break


Student Session continues
Wasatch Room

8:30 PM Student DVD Critique (optional)
Facilitated by: Mike Goldberg, NWA Councilor and NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee Workshop Chair & WTVR-TV, Richmond, VA


Monday – 20 October

General Session

7:00 AM NWA Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 4:00 PM)


7:45 AM General Session: Canyons and Bryce Ballroom


9:00 AM Exhibits Open (Close at 6:00 PM): Sundance Room


11:45 AM Weather Briefing and NWA Announcements


2:15 PM Poster Session I: Arches Room


6:00 PM Icebreaker: Leonardo - A Contemporary Museum for Science and Culture


8:00 PM Broadcasters Dinner - Squatters Brewpub
Sponsored by Ski Utah


General Session
Canyons and Bryce Ballroom

7:45 AM Opening Remarks
Janice Bunting, NWA Executive Director, Norman, OK
Jeff Craven, NWA President, NOAA/NWS, Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
Randy Graham, NWA 2014 Annual Meeting Program Chair, NOAA/NWS, Salt
Lake City, UT


Session A1 – Building a 21st Century Weather Enterprise
Canyons and Bryce Ballroom
Session Co-chairs
: Elizabeth Page, NWA President-Elect, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
Jeffry Evans, NWA Vice President and Annual Awards Committee Chair, NOAA/NWS, Houston, TX

8:00 AM powerpoint    A1.0 Keynote Address - NWS and NOS: Partnering to Enhance Environmental Intelligence and Build Community Resilience
Dr. Louis Uccellini, Assistant Administrator for Weather Services, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and Director, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD
Mary Erickson, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service, Director for the National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science, Silver Spring, MD


9:00 AM powerpoint    A1.1 NOAA Weather-Ready Nation Update and Plans for the Future
Christopher Strager, Director, NOAA/NWS Central Region Headquarters, Kansas
City, MO
Kevin Scharfenberg, Douglas Hilderbrand and Wendy Marie Thomas NOAA/NWS,
Silver Spring, MD


9:15 AM Sponsor Presentation - Tempus Global Data


9:25 AM Coffee Break; Exhibits Open: Sundance Room


Session A2 – Special Session: Improving Communication and Societal Response - Lessons Learned from the Southeast U.S. Winter Storm of 28 Jan 2014
Canyons and Bryce Ballroom
Session Co-chairs
: John Scala, NWA Treasurer, NWA Past President (’08) and WGAL-TV Meteorologist, Lancaster, PA
Jennifer Henderson, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA

9:55 AM powerpoint    A2.0 The 2014 Southeast Winter Storms (i.e., Atlanta Snowjam)
Keith M. Stellman, Trisha D. Palmer, Steven E. Nelson, Adam K. Baker, Jason T. Deese, Jessica L. Fieux, Alexander R. Gibbs, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA


10:25 AM powerpoint    A2.1 Event and Impacts, Service and Response: The User Perspective
Christopher Grimes, Forsyth County Emergency Management, Cumming, GA


10:40 AM powerpoint    A2.2 The Public's Reliance on Warnings and Directives: A Case Study of the January 28, 2014 Winter Weather Events in Alabama and Georgia
Laura B. Myers, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL
Vankita Brown, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
Jennifer Henderson, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA
Susan Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA


11:00 AM A2.3 Panel Discussion
Moderator - John Scala, NWA Treasurer, NWA Past President (’08) and WGAL-TV Meteorologist, Lancaster, PA Panel - Keith M. Stellman, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA
Jim Cantore, The Weather Company, Atlanta, GA
Christopher Grimes, Forsyth County Emergency Management, Cumming, GA
Laura B. Myers, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL
9


11:40 AM Sponsor Presentation - Baron Services, Inc.


11:45 AM Weather Briefing and NWA Announcements


11:50 AM Lunch on your own; Exhibits open


11:50 AM Sponsored Broadcaster Lunch - Climate Central Snowbird-Solitude Room


Session A3 – Winter Weather I
Canyons and Bryce Ballroom
Session Co-chairs:

Chad M. Gravelle, NOAA/NWS/Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO
Richard J. Okulski, NWA Commissioner of Committees, NOAA/NWS, Caribou, ME

1:15 PM powerpoint    A3.0 An Investigation of Ice-to-Liquid Ratios in Varying Conditions during Freezing Rain Events
Brian L. Barjenbruch and Kristopher J. Sanders, NOAA/NWS, Topeka, KS


1:30 PM powerpoint    A3.1 The OWLeS Orographic (O2) Field Campaign: Adventures in Intense Snowstorms on the Tug Hill Plateau
W. James Steenburgh, Leah S. Campbell, Peter G. Veals, University of Utah, Salt
Lake City, UT
Justin Minder and Ted Letcher, State University of New York at Albany, Albany,
NY


1:45 PM powerpoint    A3.2 Climatological Characteristics and Orographic Enhancement of Lake-Effect storms over eastern Lake Ontario and the Tug Hill Plateau
Peter G. Veals and W. James Steenburgh, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT


2:00 PM powerpoint    A3.3 The Uber Jet and Widespread Disruptive Ice Storm of 21-23 December 2013
Lance F. Bosart, Alicia M. Bentley, Philippe P. Papin, Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences/University at Albany, Albany, NY


2:15 PM Poster Session and Exhibits (and Break): Arches-Sundance Room


Session P1 – Poster Session I Arches-Sundance Room

P1.1 The Anomalous Closed Low Patterns Responsible for the Severe Weather Outbreaks in Eastern Washington and Eastern Oregon on July 2012 and September 2013
Douglas Weber and Mary C. Wister, NOAA/NWS, Pendleton, OR



P1.2 Withdrawn - Use of Tornado Database to Assist TV Media, Emergency Managers, Risk Managers, Researchers, and National Weather Service Employees
Anthony R. Cavallucci, NOAA/NWS, Morristown, TN



P1.3 An Analysis of the 27 April 2014 Severe Weather Event: The Mayflower-Vilonia-El Paso Tornadic Storm
Christopher C. Buonanno, Willie Gilmore, Brian D. Smith, and Chuck Rickard, Sean Clarke, John A. Lewis, Charles Dalton, NOAA/NWS, Little Rock, AR



P1.4 powerpoint    The Landspout Menace: An Overview and Streamlined Process for Warning Operations
Jonathan C. Guseman, NOAA/NWS, Lubbock, TX



P1.5 An Analysis and Comparison of Two December High Shear-Low CAPE Events in Southeast South Carolina and Southeast Georgia
Wendy Sellers and Frank Alsheimer, NWA Social Media Committee Chair and NWA 2013 Annual Meeting Program Chair, NOAA/NWS, Charleston, SC



P1.6 powerpoint    An Assessment of Local Forecaster's Ability to Anticipate Convective Event Severity and Magnitude using the Hazardous Weather Outlook Product at WFO Binghamton, New York
Michael S. Evans, NOAA/NWS, Binghamton, NY



P1.7 powerpoint    Estimating Wind Speeds of Convective Storms from Tree Damage
Ernest J. Ostuno, NOAA/NWS, Grand Rapids, MI and Lee E. Frelich,
Department of Forest Resources, University of Minnesota. Minneapolis, MN



P1.8 powerpoint    New Storm Reports Page for the Storm Prediction Center Website
Richard M. Mosier, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK
Christopher J. Melick, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK



P1.9 powerpoint    [PDF file]  Moved from P1.65 The Usefulness of Winter Weather Local Storm Reports at the Storm Prediction Center
Christopher J. Melick, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK
Brandon T. Sullivan, School of Meteorology/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Richard M. Mosier and Israel L. Jirak, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK
Christopher D. McCray, Department of Atmospheric Science/Lyndon State College, Lyndon, VT



P1.10 Moved from P1.9 Lovelady, TX: A Case Study of a Tornadic Cell in a Sparse Radar Coverage Environment
Christopher M. McKinney, Brian Haines, Scott Overpeck, Dan Reilly, NOAA/NWS, Houston, TX



P1.11 Moved from P1.10 The 30 May 2013 Broken Arrow, Oklahoma Tornado - Mesoscale Environmental Clues of Tornadogenesis
James D. Aydelott, Cox Media Group/KOKI-TV, Tulsa, OK
Steven F. Piltz, NOAA/NWS, Tulsa, OK



P1.12 Moved from P1.11 NWS Think Social Training
Tim S. Brice, NOAA/NWS, El Paso, TX
Moved to 2.69 Social Media and Significant Weather



P1.13 powerpoint    The Critical Time Period in Which NWS Offices can Gain a Substantial Increase in Facebook Followers and Page Visits
Robert S. Roberts, NOAA/NWS, Morristown, TN



P1.14 powerpoint    An Effective Means of Integrating Twitter Based Reports into NWS Operations While Enhancing Public Severe Weather Awareness
Trevor M. Boucher and Tom Johnstone, NOAA/NWS, Nashville, TN
David Drobny and William Minkoff, @NashSevereWx, Nashville, TN



P1.15 powerpoint    The "Give and Takes" of Social Media, How NWS Spokane, WA is Utilizing Popular Communication Resources
Ryan M. Fliehman, NOAA/NWS, Spokane, WA



P1.16 powerpoint    Advanced Tornado Safety Planning
Richard D. Smith, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK



P1.17 powerpoint    Weather Ready Schools: Should School Hallways as Storm Shelters Be the Next Weather Safety Recommendation to be Retired?
Andrea D. Melvin and Dr. Kevin A. Kloesel, Oklahoma Climatological Survey,
Norman, OK; Richard Smith, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK;
Gayland Kitch, Emergency Management and Communications/City of Moore,
Moore, OK and Melissa K. Corbett, Oklahoma Climatological Survey/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK



P1.18 Disaster Averted: Hypothetical Tornado Paths after the El Reno Tornado of 31 May 2013
Gabriel Garfield, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, Norman, OK



P1.19 The Integrated Warning Team: A Potential Collaborative Site of Critical Participation
Jennifer J. Henderson, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA



P1.20 Withdrawn - Does storm chasing with trained professionals enhance students' classroom performance in other meteorological courses?
Sam Ng, Metropolitan State University, Denver, CO
Scott Landolt, NCAR, Boulder, CO



P1.21 powerpoint    Benefits of Establishing a Student Operated Forecast Office and Active Learning Environment for Undergraduates
Adam C. Abernathy, Jeffrey S. Fitzgerald, Kevin D. Perry, University of Utah/Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Salt Lake City, UT



P1.22 powerpoint    Increasing Your Chance of Success Beyond College in the Atmospheric Sciences
Erik M Heden, NOAA/NWS, Binghamton, NY



P1.23 A Study of the Connection Between TV Meteorologists and Their Viewers During Severe Weather Broadcasts in Missouri
Daniel M. Ebner, KRCG-TV, New Bloomfield, MO
Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO



P1.24 powerpoint    Aviation Meteorology Decision Support at the Air Traffic Control System Command Center
Michael T. Eckert and Brandon A. Smith, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC/ATCSCC, Warrenton, VA



P1.25 On-Site Decision Support Services at NY TRACON
Gordon Strassberg, William Scura, Melissa DiSpigna and Kirt Squires,
NOAA/NWS, New York CWSU, New York, NY
Jeffrey Tongue, NWA Education Committee Chair, NOAA/NWS, New York, NY
David Manning and Joshua Watson NOAA/NWS/Eastern Region Headquarters
Bohemia, NY



P1.26 Improving Terminal Area Wind Data Management, Dissemination and NWS Accessibility
Mike Richards, NTSB, Washington D.C.
Todd Lericos, NWA Aviation Meteorology Committee Chair, NOAA/NWS, Las Vegas, NV
Dan Bartlett, NTSB, Washington, D.C.



P1.27 Using VIIRS Dust Enhancements for the Issuance of Dust SIGMETs at the Aviation Weather Center (AWC)
Amanda M. Terborg, UW CIMSS/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO
Steve Miller, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO
Dan Lindsey, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO
Deb Molenar, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, Fort Collins, CO
Robert DeMaria, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO



P1.28 powerpoint    The Second First-Responders - A Lesson in Decision Support
Vernon Preston, NOAA/NWS, Pocatello, ID



P1.29 A Comparative Evaluation of Weather Graphics and Their Effect on Severe Weather Decision Making
Megan McClellan, KTEN-TV in Denison, TX,
Laura Mock, WHSV-TV, Harrisonburg, VA,
Haley Brink, WeatherNews, Norman, OK



P1.30 Providing Decision Support Services to Large-Scale Partners
Jennifer McNatt and Mark J. Wiley, NOAA/NWS/Southern Region Headquarters, Fort Worth, TX



P1.31 powerpoint    Unique Decision Support Service Opportunities for NWS WFOs in Rural Areas
Brett E. McDonald, Chris N. Jones, Kelly Allen, Katy Branham, NOAA/NWS, Riverton, WY



P1.32 Decision Support during the Extreme Winter Weather Events of 2014 across Central Alabama
Matthew E. Anderson, Holly M. Allen, Jody R. Aaron, Tara N. Goggins, Mary N. Keiser, NOAA/NWS, Birmingham, AL



P1.33 powerpoint    Center Weather Service Units and the Early Evolution of NWS Decision Support Services
Sarah Rogowski, NOAA/NWS/CWSU, Salt Lake City, UT
Scott J. Carpenter, NOAA/NWS Western Region Headquarters, Salt Lake City, UT
Susan Krippner and Robert C. Woods, NOAA/NWS/CWSU, Salt Lake City, UT



P1.34 Roadmap to Optimize Community Resilience and Response with NWS StormReady
Delyne B. Kirkham and Michael Fitzsimmons, NOAA/NWS, Elko, NV



P1.35 powerpoint    National Weather Service Impact-Based Decision Support Services in the El Paso/Ciudad Juarez Region of the U.S. / Mexico Border: Challenges and Success Stories
Jesus A. Haro, NOAA/NWS, El Paso, TX



P1.36 Spinning Up a Weather-Ready Nation: Significant Improvements Made at an NWS Weather Forecast Office
Kevin Durfee and Paul Iñiguez, NOAA/NWS, San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA



P1.37 powerpoint    Utilizing a WFO-Owned High-Resolution Mesonet to Provide Decision Support Services for Localized High Impact Events
Cynthia D. Bean, James B. Dudley, Paul Iñiguez, NOAA/NWS, San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA



P1.38 powerpoint    National Weather Service Providing Impact Decision Support Services Meeting the Needs of New and Existing Government Users
Alex O. Tardy, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA



P1.39 powerpoint    High Impact Decision Support Services Training For NWS Meteorologists
Rick Davis and Charlie Paxton, NOAA/NWS, Tampa Bay Area, FL



P1.40 NWS Fire Weather Science and Technology Program - Mitigating the Impacts of Weather on Fires, Assisting Incident Meteorologists, Savings Lives and Property
Peter B. Roohr, NOAA/NWS/OST, Silver Spring, MD
Robyn Heffernan, NOAA/NWS/OCWWS, Silver Spring, MD
Tim McClung, NOAA/NWS/OST, Silver Spring, MD
Sher Schranz, NOAA/OAR/ESRL, Boulder, CO
Phil Bothwell, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK



P1.41 powerpoint    Western Great Basin Wildfire Spread Pattern Recognition and the Hold-Over Threat Index Tool
Donald M. Dumont and Clair E. Ketchum, NOAA/NWS, Elko, NV



P1.42 powerpoint    Fire Weather Colored Forecast Matrix
Mark Struthwolf, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, Utah



P1.43 powerpoint    [PDF file]  Developing a Dataset of Wind Gust Factors to Improve Forecasts of Wind Gusts in Tropical Cyclones
Jonathan L. Blaes, NOAA/NWS, Raleigh, NC
David Glenn NOAA/NWS, Morehead City/Newport, NC
Donald Hawkins, NOAA/NWS, Wilmington, NC
Victoria Oliva, NC State University, Raleigh, NC
Ryan T. Ellis, NOAA/NWS, Raleigh, NC



P1.44 powerpoint    A Climatology of Cold Air Damming and Tropical Cyclones in the Southeast U.S.
Barrett L. Smith, NOAA/NWS, Raleigh, NC
José Garcia, North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University,
Greensboro, NC
Jordan Dale, Energetics Incorporated, Washington, DC



P1.45 powerpoint    [PDF file]  Assessing Tornadic Convection with Tropical Storm Andrea over Florida Using MRMS
Steven M. Martinaitis, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
James G. LaDue, NOAA/NWS/WDTB, Norman, OK



P1.46 Withdrawn - Analysis of Model Derived 150 mb Tropical Cyclone Core Climatology
Jonathan D. Belles, NWA Council Student Ex-Officio, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL



P1.47 powerpoint    BOTES: A Methodology for Quickly Assessing Tropical Storm Surge
Robert J. Ricks, NOAA/NWS, New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA



P1.48 Withdrawn The Superstorm of 1993: A Florida-Centric Mesoanalysis Of The Conditions Surrounding The "Storm Of The Century"
Matthew J. Bolton, Pasco-Hernando State College, New Port Richey, FL
Lauren Visin and Andrew Briscoe, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL



P1.49 Anomaly Based Weather Analysis vs. Traditional Total-field Based Weather Analysis
Jun Du, EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, College Park, MD
Weihong Qian, Peking University, Beijing, China



P1.50 powerpoint    Examining Pressure Traces of High-Impact Weather Events Using the USArray Network
Alexander A. Jacques and John Horel, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT



P1.51 powerpoint    Corpus Christi's Strongest Post-Frontal, Tropical Cyclone, and Severe Thunderstorm High Wind Events
Michael E. Buchanan, NOAA/NWS, Corpus Christi, TX



P1.52 A Technique to Alleviate Forecast Limitations Across the Western U.S.
Michael G. Stroz and Shawn Palmquist, NOAA/NWS, Eureka, CA



P1.53 Forecasting Surface Wind Gusts In Positively Stable Environments
Stas Speransky, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
James E. Lee and Steven M. Zubrick, NWA Past President (’10), NOAA/NWS, Baltimore/Washington, VA



P1.54 Exploring Ultra-high-frequency Data and Forecasts Using Non-Standardized Observations
Kyle Costello and Joby Hilliker, West Chester University, West Chester, PA



P1.55 A New Method of Calculating Vertical Motion in Isentropic Space
Micheal J. Simpson and Pat Market, NWA Past President ('11), University of Missouri, Columbia, MO



P1.56 powerpoint    Overview of the 28 January 2014 Southeast Winter Storm
Trisha D. Palmer, Adam K. Baker, Jason T. Deese, Jessica L. Fieux, Alexander R. Gibbs, Steven E. Nelson, and Keith M. Stellman, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA
S. Hunter Coleman, NOAA/NWS, Columbia, SC
Patrick D. Moore, NOAA/NWS, Greenville-Spartanburg, SC



P1.57 powerpoint    Overview of the 11-13 February 2014 Winter Storm across the Southeast
Trisha D. Palmer, Adam K. Baker, Jason T. Deese, Jessica L. Fieux, Alexander R. Gibbs, Steven E. Nelson, and Keith M. Stellman, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA
S. Hunter Coleman, NOAA/NWS, Columbia, SC
Patrick D. Moore, NOAA/NWS, Greenville-Spartanburg, SC



P1.58 Societal and Government Response to the 28 January 2014 Winter Storm, i.e., Atlanta SnowJam
Keith Stellman, Jessica L. Fieux, Steven E. Nelson, Trisha D. Palmer, Jason T. Deese, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA



P1.59 Synoptic Map Types Associated with Heavy Snowfall in Vancouver, B.C., Canada
Trevor R. Smith and Ruping Mo, Meteorological Service of Canada, Vancouver, B.C.



P1.60 powerpoint    The Impact of Convective Mode on the Morphology of Lake-Effect Snow Bands
Michael L. Jurewicz, NOAA/NWS, Binghamton, NY
Justin Arnott, NOAA/NWS, Gaylord, MI



P1.61 Analysis of 2013-14 winter probabilistic snowfall amount forecasts issued by National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington DC Weather Forecast Office
James D. Stanley, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
Kenneth Widelski, Steven M. Zubrick, NWA Past President (’10) and Diana Norgaard, NOAA/NWS, Baltimore/Washington, VA



P1.62 powerpoint    Social Media Dashboard - A Locally Developed Application
Neil Dixon, NOAA/NWS, Greenville-Spartanburg, SC



P1.63 powerpoint    Analysis of Wind Gusts for the National Digital Forecast Database
Bob Glahn and Jung-Sun Im, NOAA/NWS/MDL, Silver Spring, MDL



P1.64 powerpoint    [PDF file]  Verification of precipitating weather type forecasts in the National Digital Forecast Database and National Digital Guidance Database
Tabitha L. Huntemann, NOAA/NWS/MDL, Silver Spring, MD
Michael J. Schenk, NOAA/NWS/MDL (Retired), Silver Spring, MD
Paul Fajman, NOAA/NWS/OHD, Silver Spring, MD



P1.65 Moved to P1.9



P1.66 powerpoint    [PDF file]  Inter-comparison of the MRMS Radar QPE and Gauge Observations in a Complex Stratiform and Convective Rain Event
Stephen B. Cocks, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Jian Zhang, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Steven M. Martinaitis OU/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Kenneth Howard, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK



P1.67 powerpoint    Using MODIS Snow Cover Fractional Extent to Improve River Forecasting Models in Interior Alaska - Accelerating the R2O process
Scott D. Lindsey, NOAA/NWS, Anchorage, AK
Katrina Bennett and Jessica Cherry, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK
Benjamin Balk, AMEC, Boulder, CO



P1.68 powerpoint    Automating Temporary Point Data for Local High Resolution Models
Steve Rogowski, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
Trevor Alcott, NOAA/NWS/Western Region Headquarters, Salt Lake City, UT



P1.69 powerpoint    The Role of High Resolution Modeling in Decision Support Services Leading up to the 1 December 2011 Downslope Windstorm north of Salt Lake City, Utah
Steve Rogowski, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT



P1.70 powerpoint    Determining an Ideal Vertical Localization for Cloud Water Path Assimilation within WRF-DART
Jessica M. Tomaszewski, School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK



Session A4 – Radar I (concurrent)
Canyons and Bryce Ballroom
Session Co-chairs:

Lans Rothfusz, NWA 2007 Vice President, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Marc Singer, NOAA/NWS, Billings, MT

3:45 PM powerpoint    A4.0 Impacts of Phased Array Radar Data on the Forecaster Warning Decision Process during Severe Hail and Wind Events
Katie A. Bowden, OU/ CIMMS, Norman, OK
Pamela L. Heinselman, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Darrel Kingfield, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Rick Thomas, Department of Psychology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK


4:00 PM powerpoint    A4.1 Dual-Pol Radar and Precipitation Type during a Central Indiana Winter Storm
Daniel W. McCarthy and Chad E. Swain, NOAA/NWS, Indianapolis, IN


4:15 PM powerpoint    A4.2 The Multiple-Radar / Multiple-Sensor Severe Weather Products Best Practices Experiment in the HWT
Gregory J Stumpf, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK
James G. LaDue and Robert A. Prentice, NOAA/NWS/WDTB, Norman, OK
Matthew S. Elliott and Darrel M. Kingfield, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS,
Norman, OK


4:30 PM powerpoint    A4.3 Finescale Orographic Precipitation Variability and Gap-Filling Radar Potential in Little Cottonwood Canyon, Utah
Leah S. Campbell and W. James Steenburgh, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT


4:45 PM powerpoint    A4.4 Various Reflectivity-based Hail Size Techniques Compared to High Resolution Hail Reports
Kiel L. Ortega, OU/CIMMS NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK


Session A5 – Communication and Response (concurrent)
Snowbird-Solitude Room
Session Co-Chairs:

Jacqui Jeras, NWA Seal Recertification Chair, WJLA-TV, Arlington, VA
Nate Johnson, WRAL-TV and NC State University, Raleigh, NC

3:45 PM powerpoint    A5.0 A Comparison of Two Significant Severe Weather Events: Communication Strategies and Public Response Surrounding the 20 and 31 May, 2013 Central Oklahoma Tornadoes
Marcus D Austin, Matthew Day, Michael Scotten and Jonathan Kurtz, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK


4:00 PM powerpoint    A5.1 Drivers' Awareness of and Response to Two Significant Winter Storms Impacting Utah's Wasatch Front and the Correlation of Weather to Road Impacts During the Winter of 2012-13
Kevin M. Barjenbruch, NWA Societal Impacts of Weather and Climate Committee
Chair, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
Carol M. Werner, The University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
Randy A. Graham, NWA 2014 Annual Meeting Program Chair, NOAA/NWS, Salt
Lake City, UT
Cody D. Oppermann and Jeff A. Williams, Utah Department of Transportation,
Salt Lake City, UT
Justin P. Connolly, NorthWest Weathernet, Salt Lake City, UT
Glen A Merrill, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
Glenn Blackwelder, Utah Department of Transportation, Traffic Operations
Center, Salt Lake City, UT
Scott T. Jensen, NorthWest Weathernet, Salt Lake City, UT


4:15 PM powerpoint    A5.2 Expressing "Certainty" in Weather Forecasts and Briefings
Jennifer McNatt and Mark J. Wiley, NOAA/NWS/Southern Region Headquarters,
Fort Worth, TX


4:30 PM powerpoint    A5.3 Weather Messaging in the Evolving Multi-Media Landscape
Susan Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA
Nate Johnson, WRAL-TV and NC State University, Raleigh, NC


4:45 PM powerpoint    A5.4 Improving Decision Support Services through Effective GIS-Based Graphics
Darren Van Cleave, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT
Tom Dang, NOAA/NWS, Sacramento, CA
Matt Solum, NOAA/NWS/Western Region Headquarters, Salt Lake City, UT
William Rasch, NOAA/NWS, Sacramento, CA
Chad Kahler, Mark Loeffelbein, Leslie Wanek and Scott Carpenter, NOAA/NWS/Western Region Headquarters, Salt Lake City, UT


5:00 PM Concurrent Sessions End


6:00 PM Ice Breaker: Leonardo - A Contemporary Museum for Science and Culture


8:00 PM Annual Broadcasters Dinner – Squatters Brewpub
Sponsored by Ski Utah



Tuesday – 21 October

General Session

7:00 AM NWA Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 4:00 PM)


9:00 AM Exhibits Open (Close at 4:00 PM to tear down): Sundance Room


11:30 AM Weather Briefing and NWA Announcements


11:35 AM Women's Luncheon: Wasatch Room


2:15 PM Poster Session II: Arches Room


6:00 PM NWA Council and Committee Chairs Business Dinner Meeting: Wasatch Room


Session B1 – Evolving Services
Canyons and Bryce Ballroom
Session Co-Chairs:

Jeffrey P. Craven, NWA President, NOAA/NWS, Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
William F. Bunting, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK

8:00 AM powerpoint    B1.0 Keynote Address - UK Met Office Warnings: The Journey from Threshold to Impacts
Patricia Boyle, Met Office Liaison Officer (AFWA) US Air Force Weather Agency,
Offutt Air Force Base, NE


8:30 AM powerpoint    B1.1 Forecasting A Continuum of Environmental Threats (FACETs): Progress in Crystallizing a Paradigm Change
Lans Rothfusz, NWA 2007 Vice President, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Travis M. Smith and Christopher P. Karstens, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL,
Norman, OK
Gregory J. Stumpf, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/NWS/MDL, Norman, OK
Russell Schneider, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK


8:45 AM powerpoint    B1.2 An Early Look at the NWS National Model Blender Project
Jeffrey P. Craven, NWA President, NOAA/NWS, Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
Stephen Lord, NOAA/NWS/OST, Silver Spring, MD
Kathryn Gilbert and David Ruth, NOAA/NWS/OST/MDL, Silver Spring, MD
Tom Hamill, NOAA/OAR/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO
David Novak, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/WPC, College Park, MD
Jim Sieveking, NOAA/NWS, St. Louis, MO


9:00 AM powerpoint    B1.3 A Nation Speaks: Focus Groups Feedback on NWS Hazard Simplification
Andy Horvitz, Elliott Jacks, Vankita Y. Brown, NOAA/NWS/Office of Climate,
Water & Weather Services, Silver Spring, MD
Dr. Christopher L. Ellis, NOAA/NOS/Coastal Services Center, Charleston, SC


9:15 AM powerpoint    B1.4 NWS Impacts Based Forecast Paradigm - An Experiment
J.J. Brost, NOAA/NWS, Tucson, AZ


9:30 AM Coffee Break; Exhibits Open: Arches-Sundance Room


Session B2 – Flooding, Flash Flooding and Heavy Rain (concurrent) Canyons and Bryce Ballroom
Session Co-chairs:

Alan Gerard, NWA Past President ('07), NOAA/NWS, Jackson, MS
Lance F. Bosart, Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences/University at Albany, Albany, NY

10:00 AM powerpoint    B2.0 Improving Prediction of Heavy Rainfall with Elevated Convection
Patrick Market, NWA Past President ('11), University of Missouri, Columbia, MO
Laurel McCoy, University of Missouri and NOAA/NWS, Portland, OR
Chad M. Gravelle, NOAA/NWS/Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO
Charles Graves, NWA Councilor, Saint Louis University, St Louis, MO


10:15 AM powerpoint    B2.1 Flash Flood Causing Mechanisms of the North American Monsoon in the Sonoran Desert
Stephen W. Bieda III, NOAA/NWS, Pendleton, OR
Andrew C. Comrie, University of Arizona, School of Geography & Development,
Tucson, AZ
Michael A. Crimmins, University of Arizona, Department of Soil, Water and
Environmental Sciences, Tucson, AZ
Lee A. Byerle, United States Air Force, Maxwell AFB, AL
John J. Brost, NOAA/NWS, Tucson, AZ


10:30 AM powerpoint    B2.2 Two Major Heavy Rain/Flood Events in the Mid-Atlantic: June 2006 and September 2011
Christopher M. Gitro, NOAA/NWS Binghamton, NY
Michael S.Evans, NOAA/NWS, Binghamton, NY
Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA


10:45 AM powerpoint    B2.3 The 2014 Flash Flood and Intense Rainfall Experiment
Faye E. Barthold, NOAA/NWS/WPC and I.M. Systems Group Inc., College Park,
MD
Thomas E. Workoff, NOAA/NWS/WPC and Systems Research Group, Inc., College
Park, MD
Wallace A. Hogsett, NOAA/NWS/WPC, College Park, MD
JJ Gourley, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
David R. Novak, NOAA/NWS/WPC, College Park, MD


11:00 AM powerpoint    B2.4 The Inaugural Hazardous Weather Testbed: Hydrology (HWT-Hydro) Experiment
Race A. Clark III, CIMMS/OU/NSSL, Norman, OK
Jonathan J. Gourley and Lans Rothfusz, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Zac L. Flamig, Elizabeth Mintmire, and Brandon Smith CIMMS/OU, Norman, OK
Steven M. Martinaitis, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Yang Hong, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK


11:15 AM powerpoint    B2.5 Wave Run-Up: An Important Component of Coast Flooding

Richard J. Okulski, NWA Commissioner of Committees, NOAA/NWS, Caribou, ME
John W. Cannon, NOAA/NWS, Gray/Portland, ME
Anthony Mignone, NOAA/NWS, Caribou, ME


Session B3 – Remote Sensing - Satellite and Radar II (concurrent)
Snowbird-Solitude Room
Session Co-chairs:

David “Rusty” Billinglsey, Acting Regional Director, Western Region Headquarters, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
Elise Schultz, NWA Councilor, University of Alabama – Huntsville, Huntsville, AL

10:00 AM powerpoint    B3.0 Using GOES-R Probabilities of IFR Visibility and Ceiling for Decision Support at the Air Traffic Control System Command Center
Michael T. Eckert, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC/ATCSCC, Warrenton, VA
Amanda Terborg, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC, Kansas City, MO


10:15 AM powerpoint    B3.1 Evaluating the Usefulness and Usability of Different GOES-R Scanning Strategies at the Operations Proving Ground
Chad M. Gravelle and Kim Runk, NOAA/NWS/Operations Proving Ground, Kansas
City, MO


10:30 AM powerpoint    B3.2 The Forecasting and Monitoring of Convection Associated with Flash Flood Threats
Michael J. Folmer, University of Maryland/ESSIC/CICS, College Park, MD
Andrew Orrison, David Novak and Wallace Hogsett, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/WPC,
College Park, MD
Jamie Kibler, NOAA/NESDIS/OSPO/SAB, College Park, MD


10:45 AM powerpoint    B3.3 NOAA's Joint Polar Satellite System's Proving Ground and Risk Reduction Program - Bringing New Capabilities to Operations
Bill Sjoberg, Global Sciences and Technology, Greenbelt, MD
Dr. Mitchell Goldberg, NOAA JPSS Program, Greenbelt, MD


11:00 AM powerpoint    B3.4 Future Geostationary Weather Satellites
Jordan J Gerth, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
Timothy J. Schmit, ASPB/NESDIS, Madison, WI
Steven J. Goodman, GOES-R/NESDIS, Huntsville, AL


11:15 AM Withdrawn - B3.5 Configuration and Evaluation of a Dual-Doppler Wind Field System
Winifred C. Crawford, NWA Newsletter Editor, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL
Peter Blottman, NOAA/NWS Melbourne, Florida


11:30 AM Weather Briefing and NWA Announcements


11:35 AM Lunch on your own; Exhibits open Sundance Room


11:35 AM Women’s Luncheon: Wasatch Room


Session B4 – Severe Weather I
Canyons and Bryce Ballroom
Session Co-Chairs:

John T. Ferree, NWA Councilor, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK
Greg Stumpf, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK

1:00 PM powerpoint    B4.0 A Procedural, Philosophical, and Scientific Look at NWS Warning Services for Serial-Type QLCSs in the Ohio Valley
Ted W. Funk, NOAA/NWS, Louisville, KY


1:15 PM powerpoint    B4.1 An Examination of High-Shear/Low-CAPE QLCS Events in the Lower Ohio Valley: Environments and Vr Shear Details
Patrick J. Spoden, NWA Specialized Operational Services Committee Chair,
Daniel R. Spaeth, Christine Wielgos, Mike York and Robin R. Smith, NOAA/NWS, Paducah, KY


1:30 PM powerpoint    B4.2 Outlook and Warning Methodologies for the 28 April 2014 Tornado Outbreak
Alan Gerard, NWA Past President (’07), Chad Entremont, Daniel Lamb, Stephen
Wilkinson, NOAA/NWS, Jackson, MS


1:45 PM powerpoint    B4.3 The Meaning of an EF-Scale Standard
Jim LaDue, NOAA/NWS/WDTB, Norman, OK
Marc Levitan, NIST/National Windstorm Impact Reduction Program Office


2:00 PM powerpoint    B4.4 The Tornado Outbreak of 17 November 2013: Operational Considerations for a High Impact Event and Anticipating Tornado Development within a QLCS
Jeffrey A. Logsdon, Courtney Obergfell, Todd Holsten, NOAA/NWS, Northern Indiana, IN


2:15 PM Sponsor Presentation – University of Oklahoma College of Atmospheric and Geographic Sciences


2:18 PM Poster Session and Exhibits (and Break): Arches-Sundance Room


Session P2 – Poster Session II
Arches-Sundance Room

P2.1 powerpoint    Building Relationships to Provide Weather Education for the Deaf and Hard of Hearing
Jennifer M. Schuller-Saari, NOAA/NWS, Huntsville, AL
Trevor M. Boucher, NOAA/NWS, Nashville, TN
Suzanne Fortin, NOAA/NWS, Wichita, KS



P2.2 powerpoint    Getting the Word Out: Handling High Impact Monsoon Events In Las Vegas
Christopher Stachelski, NOAA/NWS, Las Vegas, NV



P2.3 powerpoint    Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook (EHWO): An Integrated Method to Generate and Display Weather Hazard Risk
Andy Foster, Jason Schaumann, Eric Wise, Steve Lindenberg and Mike Sutton, NOAA/NWS, Springfield, MO



P2.4 powerpoint    Using StormReady to Promote Weather Safety at Airports and Air Traffic Control Centers
Stephen A. Kearney, NOAA/NWS/CWSU, Memphis, TN



P2.5 powerpoint    WFO Norman Response to Multiple Media Requests after the 20 May 2013 EF5 Moore Tornado
Michael B. Scotten and Jonathan T. Kurtz, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK
Gabe Garfield, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK



P2.6 powerpoint    GIS in Western Region: Feeding a Growing Appetite for Graphical Content
Tom Dang, NOAA/NWS, Sacramento, CA



P2.7 powerpoint    Effective Communication for High Impact Weather Events in the Tampa Bay Region
Todd Barron, NOAA/NWS, Tampa Bay Area, FL



P2.8 Climatology of Significant Weather Events in the NWS Mount Holly, NJ Forecast Area
Alan M. Cope, NOAA/NWS, Philadelphia/Mount Holly, NJ



P2.9 powerpoint    Effective Observations of Rip Currents and Improving Forecast Operations for Southern California
C-S Wu, NOAA/NWS/OST/MDL, Silver Spring, MD
Alexander Tardy, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA
John L. Schattel, Michael E. Churma and Stephan B. Smith,
NOAA/NWS/OST/MDL, Silver Spring, MD
Noel Isla, Michael Khuat and Stephen Harrison, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA



P2.10 Numerical Validation of a Coupled Probabilistic Rip Current Model and Nearshore Wave Prediction System for South Florida
Alex Gibbs, NOAA/NWS, Miami-South Florida, FL
Gregory Dusek, NOAA/National Ocean Service/Center for Operational
Oceanographic Products and Services, Silver Spring, MD
André van der Westhuysen, IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP,College Park, MD
Scott Stripling, NOAA/NWS/NHC, Miami, FL
Samantha Huddleston, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences,
University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL
Evelyn Rivera and Jeral Estupiñán, NOAA/NWS, Miami-South Florida, FL
Harvey Seim, Department of Marine Sciences, University of North Carolina at
Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC
Roberto Padilla - IMSG at NOAA/NWS National Centers for Environmental
Prediction, College Park, MD
Pablo Santos, NOAA/NWS, Miami-South Florida, FL



P2.11 NWS Lightning Science & Technology Program - Mitigating Impacts of Lightning on Lives and Property with Total Lightning Data and Comparison to Severe Weather Events
Peter B . Roohr, NOAA/NWS/OST, Silver Spring, MD
Brian Motta, NOAA/NWS/OCWWS, Boulder, CO
Steve Goodman, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD
Phil Bothwell, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK



P2.12 powerpoint    Culture Change: Evolution of the Forecast Process
Jeffrey P. Craven, NWA President, NOAA/NWS, Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
Stephen Brueske, NOAA/NWS, Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI



P2.13 Building a Weather-Ready Nation Truly Takes a Village
Douglas C. Hilderbrand, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD



P2.14 Experimental NWS Graphical Short-Fuse Warnings
Kevin Scharfenberg, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
Brian Walawender and Derek Deroche, NOAA/NWS/Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO
Corey Piper, NOAA/NWS/Southern Region Headquarters, Fort Worth, TX



P2.15 Withdrawn - Adoption of the Incident Command System into National Weather Service Operations to Improve Communication with Emergency Management during Response to Weather Events
Troy R. Nicolini and Nancy A. Dean, NOAA/NWS, Eureka, CA



P2.16 powerpoint    Facilitated Live Instruction from Your Computer or Tablet: New Opportunities in Weather, Water, and Climate Training
Amy Stevermer, Elizabeth Page, NWA President-Elect, Lon Goldstein, Matt Kelsch, Wendy Schreiber-Abshire, NWA 2012 Vice President, Bruce Miller, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO



P2.17 powerpoint    An overview of the Collaborative Science, Technology, and Applied Research (CSTAR) program
Christopher M. Hedge, NOAA/NWS/OST, Silver Spring, MD



P2.18 powerpoint    How Facebook Is Used In Operations at National Weather Service Binghamton, NY
Erik M. Heden, NOAA/NWS, Binghamton, NY



P2.19 powerpoint    Recent Developments/Improvements in Objective Analyses of Observations/Forecasts for Localized Aviation MOS Products at the Meteorological Development Laboratory
Jung-Sun Im and Bob Glahn, NOAA/NWS/OST/MDL, Silver Spring, MD



P2.20 powerpoint    Utilization of Convection-Allowing Models to Recognize Rapidly Changing High-Impact Winter Weather Events
William R. Borghoff III and Christopher L. Franks, NOAA/NWS, Twin Cities/Chanhassen, MN



P2.21 Improving Boundary Layer and Near-Surface Temperatures Forecasts over Arid Mountainous Regions: Results from the MATERHORN Field Campaign
Jeffrey D. Massey, William J. Steenburgh, Sebastian W. Hoch and Jason C. Knievel and Eric R. Pardyjak, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT



P2.22 powerpoint    Objective Identification of Supercellular Internal Momentum Surges Using Idealized Simulations
Matthew C. Mahalik and Johannes M. Dahl, Atmospheric Science Group/Department of Geosciences/Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX
P2.23 Evaluation of Great Lakes Ice Model (GLIM) Real-time Ice Forecasts During the 2013-2014 Ice Season and an Introduction to the Great Lakes Ice Products Web Page Robert LaPlante, NOAA/NWS, Cleveland, OH
Gregory Lang, NOAA/GLERL, Ann Arbor, MI
Christopher Mello, NOAA/NWS, Cleveland, OH



P2.24 Soil Moisture Data Assimilation in the NASA Land Information System for Local Modeling Applications and Improved Situational Awareness
Jonathan L. Case, ENSCO, Inc./NASA Short-term Prediction Research and
Transition (SPoRT) Center, Huntsville, AL
Clay B. Blankenship, Universities Space Research Association/SPoRT Center,
Huntsville, AL
Bradley T. Zavodsky, NASA/MSFC/SPoRT Center, Huntsville, AL



P2.25 Improving Service through Proper Use of Convection-allowing Models
Jeffrey D. Fournier, Donald Van Dyke and Bryan Mroczka NOAA/NWS,
Tallahassee, FL



P2.26 Moved to 1.68



P2.27 Moved to 1.69



P2.28 powerpoint    Quantifying the Skill of the Global Ensemble Forecasting System in Predicting Observed Precipitation Based on 20 Years of Reforecast Data
Jonathan J. Rutz and Trevor Alcott, NOAA/NWS/Western Region Headquarters, Salt Lake City, UT



P2.29 An Update on the HRRR Model and some Recent High-impact Examples
Ed Szoke, NOAA/ESRL/GSD & CIRA, Boulder, CO
Curtis Alexander, NOAA/ESRL/GSD & CIRES, Boulder, CO
Stan Benjamin, John Brown and David Dowell, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO
Eric James, NOAA/ESRL/GSD & CIRES, Boulder, CO
Brian Jamison, NOAA/ESRL/GSD & CIRA, Boulder, CO
Steve Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO



P2.30 Withdrawn An Evaluation of the AWIPS-II Meteogram Tracking Tool at the Operations Proving Ground
Kim J. Runk and Chad M. Gravelle, NOAA/NWS/Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO



P2.31 Use of Phased Array Radar in Simulated Tornado Warning Operations
Pamela L. Heinselman, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Daphne S. LaDue, OU CAPS, Norman, OK
Darrel M. Kingfield, OU CIMMS, Norman, OK
Robert Hoffman, Institute for Human and Machine Cognition, Pensacola, FL



P2.32 powerpoint    The Utility of Considering Dual-Polarization Radar Signatures in the Tornado Warning Process
Michael L. Jurewicz and Christopher M. Gitro, NOAA/NWS, Binghamton, NY



P2.33 powerpoint    Successes of Dual Polarization Radar Technology in NWS Warning Decisions and Decision Support Services during High Impact Dust Storms, Flash Floods, and Wildfires
Tony Fuentes, NOAA/NWS, Reno, NV



P2.34 powerpoint    Analysis of Polarimetric Tornado Debris Signatures Observed by WSR-88D Associated with Significant Tornadoes
John R. Banghoff, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH
Steven E. Nelson, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA



P2.35 How Dual-Polarization Radar Improved the Identification of High Impact Phenomena due to Thunderstorms in Northern California
Stefanie L. Henry, NOAA/NWS, Sacramento, CA



P2.36 Tornado Warning Performance Leveraging Multi-Radar/Multi-Sensor Azimuthal Shear as a Diagnostic Parameter
Darrel M. Kingfield, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK



P2.37 Climate Signals Associated with High Impact Weather Events in Arkansas
Christopher C. Buonanno, John A. Lewis, Brian D. Smith, Charles Dalton, NOAA/NWS, Little Rock, AR



P2.38 Extreme spring precipitation events in Intermountain West influenced by the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation
Jason A. Phelps and Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang, Utah State University and Utah Climate Center, Logan, UT



P2.39 Utah Freeze Date Prediction Utilizing Weather Station Climatology and the Climate Forecast System Model
Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang and Robert R. Gillies, Utah State University and Utah Climate Center, Logan, UT



P2.40 Decadal Climate Research Leading to Longer-term Prediction for the Great Salt Lake Hydrological Cycle
Robert R. Gillies and Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang, Utah State University and Utah Climate Center, Logan, UT



P2.41 An Analysis of the Spring-to-Summer Transition in the West Central Missouri Plains
Rosalie G. Newberry, KOMU-TV8, Columbia, MO
Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia MO



P2.42 The Impact of a Madden-Julian Oscillation Event over Eastern North Carolina in Late June 2013
Belkys V. Melendez, NOAA/NWS, Newport/Morehead City, NC



P2.43 The Occurrence of Anomalously Cold and Warm Months in the Central USA
Max J. Nunes, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO
Jordan R. Bell, Atmospheric Science / University of Alabama - Huntsville,
Huntsville, AL; Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO



P2.44 Using the Bering Sea and Typhoon Rules to Generate Long-Range Forecasts
Joseph D. Renken, KOPN Radio, Columbia, MO
Joshua Herman and Daniel Parker, Western Illinois University, De Kalb, IL
Travis Bradshaw, Moberly Area Community College, Moberly, MO
Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO



P2.45 A Measure of the Influence of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) on Wintertime Weather Conditions in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys
Allison M. Young, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN
Tom Reaugh and Ted Funk, NOAA/NWS, Louisville KY



P2.46 Historical Connections between Great Basin Precipitation and Pacific Ocean Variability
Kimberly Smith and Courtenay Strong, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang, Utah Climate Center and Utah State University, Logan, UT



P2.47 powerpoint    Development of Springtime Climate Forecasting for the Intermountain West
Martin Schroeder, Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang and Rob Gillies, Utah Climate Center and Utah State University, Logan, UT



P2.48 powerpoint    Using GIS to Enhance Impact-based Weather Warnings
Evan B. Webb, NOAA/NWS, Grand Rapids, MI
Nathan W. Foster, NOAA/NWS, Burlington, VT



P2.49 Impact Based Decision Support Services for Beach Hazards...Improving Beach Safety along the Central California Coast in Support of a Weather Ready Nation
Larry L. Smith, NOAA/NWS, San Francisco Bay Area/Monterey, CA



P2.50 powerpoint    Oklahoma's Safe Schools 101: Assessment Process for Determining Best Available Refuge Areas
Andrea D. Melvin and Dr. Kevin A. Kloesel, Oklahoma Climate Survey/University
of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Bill White, Oklahoma Department of Emergency Management, Oklahoma City,
OK; Richard D. Smith, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK



P2.51 powerpoint    A Journey to Identify Better Refuge Areas in Schools: How Three School Districts Teamed Up with Professionals in Their Local Community
Andrea D. Melvin and Dr. Kevin A. Kloesel, Oklahoma Climate Survey/University
of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Richard D. Smith, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK
David Grizzle, Emergency Management/City of Norman, Norman, OK
Dr. Roger Brown, Norman Public Schools, Norman, OK
Dr. James Martin, Robin Hill School, Norman, OK
Dr. Tony Smith, Little Axe Public Schools, Little Axe, OK



P2.52 Subtropical and Tropical Frontal Passages: A Hawaii Perspective
Eric K. Lau, NOAA/NWS/Pacific Region Headquarters, Honolulu, HI
Jordan J. Gerth, CIMSS/SSE, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI



P2.53 Verification of Tropical Cyclone Wind Speed Probabilities
Derek Ortt, ImpactWeather, Inc., Houston, TX



P2.54 Bay of Bengal: Coupling of Pre-Monsoon Tropical Cyclones with Monsoon Onset in Myanmar
Boniface O. Fosu and Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang, Utah Climate Center and Utah State University, Logan, UT



P2.55 powerpoint    [PDF file]  Developing a Radar-Based Interrogation Guidance for Tornadic Convection Associated with Tropical Cyclones
Steven M. Martinaitis, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK



P2.56 Potential Links Between Global and Regional Tropical Cyclone Trends and "Climate Change"
H. Michael Mogil, Matt Bolton, Tracy Smith, How The Weatherworks, Naples, FL



P2.57 Withdrawn - Hazel Then and Now: Communication Lessons from NC's Last Category 4 Hurricane Nate Johnson, WRAL-TV/NCSU, Raleigh, NC



P2.58 A Simple Algorithm for Estimating Winter Storm Travel Severity Based on METAR Observations
Daniel K. Cobb Jr., NOAA/NWS, Grand Rapids, MI



P2.59 Towards a Simple Risk Based All-Hazards Warning Paradigm
Daniel K. Cobb Jr., NOAA/NWS, Grand Rapids, MI



P2.60 powerpoint    Communicating Snowfall Forecast Confidence and Dangerous Avalanche Conditions in the Sierra Nevada Mountains
Zach T. Tolby, NOAA/NWS, Reno, NV



P2.61 Interactions of Lake-effect Storms with Topography: Results from the Ontario Winter Lake-effect Systems (OWLeS) Field Campaign
Leah S. Campbell, W. James Steenburgh and Peter Veals University of Utah, Salt
Lake City, UT
Justin Minder and Ted Letcher, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY



P2.62 Development of a Winter-weather Severity Index for Road Maintenance in Indiana
Michael E. Baldwin, Kimberly Hoogewind, Chase Miller and Derrick Snyder, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN



P2.63 An Analysis of Freezing Rain Methods Across the Great Basin
Ray L. Christensen, Jeremy Michael, Clair E. Ketchum, NOAA/NWS, Elko, NV



P2.64 powerpoint    [PDF file]  Snow-Liquid Ratios over the Northern Sierra Nevada: Climatology and a Predictive Methodology
Bill M. Rasch, NOAA/NWS, Sacramento, CA
Darren Van Cleave, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT



P2.65 An Investigation of a Thundersnow Occurrence over the Phoenix Metropolitan Area on February 20th, 2013
Peter A. Speck and Dr. Bohumil M. Svoma, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO



P2.66 Synoptic and Lake-Effect Classification of Snowfall in the Lake Michigan Region: Deriving Clarity Using WRF Simulations
Alexandra L. Caruthers, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN



P2.67 Towards a More Effective and Efficient Production of the National Weather Service Local Digital Database Weather Element for Winter Mixed Precipitation-Type Environments in the Mid-Atlantic
Sierra Sult, Virginia Tech University, Blacksburg, VA
Brian J. LaSorsa, Diana Norgaard and James E. Lee, NOAA/NWS, Sterling, VA



P2.68 powerpoint    Snow Squalls: Forecasting and Hazard Mitigation
Andrew N. Loconto and Peter C. Banacos, NOAA/NWS, Burlington, VT
Gregory A. DeVoir, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA



P2.69 powerpoint    Social Media and Significant Weather
Tim S. Brice, NOAA/NWS, El Paso, NM
Hunter Coleman, NOAA/NWS, Columbia, SC



Session B5 – Multifarious I (concurrent)
Snowbird-Solitude Room
Session Co-Chairs

Paul Schlatter, NWA Councilor, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
Jonathan D. Belles, NWA Council Student Ex-Officio, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

3:45 PM powerpoint    B5.0 The Evolving NWS Western Region Regional Operations Center Services
Matt Solum, Scott Carpenter, Todd Morris, Jeff Zimmerman, Leslie Wanek, Steve Apfel, Jeff Lorens, Mike Schaffner, Scott Birch, Claudia Bell, Andrea Bair, NOAA/NWS/Western Region Headquarters, Salt Lake City, UT


4:00 PM powerpoint    B5.1 Development of a Black Ice Numerical Weather Prediction Model
Benjamin A. Toms and Yang Hong, Hydrometeorology and Remote Sensing
Laboratory (HyDROS), University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Jeffrey Basara, University of Oklahoma/Mesonet, Norman, OK


4:15 PM powerpoint    B5.2 Environmental Comparison of Supercell and Squall Line Verified Tornado Warnings and False Alarms
Jessica M. Tomaszewski, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Kevin Deitsch and Ted Funk, NOAA/NWS, Louisville, KY


4:30 PM powerpoint    B5.3 Toward Improved Understanding and Numerical Forecasting of Wintertime Stable Boundary Layers: The Persistent Cold Air Pool Study
Erik T. Crosman and John D. Horel, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT


4:45 PM powerpoint    B5.4 Precipitation in the Intermountain West - The ENSO-PDO Teleconnection
Boniface O. Fosu and Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang, Utah Climate Center and Utah State University, Logan, UT

Session B6 – Fire Weather (concurrent)
Canyons and Bryce Ballroom
Session Co-Chairs
:
John D. Horel, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
Jordan J Gerth, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI

3:45 PM B6.0 Weather and Fuel Conditions Related to the Yarnell Hill Tragedy
J. Brent Wachter, NOAA/NWS, Albuquerque, NM


4:00 PM powerpoint    B6.1 Meteorological Conditions and Decision Support Services Associated with the Yarnell Hill Fire
Andrew A. Taylor and Brian A. Klimowski, NOAA/NWS, Flagstaff, AZ
Michael J. Staudenmaier, Jr. NOAA/NWS/Western Region Headquarters, Salt
Lake City, UT


4:15 PM powerpoint    B6.2 Verification of National Weather Service Spot Forecasts Using Surface Observations
Matt Lammers and John D. Horel, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT


4:30 PM powerpoint    B6.3 The North American Monsoon's Impact on Fire Activity in the Southwestern United States
Nicholas J. Nauslar, Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV


4:45 PM powerpoint    B6.4 Impacts of Upstream Wildfire Emissions on CO, CO2, and PM2.5 Concentrations in Salt Lake City, Utah
Derek V. Mallia and John C. Lin, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT


5:00 PM Concurrent Sessions End; Exhibits Tear Down; Dinner on your own


6:00 PM NWA Council and Committee Chairs Business Dinner Meeting Wasatch Room


Wednesday – 22 October

General Session

7:00 AM NWA Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 4:00 PM)


7:45 AM Weather Briefing and NWA Announcements


9:45 AM Poster Session III: Arches Room


11:15 AM NWA Annual Awards Luncheon: Canyons and Bryce Ballroom


6:00 PM NWA Council Meeting: Wasatch Room


Session C1 – Weather-Ready Nation
Canyons and Bryce Ballroom
Session Co-Chairs:

Christopher Strager, Director, NOAA/NWS Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO
Bruce G. Thomas, NWA Immediate Past President, Midland Radio Corporation, Kansas City, MO

8:00 AM powerpoint    C1.0 Keynote - National Weather Service “Whole Office Concept” to Help Build a Weather-Ready Nation
Laura Furgione, Deputy Director, National Weather Service, National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, Silver Spring, MD


8:30 AM powerpoint    C1.1 Storm Prediction Center Risk Communication: Recent Changes and Future Plans
William F. Bunting and Russell S. Schneider, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK


8:45 AM powerpoint    C1.2 The Pathfinder Project for Collaboration on Weather for Surface Transportation
Larry Dunn, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
Ralph Patterson, Narwhal Group, Salt Lake City, UT
Paul Pisano, Federal Highway Administration, Washington, D.C.


9:00 AM powerpoint    C1.3 The National Weather Service Impacts Catalog
Kevin Scharfenberg, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
John Crockett, CIRA and NOAA/NWS Silver Spring, MD
Wendy Marie Thomas, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
John Keyes, NOAA/NWS, Pocatello, ID
Larry Dunn, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT


9:15 AM C1.4 A Review of Significant Weather Events Occurring in 2014
Greg Carbin, NWA Councilor and NWA Professional Development Committee Chair & NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK


9:45 AM Poster Session III and Coffee Break: Arches-Sundance Room


Session P3 – Poster Session III
Arches-Sundance Room

P3.1 powerpoint    Comparing Three Orographic Heavy Rainfall Events across East Tennessee
David G. Hotz, NOAA/NWS, Morristown, TN



P3.2 powerpoint    Central Missouri Extreme Heavy Rainfall and Flash Flooding on 6-7 August 2013
John P. Gagan, NWA Councilor, NOAA/NWS, Springfield, MO
Andy Boxell, Doug Cramer, Andy Foster, Michael Griffin and Megan Terry, NOAA/NWS, Springfield, MO



P3.3 The 31 May 2013 Oklahoma City Flash Flood and the Lessons Learned
Jonathan Kurtz, Kevin Brown and Steven Kruckenberg, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK



P3.4 powerpoint    The National Water Center - Supporting Operational Hydrologic Forecasting and Integrated Decision Support Services for the 21st Century
Scott D. Lindsey, NOAA/NWS, Anchorage, AK
Robert Hartman, NOAA/NWS/Acting Director Office of Hydrologic Development Donald Cline, NOAA/NWS/Hydrology Laboratory



P3.5 powerpoint    Using NOAA Atlas-14 Precipitation Recurrence Interval Data to Improve the Communication of Flood Threats in National Weather Service Flash Flood Warnings
Michael L. McLane, NOAA/NWS, Phoenix, AZ



P3.6 powerpoint    Composite Patterns Typical of Widespread Heavy Rainfall Events in the Phoenix, AZ Metropolitan Area
Michael L. McLane, NOAA/NWS, Phoenix, AZ
Paul Iñiguez, NOAA/NWS, San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA
Daniel Leins, NOAA/NWS, Phoenix, AZ



P3.7 powerpoint    Flash Flood Forecasting in Ungaged Semi-Arid Basins with a Distributed Model using Radar Data
Michael S. Schaffner, NOAA/NWS/Western Region Headquarters, Salt Lake City,
UT
Alexander Tardy, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA
Jayme Laber, NOAA/NWS, Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
Carl Unkrich and David Goodrich, USDA-ARS, Tucson, AZ



P3.8 A Review of the Flash Flood Event of August 25, 2013 in the Las Vegas Forecast Area from the Eyes of the Mesoanalyst
Stan Czyzyk and Jim Harrison, NOAA/NWS, Las Vegas, NV



P3.9 powerpoint    Lessons Learned from the 13-14 May 2014 Flash Flood Event in the Finger Lakes Region of Central New York State
Michael L. Jurewicz, NOAA/NWS, Binghamton, NY



P3.10 U.S. Flash Flooding Risk: Understanding Forecaster Challenges in Issuing Flash Flood Warnings and the Usefulness of a Flash Flood Severity Index
Jennifer J. Henderson, Virginia Tech University, Blacksburg, VA



P3.11 Rainfall-Lightning Ratio Calculations for Elevated Thunderstorms with Heavy Rainfall in Missouri
Joshua Kastman and Patrick Market, NWA Past President ('11), University of Missouri, Columbia, MO



P3.12 Customizing Hydrologic Basin Shape Files to Improve National Weather Service Flash Flood Warnings and Statements
Brittney Whitehead-Coleman and James Larosa, NOAA/NWS, Nashville, TN



P3.13 Meteorological Characteristics of Major Spring Floods in Western Montana
Chris V. Gibson, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT



P3.14 Utilizing Geographic Information Systems to Generate Flood Warning Polygons
Aisha C . Reed Haynes, NOAA Graduate Science Program Scholar and George Mason University, Silver Spring MD
Victor Hom, NOAA/NWS/Office Climate Water and Weather Services/Hydrologic Services Division, Silver Spring, MD



P3.15 Moved to P3.63



P3.16 Creating an Ensemble of Flash Flood Guidance Models to Assess Physical Flash Flood Processes and Model Skill in the Ohio River Basin
Nathan M. Barber, Tennessee Valley Authority, Knoxville, TN
Joseph Heim, NOAA/NWS/Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH



P3.17 powerpoint    Essential Parameters that Improve Lightning Forecasting Skills across the West
Paul R. Frisbie, Jeff D. Colton and Michael P. Meyers, NOAA/NWS, Grand Junction, CO



P3.18 powerpoint    Verification on the Lightning Methodology Devised by the Grand Junction NWS Forecast Office
Michael P. Meyers, Paul Frisbie, Jeffrey Colton, James Daniels and James Pringle, NOAA/NWS, Grand Junction, CO



P3.19 Moved to P3.65 - Investigation of Extreme Lightning Days in North Carolina
Gail I. Hartfield, NWA 2005 Vice President, NOAA/NWS, Raleigh, NC
Gary Lackmann, Michael Graves and Lindsey Anderson, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC



P3.20 Real time Evaluation of the Lightning Jump Algorithm in the Hazardous Weather Testbed
Kristin M. Calhoun, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK
Elise Schultz, NWA Councilor, University of Alabama – Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
Chris Schultz, NASA MSFC, Huntsville, AL
Kiel Ortega and Darrel Kingfield, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK
Larry Carey, University of Alabama – Huntsville, Huntsville, AL



P3.21 An Evaluation of Earth Network's Total Lightning and Dangerous Thunderstorm Alerts in the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed
Kristin M. Calhoun and Darrel M. Kingfield, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK
Woody Roberts, GSD, Boulder, CO
Jim Ramer, CIRA/GSD, Boulder, CO
Tiffany Meyer, CIMMS/WDTB, Norman, OK
Matthew Elliott, CIMMS/WDTB, Norman, OK
Amanda Long and Bill Callahan, Earth Networks, Germantown, MD



P3.22 Moved to P3.66 - Orographically Induced Cirrus Clouds in the Lee of the Southern Appalachian Mountains
Ryan T. Ellis, NOAA/NWS, Raleigh, NC
Lindsey Anderson, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC



P3.23 Preliminary Results from the Mississippi State/NWS Memphis Mobile Sounding Project
Jonathan L. Howell, NOAA/NWS, Memphis, TN
Matthew H. Reagan, Mississippi State University, Starkville, Mississippi



P3.24 powerpoint    Real-time Dust Storm Detection Network - A Proposal
Ken R. Waters, NOAA/NWS, Phoenix, AZ



P3.25 Assessing the Utility of 3-km Land Information System Soil Moisture Data for Drought Monitoring and Hydrologic Applications
Kristopher D. White, NOAA/NWS and NASA SPoRT, Huntsville, AL
Jonathan L. Case, NASA SPoRT / ENSCO Inc., Huntsville, AL



P3.26 WFO Las Vegas - Weather Deployment Team
Jim Harrison, Reid Wolcott, Andy Gorelow and Chris Stumpf, NOAA/NWS, Las
Vegas, NV



P3.27 powerpoint    Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Promoting Weather Education and Awareness for the Deaf and Hard of Hearing within the National Weather Service
Trevor M. Boucher, NOAA/NWS, Nashville, TN
Jennifer Schuller-Saari, NOAA/NWS, Huntsville, AL
Suzanne Fortin, NOAA/NWS, Wichita, KS



P3.28 powerpoint    Attendee Attributes for SKYWARN® Classes Taught by NWS Austin-San Antonio
Jon W. Zeitler, Aaron Treadway and Paul Yura, NOAA/NWS, Austin/San Antonio, TX



P3.29 powerpoint    NWS Spanish Outreach Pilot Project: En el National Weather Service se habla español
Robert A. Garcia, NOAA/NWS, Tampa Bay Area, FL
Logan Johnson, NOAA/NWS, San Francisco Bay Area/Monterey, CA
Krizia Negrón, NOAA/NWS, San Juan, PR
Vanessa Pearce, NOAA/NWS, Wichita, KS
Carolina Walbrun, NOAA/NWS, San Francisco Bay Area/Monterey, CA



P3.30 Moved to P3.67 - Operations to Research and Research to Operations Experiences with a North Carolina State-National Weather Service Collaborative Science, Technology, and Applied Research (CSTAR) Project
Jonathan L. Blaes, NOAA/NWS, Raleigh, NC
Gary M. Lackmann, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC



P3.31 powerpoint    The Experimental Warning Program at the Hazardous Weather Testbed: What It Means for Operations and Research
Linda Gilbert, NOAA/NWS, Louisville, KY
Kristin Calhoun, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK
Josh Boustead, NOAA/NWS, Omaha/Valley, NE
William Line, CIMMS and NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK



P3.32 Withdrawn Application of SoDARs to Examine Boundary Layer Flow in the Salt
Lake Valley
Christopher S. Foster and John Horel, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT



P3.33 NOAA's Joint Polar Satellite System's Proving Ground and Risk Reduction (PGRR) Program - New Initiatives in Response to Changing User Needs!
Bill Sjoberg, Global Sciences and Technology, Greenbelt, MD
Dr. Mitchell Goldberg, NOAA JPSS Program, Greenbelt, MD



P3.34 Verification of the GOES-R Fog and Low Stratus Products in Central California
Paul Iñiguez, NOAA/NWS, San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA
Chad M. Gravelle, NOAA/NWS/Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO



P3.35 Joint Polar Satellite System's Proving Ground Program
Mitchell D. Goldberg, Joint Polar Satellite System, Lanham, MD
Ingrid Guch and Ralph Ferraro, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, College Park, MD
Bill Sjoberg and Kathryn Shontz, Joint Polar Satellite System, Lanham, MD



P3.36 powerpoint    The Use of GOES 7.4 um Sounder Imagery for Severe Weather Detection: 2012 and 2013 Northeastern U.S. Examples
Christopher M. Gitro, NOAA/NWS, Binghamton, NY



P3.37 Results from the GOES-R Proving Ground Portion of the 2014 HWT Spring Experiment
William E. Line, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK



P3.38 NOAA Operational Satellites Products & Services: Current Status & Updates
Natalia A. Donoho, Thomas Renkevens and Matthew Seybold, NOAA/NESDIS/OSPO, College Park, MD



P3.39 The Forecasting and Monitoring of Maritime Convection in Data Poor Regions
Michael J. Folmer, University of Maryland/ESSIC/CICS, College Park, MD
Joseph Sienkiewicz, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/OPC, College Park, MD
Hugh Cobb, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NHC/TAFB, Miami, FL
Christine Schultz, NOAA Corps, Silver Spring, MD
Steven Goodman, GOES-R Program Office, Greenbelt, MD
Mitch Goldberg, JPSS Program Office, Lanham, MD



P3.40 powerpoint    An update of CIRA's GOES-R and JPSS Proving Ground NWS interactions
Ed Szoke, NOAA/ESRL/GSD & CIRA, Boulder, CO
Dan Bikos, CIRA, Fort Collins, CO
Dan Lindsey, Deb Molenar and Don Hillger, NESDIS/STAR, Fort Collins, CO
Renate Brummer, Hiro Gosden, Steve Miller and Curtis Seaman, CIRA, Fort
Collins, CO



P3.41 powerpoint    Limb Correction of RGB Composite Imagery for Improved Interpretation
Nicholas J. Elmer, University of Alabama-Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
Emily Berndt, NASA Postdoctoral Program MSFC, Huntsville, AL
Gary J. Jedlovec, NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT)
Center, NASA-MSFC, Huntsville, AL
Frank J. LaFontaine, Raytheon/SPoRT Center, Huntsville, AL
Aaron Naeger, University of Alabama-Huntsville, Huntsville, AL



P3.42 GOES-R Proving Ground Activities at WFO Cheyenne
Rebecca J. Mazur and Rob Cox, NOAA/NWS, Cheyenne, WY



P3.43 Extending Operational Forecasts of Severe Thunderstorm Environments Utilizing Climate Forecast System (CFS) Guidance
Greg Carbin, NWA Councilor and NWA Professional Development Committee Chair & NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK



P3.44 powerpoint    A Mini Supercell that Developed in Exceptionally Marginal Conditions Produces a Rare Funnel Cloud in Northwest Washington on May 5, 2014
Jay A. Albrecht, NOAA/NWS, Seattle, WA



P3.45 powerpoint    Observations of the Brookport, Illinois Tornado of 17 November 2013
Christine L. Wielgos and Patrick J. Spoden, NWA Specialized Operational Services Committee Chair, NOAA/NWS, Paducah, KY



P3.46 Withdrawn - Considerations for National Weather Service Weather Forecast Offices during Multi-Day Severe Weather Outbreaks
Gabriel Garfield, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, Norman, OK



P3.47 powerpoint    Evaluation of Optimal Low-Level Wind-Shear Characteristics for Use in Tornado Forecasting
Brian L. Barjenbruch, NOAA/NWS, Topeka, KS
Richard L. Thompson and Roger Edwards, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Storm Prediction
Center, Norman, OK



P3.48 Improving Forecasts of Violent Tornadoes through Historical Proximity Soundings
Chauncy J. Schultz, NOAA/NWS, Billings, MT



P3.49 Implications of the Fall Line Upon the Mesoscale Weather Patterns of the Atlantic Coastal Plain
Timothy M. Lynch, Impact Weather, Houston, TX



P3.50 powerpoint    A Comparison of Short-Term Severe Weather Forecasts Issued Using WarnGen/AWIPS2 vs. Probabilistic Hazard Information Threat Objects for Two Displaced-Realtime Severe Hail Events - The Human Factors Perspective
Chen Ling, University of Akron, Akron, OH
Lesheng Hua, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Christopher D. Karstens, CIMMS/OU and NOAA/NSSL
Greg Stumpf, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK



P3.51 powerpoint    Utilizing the Colorado Lightning Mapping Array (COLMA) for Forecasting Severe Thunderstorm Hail
Trenton C. Davis and Rob Cox, NOAA/NWS, Cheyenne, WY



P3.52 Moved to P3.64



P3.53 Severe Storms Services - From Innovation to Operations
John T. Ferree, NWA Councilor, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK



P3.54 A Case Study of a QLCS and its Associated Rear Inflow Jet
Adam T. Hirsch and Patrick S. Market, NWA Past President ('11), University of Missouri, Columbia, MO



P3.55 powerpoint    A Model Selection Procedure for Use in Daily Operational Forecasting
Leslie R. Colin, NOAA/NWS, Boise, ID



P3.56 powerpoint    [PDF file]  An Examination of the Impacts of Frozen Precipitation on Gauge Networks during Winter Precipitation Events
Steven M. Martinaitis, Stephen Cocks, Youcun Qi and Brian Kaney, OU/CIMMS
and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Jian Zhang and Kenneth Howard, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK



P3.57 powerpoint    [PDF file]  MRMS QPE Performance during the 2013-14 Cool Season
Stephen B. Cocks, Steven M. Martinaitis and Youcun Qi, OU/CIMMS and
NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Kenneth Howard and Jian Zhang, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Brian Kaney, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK



P3.58 Microburst Potential Tool Using the Graphical Forecast Editor
Matthew E. Anderson, Gary D. Goggins, Jessica T. Chance, NOAA/NWS, Huntsville, AL



P3.59 The use of Enstrophy-based Diagnostics in an Ensemble during Two Blocking Events
Andrew D. Jensen and Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO



P3.60 Calculating the Probability of Exceedance of Any Precipitation Threshold from NWS POP and QPF Forecasts
William J. Martin, NOAA/NWS, Glasgow, MT



P3.61 The 500hPa Wintertime Pacific Ridge: Characteristics of Position and Intensity and its Influence on Southwest U.S. Precipitation
Jessica M. Nolte, NOAA/NWS, Phoenix, AZ



P3.62 Forecasting Gap Wind Events in Southeast Wyoming
Zach O. Finch and Christopher L. Hammer, NOAA/NWS, Cheyenne, WY



P3.63 powerpoint    Understanding the Relationship between Atmospheric Conditions, Rainfall Intensity and Hydrologic Response Corresponding to Debris Flows in High Mountain Watersheds
Lisa Verzella, Brian McInerney, Glen Merrill and Mike Seaman, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT



P3.64 powerpoint    Assessment of Environments Supportive of Discreetly Propagating Mesoscale Convective Systems in the Great Basin
Mike Seaman and Randy Graham, NWA 2014 Annual Meeting Program Chair, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT



P3.65 powerpoint    Investigation of Extreme Lightning Days in North Carolina
Gail I. Hartfield, NWA 2005 Vice President, NOAA/NWS, Raleigh, NC
Gary Lackmann, Michael Graves and Lindsey Anderson, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC



P3.66 powerpoint    [PDF file]  Orographically Induced Cirrus Clouds in the Lee of the Southern Appalachian Mountains
Ryan T. Ellis, NOAA/NWS, Raleigh, NC
Lindsey Anderson, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC



P3.67 powerpoint    Operations to Research and Research to Operations Experiences with a North Carolina State-National Weather Service Collaborative Science, Technology, and Applied Research (CSTAR) Project
Jonathan L. Blaes, NOAA/NWS, Raleigh, NC
Gary M. Lackmann, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC



11:15 AM NWA Annual Awards Luncheon: Canyons and Bryce Ballroom


Session C2 – Societal Response/Social Science
Canyons and Bryce Ballroom
Session Co-Chairs:

William B. Murray, NWA Councilor, The Weather Factory, Birmingham, AL
William Rasch, NOAA/NWS, Sacramento, CA

1:45 PM powerpoint    C2.0 Sheltering Behavior in the 20 May 2013 Newcastle-OKC-Moore Tornado
Richard D. Smith, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK


2:00 PM powerpoint    C2.1 May 20 Newcastle/Oklahoma City/Moore Tornado: Post-Disaster Assessment of Preparedness, Planning and Recovery
Alek Krautmann, Rachel Riley, Margret Boone, Monica Deming and Mark Shafer, Oklahoma Climate Survey, Norman, OK


2:15 PM powerpoint    C2.2 How People Respond: A Meta-Analysis of Tornado Warning Response Research
Nate Johnson, WRAL-TV/NC State University, Raleigh, NC


2:30 PM powerpoint    C2.3 Completing the Tornado Response Mental Model: Examining Subject Matter Expert's Warning Decision Methods and Perceptions of Relevant Public Knowledge
Elise V. Schultz, NWA Councilor, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
Marita A. O'Brien, Franciscan University of Steubenville, Steubenville, OH
Paula Tucker, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL


2:45 PM powerpoint    C2.4 Understanding and Improving Responses to Weather Messages through Communication Research
Rebecca Morss, Julie Demuth, Jeffrey Lazo, Katherine Dickinson and Heather Lazrus, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO
Betty Morrow, SocResearch, Miami, FL


3:00 PM Refreshment Break: Arches-Sundance Room


Session C3 – Decision Support Services I (concurrent)
Canyons and Bryce Ballroom
Session Co-Chairs:

Ken Carey, NWA Councilor, Earth Resources Technology (ERT) Inc., Laurel, MD
Richard D. Smith, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK

3:30 PM powerpoint    C3.0 WFO SLC Weather Impact Catalog
Mike Seaman, Randy Weatherly, Kevin Barjenbruch, NWA Societal Impacts of Weather and Climate Committee Chair, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT


3:45 PM powerpoint    C3.1 Toward Zero Deaths: Making the Traveling Public Safer Through A Partnership Between the National Weather Service and the Idaho Transportation Department
Dean Hazen and Jeremy Schulz, NOAA/NWS, Pocatello, ID


4:00 PM powerpoint    C3.2 The Integrated Warning Team Concept - An Application to River Flooding Across the Red River of the North and the Devils Lake Basins
Peter J. Rogers, Gregory J. Gust, NOAA/NWS, Grand Forks, ND


4:15 PM powerpoint    C3.3 Using Plain English, Simple Graphics and Customer Collaboration to Reinvent the Communication of Hazardous Weather Information
James M. Maczko, NOAA/NWS, Grand Rapids, MI


4:30 PM powerpoint    C3.4 Communicating Severity of Impacts: How Bad is "Bad"?
Mark A. Fox, NOAA/NWS, Fort Worth, TX
Melissa S. Huffman, NOAA/NWS, Midland/Odessa, TX


4:45 PM powerpoint    C3.5 Enabling Scientific and Technological Improvements to Meet Core Partner Service Requirements in Alaska - An Arctic Test Bed
Gene M. Petrescu and Carven Scott, NOAA/NWS/Alaska Region Headquarters,
Anchorage, AK
James Nelson, NOAA/NWS, Anchorage, AK


5:00 PM powerpoint    C3.6 An Analysis of Wet Bulb Globe Temperature and Heat Impacts and Services in the Twin Cities Metropolitan Area
Lisa R. Schmit, NOAA/NWS, Twin Cities, MN
Matthew Ninneman, NOAA Hollings Scholar/North Carolina State University,
Raleigh, NC


Session C4 – Numerical Weather Prediction (concurrent)
Snowbird-Solitude Room
Session Co-Chairs
:
W. James Steenburgh, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
Ed Szoke, NOAA/ESRL/GSD & CIRA, Boulder, CO

3:30 PM powerpoint    C4.0 Predictability Horizons - Part I: Implications on Weather-Based Decisions
Justin M. Arnott, NOAA/NWS, Gaylord, MI
Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA


3:45 PM powerpoint    C4.1 Predictability Horizons - Part II Recent Examples from 2013-2014
Richard Grumm, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA
Justin M. Arnott, NOAA/NWS, Gaylord, MI


4:00 PM powerpoint    C4.2 Using Fractional Lake Ice and Variable Ice Thickness in the WRF-ARW to Improve Forecasts for the Northern Great Lakes
Michael R. Dutter and Todd Kluber, NOAA/NWS, Marquette, MI


4:15 PM powerpoint    C4.3 A Global WRF-based Forecast System: Implementation and Applications
Todd A. Hutchinson, WSI, Andover, MA


4:30 PM powerpoint    C4.4 Operational Use of Ensembles - Forecaster Understanding of Uncertainty
Jeffrey S. Tongue, NWA Education Committee Chair, NOAA/NWS, New York, NY
Brian A. Colle, Stony Brook University School, Stony Brook, NY


4:45 PM powerpoint    C4.5 Strengths and Weaknesses of High Resolution Numerical Weather Prediction in Precipitation Forecasting for Mountain-Desert Climate Regimes
Alex O. Tardy, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA


5:00 PM powerpoint    C4.6 A Forecast of Prolonged Inversion Episodes in the Intermountain West out to One Month
Robert R. Gillies and Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang, Utah Climate Center, Utah State University, Logan, UT


5:15 PM Concurrent Sessions End; Dinner on your own


6:00 PM NWA Council Meeting: Wasatch Room


Thursday – 23 October

General Session

7:00 AM NWA Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 3:00 PM)


11:30 AM Weather Briefing and NWA Announcements


Session D1 – Decision Support Services II and Aviation
Bryce Ballroom
Session Co-Chairs:

Todd Lericos, NWA Aviation Meteorology Committee Chair, NOAA/NWS, Las Vegas, NV
Greg Carbin, NWA Councilor and NWA Professional Development Committee Chair& NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK

8:00 AM powerpoint    D1.0 Keynote - The Meteorological Challenges of Red Bull Stratos
Don Day, Day Weather Inc., Cheyenne, WY


8:30 AM powerpoint    D1.1 INSITE - INtegrated Support for Impacted air-Traffic Environments
Brian J. Etherton, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO
Melissa Petty, CIRA and Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
Geary Layne, Paul Hamer and Michael Rabellino, CIRES/University of Colorado,
Boulder, CO


8:45 AM powerpoint    D1.2 Identifying and Communicating Hazardous Weather to General Aviation Pilots
Paul S. Suffern, Mike Richards, Brian Soper, NTSB, Washington D.C.


9:00 AM powerpoint    D1.3 NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge Impact-Based Decision Support Pilot Project
Matthew J. Moreland, Tim Erickson, Angel Montanez and Kenneth Graham, NOAA/NWS, New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA


9:15 AM powerpoint    D1.4 The Growing Role of NOAA in DHS Operations and Planning: Storm Surge et al.
Peter B . Roohr, NOAA/NWS/OST, Silver Spring, MD
Regis Walter, NOAA CIO and DHS OPS NOC, Washington, D.C.


9:30 AM Coffee Break


Session D2 – Severe Weather II
Bryce Ballroom
Session Co-Chairs
:
Michael Vescio, NWA Past President (09’), NWA Secretary, NOAA/NWS, Pendleton, OR
James G. LaDue, NOAA/NWS/WDTB, Norman, OK

10:00 AM powerpoint    D2.0 An Evaluation of Normalized Rotation Vorticity Couplets to Assess Tornadic Mesocyclone Potential
Thomas J. Turnage, NOAA/NWS, Grand Rapids, MI


10:15 AM powerpoint    D2.1 Analysis of Polarimetric Tornado Debris Signatures Observed by WSR-88D Associated with Significant Tornadoes
Steven Nelson, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA
John R. Banghoff, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH


10:30 AM powerpoint    D2.2 Analysis of the 17 November 2013 Tornado Outbreak across Central Indiana within a High-Shear/Low-CAPE Environment
Amanda J. Lee, Michael D. Ryan, Michael Koch, Crystalyne Pettet and Daniel McCarthy, NOAA/NWS, Indianapolis, IN


10:45 AM powerpoint    D2.3 The First Alabama Superoutbreak - March 21, 1932
William B. Murray, NWA Councilor, The Weather Factory, Birmingham, AL


11:00 AM powerpoint    D2.4 Landspout Tornadoes on Weak Boundaries in the Basins of Central Wyoming
Brett E. McDonald, Chris N. Jones, NOAA/NWS, Riverton, WY


11:15 AM powerpoint    D2.5 Impact Based Warning Decisions and Broadcast Media Response for the St. Charles/St. Louis County EF3 QLCS Tornado of 31 May 2013
Fred H. Glass, NOAA/NWS, St. Louis, MO


11:30 AM Weather Briefing and NWA Announcements


11:35 AM Lunch on your own


Session D3 – Winter Weather II and Flooding II
Bryce Ballroom
Session Co-Chairs:

Dean Hazen, NOAA/NWS, Pocatello, ID
Christina Crowe, NWA Weather Analysis and Forecasting Committee Chair, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

1:00 PM powerpoint    D3.0 Exploring the Utility of Downscaled SREF Grids for Generating Probabilistic Snowfall Forecasts
Glen Merrill and Randy A. Graham, NWA 2014 Annual Meeting Program Chair, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT


1:15 PM powerpoint    D3.1 Using the Froude Number to Improve Orographic Snow Forecasts in the Green Mountains of Vermont
Michael J. Muccilli, NOAA/NWS, Burlington, VT


1:30 PM powerpoint    D3.2 The Utility of Polarimetric Radar in Improving Aviation Forecasts for Winter Weather Events
Joseph C. Picca, NOAA/NWS, New York, NY
Matthew R. Kumjian, Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA
Jeffrey S. Tongue, NWA Education Committee Chair, NOAA/NWS, New York, NY


1:45 PM powerpoint    D3.3 Recent Improvements to the Medium Range and Winter Weather Product Suite at the Weather Prediction Center (WPC)
Anthony R. Fracasso, Keith Brill, Michael Schichtel, Wallace Hogsett and David Novak, NOAA/NCEP/NWS/WPC, College Park, MD


2:00 PM [PDF file]  powerpoint    D3.4 Improving MRMS Q3 Precipitation Estimation in the Western United States: Preliminary Results
Steven M Martinaitis and Youcun Qi, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Stephen Cocks, Lin Tang and Brian Kaney, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Jian Zhang, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Kenneth Howard - NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK


2:15 PM powerpoint    D3.5 A New National Weather Service Storm Surge Warning and Inundation Graphic
Robbie Berg and Jamie Rhome, NOAA/NWS/National Hurricane Center, Miami FL


2:30 PM powerpoint    D3.6 Increasing River Flooding Situational Awareness: A GIS Extent Mapping Approach
Jared S. Allen, NOAA/NWS, Jackson, MS
Derrick Jones, Mississippi Valley State University, Inna Beta, MS


2:45 PM Refreshment Break


Session D4 – Multifarious II
Bryce Ballroom
Session Co-Chairs:

Pat Market, NWA Past President ('11), University of Missouri, Columbia, MO
J.J. Brost, NOAA/NWS, Tucson, AZ

3:15 PM powerpoint    D4.0 Synoptic Windstorms on the Southern Great Plains
Justyn D. Jackson and T. Todd Lindley, NOAA/NWS, Amarillo, TX
Todd A. Beal, NOAA/NWS, Corpus Christi, TX


3:30 PM powerpoint    D4.1 Recent Advancements from the Research-to-Operations (R2O) Process at HMT-WPC
Thomas E. Workoff, SRG, Inc. and NOAA/NCEP/WPC, College Park, MD
Faye E. Barthold, IMSG and NOAA/NCEP/WPC, College Park, MD
Michael J. Bodner and David R. Novak, NOAA/NCEP/WPC, College Park, MD
Brad Ferrier, IMSG and NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD
Wallace Hogsett, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD


3:45 PM powerpoint    D4.2 Findings from the 2014 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Experiment
Christopher D. Karstens, OU/CIMMS NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
Greg Stumpf, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/NWS/MDL, Norman, OK
Darrel Kingfield, OU/CIMMS NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
Chen Ling and Lesheng Hua, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Travis Smith, James Correia, Kristin Calhoun, Kiel Ortega, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
Christopher J. Melick, OU/CIMMS and NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK
Lans P. Rothfusz, NWA 2007 Vice President, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK


4:00 PM powerpoint    D4.3 NOAA/NWS Western Region Heat Impact Level Project
Michael J. Staudenmaier, NOAA/NWS/Western Region Headquarters, Salt Lake
City, UT
Paul Iñiguez, NOAA/NWS, San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA
William Rasch, NOAA/NWS, Sacramento, CA
Darren Van Cleave, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT


4:15 PM powerpoint    D4.4 Bringing Weather Ready Nation into Operations: An Operational Test-bed in Northern California
William Rasch, NOAA/NWS, Sacramento, CA
Paul Iñiguez, NOAA/NWS, San Joaquin Valley/Hanford, CA
Mel Nordquist, OAA/NWS, Eureka, CA
Warren Blier, NOAA/NWS, San Francisco Bay Area/Monterey, CA


4:30 PM powerpoint    D4.5 A Revolutionary New Look at Training Practices at National Weather Service Weather Forecast Offices
Marc Singer, NOAA/NWS, Billings, MT


4:45 PM powerpoint    D4.6 Unconventional Diurnal Trends of Relative Humidity and Fire Behavior near Subsidence Inversions and the Top of the West Coast Marine Layer
Andrew W. Haner, NOAA/NWS, Seattle, WA


5:00 PM Closing Remarks; 39th NWA Annual Meeting adjourns


Join us at next year's 40th Annual Meeting to be held in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma during the Fall of 2015 at the Renaissance Oklahoma City Convention Center Hotel. Meetings will be held next door in the Cox Convention Center.

Return to main meeting page at http://www.nwas.org/meetings/nwa2014 for other information regarding the 39th Annual Meeting.