Program Agenda

National Weather Association
37th Annual Meeting
Monona Terrace Convention Center, Madison, Wisconsin
October 6-11, 2012

Full Meeting Sponsors:
Weather Central, LP and WSI Corporation

Theme: "Synthesizing Weather Information for Society: From Observations to Action across our Communities".

See the main meeting page http://www.nwas.org/meetings/nwa2012/ for information on the meeting hotels, exhibits, sponsorships, registration and more

Presenters, please inform the Annual Meeting Program Committee at annualmeeting@nwas.org on any changes in your plans that might affect this agenda schedule. Instructions for forwarding your presentation PowerPoint slides, preprints/extended abstracts, poster summary slides and posters via FTP are at http://www.nwas.org/meetings/ftp_instructions.php Presentation tips are at: http://www.nwas.org/meetings/tips.php.

All activities will be held in the Monona Terrace Convention Center unless otherwise noted.

This agenda is being updated with available presentation slides and posters after the presentations have been given at the meeting. Extended abstracts will also be accepted for posting/linking up through 9 December 2012.

Click on the blue title of the presentation/poster to view the abstract. Some abstracts are not available.

A link powerpoint is provided for each presentation that is available on-line. The files are compressed, so you will need a program, such as WinZip or Stuffit, to uncompress them. Some of the presentations are large and may take a while to download.

Click on the PDF icon  [PDF file]  to view the extended abstract.


Saturday, 6 October 2012

9:00am WINGS Fly-In Seminar: Aviation Weather in the Upper Midwest
The NWA Aviation Meteorology Committee invites all to attend this valuable seminar which is specifically designed for pilots who fly in the upper Midwest. Rich Mamrosh, NWS Forecast Office, Green Bay, WI will talk about how the Great Lakes affect the local weather. Marcia Cronce, NWS Forecast Office, Milwaukee, WI will present valuable information on interpreting weather radar and satellite imagery. And, noted author and retired FSS Specialist Terry Lankford, will discuss how to improve understanding of aviation weather forecasts.
Special thanks to Wisconsin Aviation for hosting this seminar at the General Aviation Terminal, Madison, WI. Full details and online registration at Web site: http://www.faasafety.gov/SPANS/event_details.aspx?eid=46141&caller=/SPANS/events/EventList.aspx

11:00am NWA Tenth Annual Scholarship Golf Outing, Yahara Hills West Golf Course, Madison, WI.
Tee times begin at 12:00noon. Presented by NWA Corporate Member Baron Services.
Contact NWA Golf Pro Betsy Kling  betsykling@wkyc.com for more information and to sign-up.
More details at http://nwa2012.com/2012/07/31/golfers-its-time-to-bring-out-the-clubs/ and http://www.cityofmadison.com/golf/yaharahills/scoreCard.cfm.

1:00pm Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 7pm)
[NWA Desk (counters 3 and 4) is located inside the Main Entrance to the Monona Terrace Convention Center level 4]



1:00pm Exhibit Room Setup: Hall of Ideas


Sunday, 7 October 2012

7:00am Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 6pm)


8:30am Broadcast Meteorology Workshop: Ballroom A


9:00am Exhibits Open: Hall of Ideas


12:00pm Fifth Annual Student Session: Ballroom C


Broadcast Meteorology Workshop: Ballroom A

8:30am R1.0 Welcoming Remarks
Bruce Thomas, NWA President-Elect, Midland Radio Corporation, Kansas City, MO


8:35am R1.1 Opening Remarks
Nick Walker, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA and NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee Chair and Mike Goldberg, WRIC-TV, Richmond, VA and NWA Broadcast Meteorology Workshop Chair


8:45am powerpoint    R1.2 Welcome to Madison
Brian Olson, WKOW-TV Madison, WI


9:00am powerpoint    R1.3 Weathercaster Effectiveness: The Role of Gesturing in Forecast Attention and Retention
Jay Trobec, Chief Meteorologist, KELO-TV Sioux Falls, SD


9:15am R1.4 Choose Your Words
Alan Sealls, Chief Meteorologist, WKRG-TV Mobile, AL


9:30am powerpoint    R1.5 Connecting Warnings to Action: Preparing a More Informed Community
Josh Johnson, WSFA-TV, Montgomery, AL


9:45am powerpoint    R1.6 Framing the Picture: Historical Context of Weather Events
Michael Timlin, Midwestern Regional Climate Center, Illinois State Water Survey, Champaign, IL


10:00am Coffee Break. Exhibits Open in Hall of Ideas


10:30am powerpoint    R2.0 Severe Weather Workshop
Greg Carbin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK


11:30am powerpoint    R2.1 A Review of Significant Weather Events Occurring in 2012
Greg Carbin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK


12:00pm Lunch on your own


1:30pm powerpoint    R3.0 Broadcaster Climate Change Education Project Update
Edward W. Maibach, Director, Center for Climate Change Communication, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

1:45pm powerpoint    R3.1 NOAA Weather Radio in the Digital Age
Bruce T. Jones, Midland Radio Corporation, Kansas City, MO

2:00pm powerpoint    R3.2 NEXRAD Data Dealiasing Problems Impacting Television Coverage of Severe Weather
Kevin B. Laws, NOAA/National Weather Service, Birmingham, AL

2:15pm powerpoint    R3.3 Operational Use of NEXRAD Dual-Polarimetric Radar Data
Dan Gallagher, Baron Services, Huntsville, AL

2:30pm powerpoint    R3.4 Enhancing Broadcaster's Severe Weather Presentations Using Dual-Polarization Radar Products, Part 1
Ray Hawthorne, Weather Central Inc., Madison, WI

2:45pm powerpoint    R3.5 Enhancing Broadcaster’s Severe Weather Presentations Using Dual-Polarization Radar Products, Part 2
Mike Massaro, Weather Services International, Andover, MA

3:00pm Coffee Break. Exhibits Open


3:30pm powerpoint    R4.0 Interactive Social Media Boot Camp - Sponsored by The Weather Channel
Renee Willet, Senior Manager of Social Media, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA
Tim Brice, Senior Meteorologist, NOAA/National Weather Service, El Paso, TX
Tiffany Sunday, NWA Social Media Committee, Emerging Tech Strategist, Dallas, TX


5:00pm Announcements/Dinner on your own


7:00pm DVD Swap
Nick Walker, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA and NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee Chair
Miles Muzio, KBAK-TV, Bakersfield, CA and NWA Broadcast Seal of Approval Committee Chair


8:30pm Student DVD Critique
Mike Goldberg, WRIC-TV, Richmond, VA and NWA Broadcast Meteorology Workshop
Chair


Student Session: Ballroom C

12:00pm S1.0 Opening Remarks
Bruce Thomas, NWA President-Elect, Midland Radio Corporation, Kansas City, MO
Jordan Gerth, 2012 NWA Annual Meeting Program Committee Chair, NWA Student Ex-Officio, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI

12:15pm powerpoint    S2.0 Government Careers
Timothy Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/CORP/ASPB, Madison, WI

12:45pm powerpoint    S3.0 Grad School/Academic Careers
Paul J. Roebber, Associate Dean for Academic Affairs, School of Freshwater Sciences, Director of Innovative Weather, UWM Distinguished Professor, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI


1:15pm powerpoint    S4.0 Private Sector Careers
Kenneth F. Carey, Director of Strategic Solutions, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc., Laurel, MD

1:45pm powerpoint    S5.0 Weather Ready Nation
Kenneth F. Carey, Director of Strategic Solutions, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc., Laurel, MD


2:15pm powerpoint    S6.0 Interactive Social Media Boot Camp - Sponsored by The Weather Channel
Renee Willet, Senior Manager of Social Media, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA
Tim Brice, Senior Meteorologist, NOAA/National Weather Service, El Paso, TX
Tiffany Sunday, NWA Social Media Committee, Emerging Tech Strategist, Dallas, TX


3:15pm Student Poster Introductions (for poster session at 6:00pm)


3:20pm S7.0 Speed Mentoring
Michael Page, Speed Mentoring Tiger Team, Broadcast Meteorology Student, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA
Details and preregister via e-mail to ensure participation at: http://nwa2012.com/2012/09/05/the-2012-nwa-student-session-will-feature-speed-mentoring-event/

4:45pm Dinner


6:00pm Student Poster Session: Hall of Ideas
Chair: Matthew Lazzara, Antarctic Meteorological Research Center/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Physical Science/Madison College, Madison, WI

P0.1 A Study of Atmospheric Teleconnective Oscillation Interactivity and Coincidence with Air Mass Type for Pittsburgh, PA
Ryan E. Adams, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA
Dr. Chad Kauffman


P0.2 A Warm Month: A Comparison of March 2012 to December 1889
Jordan R. Bell, University of Missouri at Columbia, Columbia, MO
Anthony R. Lupo


P0.3 A Case Study of Rare Long Track Tornadoes in Eastern Kentucky
Quentin Walker, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY
Tyler Binkley, Ryan Difani, Andrew Dockery, Michael Flanigan, John Thomas, and Dr. Joshua Durkee


P0.4 Fog Archive Verification for Operational and Real-time Forecasting
Jennifer Closson, Kean University, Union, NJ


P0.5 Forecast Assessment of Two Challenging Lake-Effect Snow Events in the Eastern Great Lakes Region
Brian Crow, University of Missouri at Columbia, Columbia, MO
Neil Laird and David Zaff


P0.6 The Effect of Topography on National Weather Service Cooperative Observer (COOP) Data
David Fischer, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA
Dr. Mario Majcen, and Dr. Chad Kauffman


P0.7 Remote sensing for tornado impact assessment in a remote forest ecosystem
Roberto Gomez, Kean University, Union, NJ
Tom Giordano


P0.8 Withdrawn  Extreme Cold and Precipitation Impacts on Florida Citrus Crop from 1979-2009
Michael Joshua Hackenberg, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA


P0.9 What is a Comforting Climate for persons diagnosed with Multiple Sclerosis? An analysis of multiple atmospheric variables to identify an ideal setting.
Donald Jellison Jr, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA
Dr. Chad Kauffman


P0.10 The Preparedness of University Students for a Potential Tornadic Event on Campus
Donald Jellison Jr., California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA
Dr. Mario Majcen, Dr. Chad Kauffman, and Dr. Susan Jasko


P0.12 powerpoint    The Expansion of Lightning Toolkits to Outdoor Recreation
Michael Kyle, Kean University, Union, NJ
Charles Woodrum, Karen K. Oudeman, and Ellen Bryan


P0.13 Safety Risks & Responses: Thunderstorm Hazards at the New Jersey Shore
Michael Kyle, Kean University, Union, NJ


P0.14 Prediction of Tropical Cyclogenesis using Operational, Statistical, and Dynamical Models
Jonathan Labriola, RSMAS University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL
Sharanya J Majumdar


P0.15 Comparison of Two Forecasts for Tornadoes Associated with Cold Core 500-mb Lows: Surprise and Bust
William A. LaForce, Central Michigan University, Mt. Pleasant, MI
Dr. Martin A. Baxter


P0.16 Cloud Observations and Morphology Physical & Operational Storm Environmental Chase Clues
Michael Rizzo, Kean University, Union, NJ
Nicole Peterson, Paul J. Croft, and Steven G. Decker


P0.17 Anticipating the Winter Season and Understanding Meteorological Behaviors: NAO/PNA
Renato Rodrigues, Kean University, Union, NJ
Anthony Ingato, Joseph Toth, and Paul J. Croft


P0.18 powerpoint    Analysis of Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction-Advanced (FFMP-A) Performance in Diagnosing Flash Flood Events in the Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office Area of Responsibility
Anna Schneider, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA
Stephen B. Konarik and Jason C. Elliott


P0.19 Flooding Risk, Impact, Streamflow, and Atmospheric Patterns: The Unusual Seasons of 2011-12
Devon Sepe, Kean University, Union, NJ
Paul J. Croft


P0.20 The Effect of Topography on Precipitation Amounts in Missouri
Christopher Soelle, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO
Elizabeth Blizzard and Anthony Lupo


P0.21 Evaluation of the Mount Pleasant, Michigan Urban Heat Plume
Peter Woolcox, Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, MI
Dr. Daria Kluver


P0.22 An Analysis of Numerical Weather Prediction Models used in Forecasting Hurricane Hugo
Bradrick McClam, University of Nebraska - Lincoln, Lincoln, NE


P0.23 A 20 Year Assessment of the Frequency and Intensity of McMurdo Area High Wind Events
Nicholas J. Weber, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI
David M. Rasmussen Jr., Linda M. Keller, and Matthew A. Lazzara


P0.24 powerpoint    Antarctic Climatology using Automatic Weather Stations
Carol Costanza, Antarctic Meteorological Research Center, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI
Linda Keller, Matthew Lazzara, Jonathon Thom, and Lee Welhouse


P0.25 Cloud Mass Transport from the Southern Ocean into Antarctica
Joey Snarski, Antarctic Meteorological Research Center, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI
Linda Keller, Elena Willmot, Carol Costanza, and Matthew Lazzara


P0.26 Characteristics of Large, Long-Lived Convective Systems over Subtropical South America Derived from Geostationary Satellite Imagery
Kyle Mattingly, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY

Session S8 Student Presentations: Ballroom C
Chair: Matthew Lazzara, Antarctic Meteorological Research Center/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Physical Science/Madison College, Madison, WI

7:00pm powerpoint    S8.1 Cloud Observations and Morphology: Physical & Operational Storm Environment Chase Clues
Michael Rizzo, Kean University, Union, NJ
Nicole Peterson

7:15pm powerpoint    S8.2 An Analysis of Numerical Weather Prediction Models used in Forecasting Hurricane Hugo
Bradrick McClam, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE

7:30pm powerpoint    S8.3 Antarctic Climatology using Automatic Weather Stations
Carol Costanza, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI

7:45pm powerpoint    S8.4 Characteristics of Large, Long-Live Convective Systems over Subtropical South America
Kyle Mattingly, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY

8:00pm S8.5 Forecast Assessment of Two Challenging Lake-Effect Snow Events in the Eastern Great Lakes Region
Brian Crow, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO
Neil Laird and David Zaff

8:30pm Student DVD Critique
Mike Goldberg, WRIC-TV, Richmond, VA and NWA Broadcast Meteorology Workshop
Chair


Monday, 8 October 2012

7:00am Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 4pm)


7:45am General Session: Ballroom AB


9:00am Exhibits Open: Hall of Ideas


6:00pm Icebreaker: Grand Terrace


General Session: Ballroom AB

7:00am Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 4pm)


7:45am Welcome
Bruce Thomas, NWA President-Elect, Midland Radio Corporation, Kansas City, MO
Jordan Gerth, 2012 NWA Annual Meeting Program Committee Chair, NWA Student Ex-Officio, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI

8:00am A1.0 Keynote Speaker: Reflections on one forecaster's journey through meteorology's most extraordinary 45 years--and some thoughts on where we go from here
Tom Skilling, Chief Meteorologist, WGN Radio & TV and The Chicago Tribune, Chicago, IL


Session A1: Weather Analysis and Forecasting-NWP
Co-Chairs: Jacob Beitlich, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN
Robert Aune, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/CORP/ASPB, Madison, WI

8:45am powerpoint    A1.1 The Chicago Aviation Initiative: More Than Meets the Eye
Mike Bardou, NOAA/NWS, Chicago/Romeoville, IL


9:00am A1.2 Analysis of Satellite Signatures, Pattern Recognition, and Eddy Dissipation Rate In Determining Potential Areas of Convectively Induced Turbulence
Rick Di Maio, Instructor Lewis University, Romeoville, IL


9:15am powerpoint    A1.3 Using Historical Analogs as Medium-Range Guidance for Severe Weather Episodes
Chad M. Gravelle, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, NWS Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO
Charles E. Graves, Jeffrey P. Craven, Alan E. Gerard, and John P. Gagan


9:30am powerpoint    A1.4 Using Anomalies to Forecast High-Impact Events
David L. Beachler, NOAA/NWS, Chicago/Romeoville, IL
Richard H. Grumm


9:45am Morning Break; exhibits open


Session A2: Remote Sensing-Satellite
Gary S. Wade, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/CORP/ASPB, Madison, WI
Anthony Schreiner, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI

10:15am powerpoint    Keynote Speaker
A2.0 Vision and Strategies for a Weather-Ready Nation

Kathryn Sullivan, Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Environmental Observation & Prediction / Deputy Administrator of NOAA and Acting Chief Scientist


10:45am powerpoint    A2.1 NOAA Operational Satellites, Products, & Services: Current Status & Updates from SPSD User Services
Matthew Seybold, NOAA / NESDIS, College Park, MD
Natalia Donoho and Thomas Renkevens


11:00am powerpoint    A2.2 Operational uses of the ABI (Advanced Baseline Imager) on the GOES-R series
Timothy J. Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/CORP/ASPB, Madison, WI
Mathew M. Gunshor, Kaba Bah, James J. Gurka, and Jason Otkin


11:15am powerpoint    A2.3 The GOES-R Proving Ground: User Input from the 2012 Demonstrations and Future Plans
James Gurka, NOAA/NESDIS/GOES-R, Greenbelt, MD
Steve Goodman, Timothy Schmit, Mark De Maria and Anthony Mostek


11:30am powerpoint    A2.5 VIIRS data in AWIPS: Supporting Operational Forecasters
Kathleen Strabala, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Ray Garcia, David Hoese, Eva Schiffer, Jordan Gerth, Scott Bachmeier, Liam Gumley and Dayne Broderson


11:45am Lunch Break


1:30pm powerpoint    Keynote Speaker
A3.0 NCEP Overview: Recent Advances in the Numerical Models and Service Centers

Louis Uccellini, Director of the National Weather Service's National Centers for Environmental Prediction and American Meteorological Society President, College Park, MD


Session A3: Remote Sensing-Radar
Co-Chairs: Dan Miller, NOAA/NWS, Duluth, MN
John Cintineo, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI

2:00pm powerpoint    A3.1 NEXRAD Data Dealiasing Problems Impacting Television Coverage of Severe Weather
Kevin B. Laws, NOAA/NWS, Alabama


2:15pm powerpoint    A3.2 Radar Applications for Nowcasting Lightning Cessation
Elise V. Schultz, Univ. of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
Geoffrey T. Stano, Lawrence D. Carey, and Walter A. Petersen


2:30pm powerpoint    A3.3 Developing a Winter Surface Hydrometeor Classification Algorithm for the WSR-88D Polarimetric Upgrade
Kimberly L. Elmore, OU-CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK
Heather D. Reeves, Alexander Ryzhkov, Terry Schuur, Kiel Ortega, Matthew Kumjian and John Krause


2:45pm Afternoon Break


Concurrent Session I: Ballroom A

Session B4: Tropical and Marine Weather
Co-Chairs:
Diane Cooper, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN Tim Olander, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI

3:15pm powerpoint    B4.1 CIMSS Tropical Cyclones Web Page
Dave Stettner, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Chris Velden and Tim Olander


3:30pm powerpoint    [PDF file]  B4.2 The June 30, 2011 Lake Michigan Supercell - An Overview and the Role of Terminal Doppler Radar Data in Identifying Storm Scale Features
J. J. Wood, NOAA/NWS, Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
Ricky Castro, NOAA/National Wether Service, Chicago/Romeoville, Illinois


3:45pm powerpoint    B4.3 Environmental Water Vapor and Tropical Cyclogenesis Forecasting
Derek Ortt, ImpactWeather, Inc., Houston, TX


4:00pm powerpoint    B4.4 Examining Trends in Satellite-Detected Overshooting Tops as a Potential Predictor of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification
Sarah Monette, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Christopher Velden, Kyle Griffin, and Christopher Rozoff


Session B5: Hydrology-Heavy Rain-Flooding
Co-Chairs: Diane Cooper, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN
Tim Olander, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI

4:15pm powerpoint    B5.0 The Need for Mesoscale Precipitation Discussions: The Start of MetWatch Desk Operations at the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center
Andrew Orrison, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/HPC, College Park, MD
Richard Otto, Faye Barthold, and Thomas Workoff


4:30pm powerpoint    B5.1 Evaluation and Distribution of COAMPS-TC QPFs on the Basis of Flooding Potential
Brian J. Billings, Saint Cloud State University, Saint Cloud, MN
James D. Doyle


4:45pm powerpoint     [PDF file]  B5.2 The Historic Heavy Rainfall and Flooding Events of 7-8 September 2011 across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern States
Michael L. Jurewicz, Sr., NOAA/NWS, Binghamton, NY


5:00pm B5.3 An Overview of the Historic 19-20 June 2012 Flash Flood Event in Duluth, MN and Adjacent Areas of Northern Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Brian Tentinger and Rosanne Sengenberger, NOAA/NWS, Duluth, MN
Dan Miller, Steve Gohde, and Diane Cooper


5:15pm powerpoint    B5.4 Verification and Diagnoses of Ensemble QPF Forecasts during Extreme Events in California during the HMT Winter Exercises
Brian Etherton, NOAA/ESRL/GSD/FAB
Ed Tollerud and Tara Jensen


Concurrent Session II: Ballroom B

Session C6: Winter Weather
Co-Chairs: Michael Fowle, NOAA/NWS, Aberdeen, SD
Jeffrey Craven, NOAA/NWS, Sullivan, WI

3:15pm powerpoint    C6.1 Environments Favorable for Extreme Snow Ratios across the Upper Mississippi River Valley Region
Andrew Just, NOAA/NWS, La Crosse, WI
Dan Baumgardt and Dave Schmidt


3:30pm powerpoint    C6.2 Boundary Layer Destabilization of Non-Typical Blizzard Events in the Central Plains
Jacob Beitlich, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN
Karl Jungbluth and Ken Podrazik


3:45pm powerpoint    C6.3 Climatology and Conceptual Models of Snowfall Distribution in Cold-Season Central United States Cyclones
Marty Baxter, Central Michigan University, Mt. Pleasant, MI
Phil Schumacher


4:00pm C6.4 Environments Favorable for Heavy Snow Across the Upper Mississippi River Valley Region
Dan A. Baumgardt, NOAA/NWS, La Crosse, WI
Dan Jones, Dr. Charles Graves, Chad Gravelle, and Jayson Gosselin


4:15pm powerpoint    C6.5 Development of a Winter Impact Index for the Twin Cities
Shawn DeVinny, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN
Tom Hultquist


Session C7: Fire Weather
Co-Chairs: Michael Fowle, NOAA/NWS, Aberdeen, SD
Jeffrey Craven, NOAA/NWS, Sullivan, WI

4:30pm powerpoint    C7.1 The Buildup and Operational Response to the Extreme New Mexico Wildfire Season of 2011: From Climate Variability and Synoptic Regimes to Decision Support and Customer Interactions
Deirdre Kann, NOAA/NWS, Albuquerque, NM
J. Brent Wachter


4:45pm C7.2 Large Fire Growth Influenced by Dry Slots: Case for More Consistent and Accurate Wildland Fire Nowcasting and Forecasting Utilizing Satellite Water Vapor Imagery
Fred J. Schoeffler, U.S. Forest Service Coconino N.F., AZ


5:00pm C7.3 Synthesizing Weather Information for Wildland Fire Decision Making in the Great Lakes Region
John Horel, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
Judy Pechmann and Chris Galli


5:15pm C7.4 Weather Conditions Associated with the Great Peshtigo Fire of 8 October 1871
Tom Hultquist, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN


6:00pm Icebreaker sponsored by Baron Services: Grand Terrace


7:00pm Broadcasters Dinner
(This year it's a buffet with two main dishes, salad, sides and dessert, all from a celebrated chef. Buses will transport Broadcasters to the Institutes of Discovery on the U-W Madison campus. Those who like, may tour the facility before dinner. This is going to be a real treat, but seating is limited. So make sure you get your ticket(s) when you check in at the NWA Registration/Information desk. Check out the restaurant here: http://www.steenbocksonorchard.com )

Tuesday, 9 October 2012

7:00am Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 4pm)


7:45am Weather Briefing


8:00am General Session: Ballroom AB


9:00am Exhibits Open: Hall of Ideas (final day of exhibits; closes at 4pm)


9:30am Poster Session P1: Grand Terrace East


11:45am 1st NWA Women's Luncheon sponsored by ENSCO, Inc. and WISC-TV: Capital Club, Hilton-Madison Monona Terrace Hotel


4:00pm Town Hall Meeting sponsored by Midland Radio:
Decision Maker's Perspective – Assessing Weather Impacts.
For full details see http://nwa2012.com/town-hall/.



General Session: Ballroom AB

8:00am Keynote Speaker
D8.0 Taking Predictions to the Next Level: Expanding Beyond Today’s Weather, Water, and Climate Forecasting and Projections

Louis Uccellini, Director of the National Weather Service's National Centers for Environmental Prediction and American Meteorological Society President, College Park, MD

Session D8: Severe Storms-Tornadoes-Lightning
Co-Chairs: Morgan Brooks, NOAA/NWS, Sullivan, WI
Greg Carbin, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK

8:30am D8.1 Severe Wind-Driven Hail Events: An Update on Preferred Convective Morphologies and Operational Predictability
Michael A. Fowle, NOAA/NWS/Aberdeen, SD
William A. Gallus Jr., Nicholas D. Carletta, and Daniel J. Miller


8:45am powerpoint     [PDF file]  D8.2 A Multivariable Aggregate Severe Parameter for Severe/Tornado Prediction: CWASP
Jeffrey P. Craven, NOAA/NWS Sullivan WI
Jerry Wiedenfeld


9:00am D8.3 An Examination of Tornado Outbreak Environments and Their Societal Impacts with an Emphasis on Major 2011 & 2012 Events
Russell Schneider, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center Director, Norman, OK
Andy R. Dean


9:15am powerpoint    D8.4 An Evaluation Of Convective Warning Utilization By The General Public
Dawn P. Wedig, University of North Carolina Asheville, Asheville, NC
Christopher M. Godfrey, P. Wolf, M. K. Goldsbury, and J. A. Caudill


Session P1: Poster Session
Chair: Timothy Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/CORP/ASPB, Madison, WI

9:30am Poster Introductions


9:45am Poster Session P1: Grand Terrace East


P1.1 The GOES-R Tropopause Folding Turbulence Product: Finding Clear-air Turbulence in GOES Water Vapor Imagery
Anthony Wimmers, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Calgary, AB
Wayne Feltz and Sarah Monette


P1.2 Morphing Polar-Orbiter Imagery of Cloud Products for Improved Visualization and Forecasting
Anthony Wimmers, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Calgary, AB
Andrew Heidinger


P1.3 MIMIC-TPW: Seamless Advective Blending of Total Precipitable Water Retrievals from Polar Orbiting Satellites
Anthony Wimmers, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Calgary, AB
Chris Velden


P1.4 powerpoint    Data Fusion with the GOES-R Proving Ground Convective Initiation Products in the Plains
Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA/NWS Valley/Omaha, NE
Mark R. Anderson, Jason Apke, Casey Griffin, and Adam Taylor


P1.5 Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS) Data Product Requirement Prioritization: Defining the JPSS Program's Roadmap for Future Collaboration
Kathryn Shontz, NOAA/JPSS Lanham, MD
Bill Sjoberg NOAA/JPSS, Lanham, MD
Kathryn Shontz

P1.6 The Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS) Proving Ground Program: Maximizing the Impacts of Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (NPP) and JPSS Satellite Products in Operational Environments.
Bill Sjoberg, NOAA JPSS Program
kathryn.shontz@noaa.gov


P1.7 powerpoint    Evaluation of the GOES-R Proving Ground Convective Initiation Nowcasting Products in the Plains
Jason Apke, University of Nebraska - Lincoln, Lincoln, NE
Mark R. Anderson, Dan Nietfeld, Casey Griffin, and Adam Taylor


P1.8 UW-CIMSS Satellite Products to the NWS Forecast Offices via AWIPS
Kaba Bah, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Jordan Gerth, Wayne Feltz, and Tim Schmit


P1.9 Recent VISIT and SHyMet Training: Applications of Satellite Imagery and Products to Operational Forecasting
Dan Bikos, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere / Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
Jeff Braun, Bernie Connell, Scott Lindstrom, and Scott Bachmeier


P1.10 GOES Objective Overshooting Top and Enhanced-V Signature Detection Products: Algorithm Description, Validation, and Applications
Jason Brunner, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Kristopher Bedka, Richard Dworak, Wayne Feltz, and Cecilia Fleeger


P1.11 GOES-R AWG Visibility Retrieval
Jason Brunner, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
R. Bradley Pierce and Allen Lenzen


P1.12 GOES R Proving Ground: CIMSS/NWS Sullivan 2012
Jeffrey P. Craven, NOAA/NWS Sullivan WI
Marcia R. Cronce, Steve Davis, Wayne F. Feltz, and Jordan J. Gerth


P1.13 Moved to F17.4 The 2012 GOES-R Product Demonstrations for Marine and Precipitation Applications
Michael J. Folmer, UMCP/ESSIC/CICS
Steve Goodman, Andrew Orrison, Joseph Sienkiewicz, and David Novak


P1.14 Synthetic GOES-R ABI Imagery of Hazardous Aerosols
Lewis Grasso, CIRA/Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
Don Hillger, Renate Brummer, and Robert DeMaria


P1.15 GOES-R Fog and Low Cloud Product Demonstration Within the National Weather Service Central Region
Chad M Gravelle, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, NWS Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO
Michael J Pavolonis and Corey G Calvert


P1.16 Assimilation of AIRS Radiances using GSI/WRF for Short Term Regional Forecasts
Agnes Lim, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Jim Jung, Allen Huang, and Steve Ackerman


P1.17 powerpoint    Future Improvements to Very-short-range Forecasts of the Pre-convective Environment Using Operational Geostationary Satellite Observations
William Line, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Ralph Petersen, Robert Aune, and Richard Dworak


P1.18 Current Usage and Future Prospects of Multispectral (RGB) Satellite Imagery in Support of NWS Forecast Offices and National Centers
Andrew L. Molthan, NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL
Kevin K. Fuell, John Knaff, and Thomas Lee


P1.19 SPoRT Products in AWIPS II
Matt Smith, University of Alabama at Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
Jason Burks and Kevin McGrath


P1.20 SPoRT Data in the JPSS Proving Ground
Matt Smith, University of Alabama at Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
Gary Jedlovec


P1.21  [PDF file]  Preparing for GOES-R: The Pseudo Geostationary Lightning Mapper
Geoffrey T. Stano, NASA SPoRT / ENSCO, Inc., Huntsville, AL


P1.22 powerpoint    Are Sounding Profiles from Geostationary Satellites Helping Us Yet?
Gary S. Wade, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/CORP/Advanced Satellite Products Branch (ASPB), Madison WI
James P. Nelson III, Timothy J. Schmit, Americo S. Allegrino, and Seth I. Gutman


P1.23 powerpoint    Improve Tropical Cyclone Forecasts with Hyperspectral Infrared Sounder Data
Pei Wang, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Jun Li, Tim Schmit and Jinlong Li


P1.24 Demonstration of RGB Composite Imagery at NWS Forecast Offices in Preparation for GOES-R
Kristopher White, NOAA/NWS NASA/SPoRT, Huntsville, AL
Kevin Fuell


P1.25 The use of the North Alabama Lightning Mapping Array in the real-time operational warning environment during the March 2nd, 2012 severe weather outbreak in northern Alabama
Kristopher White, NOAA/NWS NASA/SPoRT, Huntsville, AL
Geoffrey T. Stano and Brian Carcione


P1.26 A Holistic Overview of NWS Severe Weather Warnings
Patrick T. Marsh, University of Oklahoma/NSSL, Norman, OK


P1.27 Impacts of Cyclone Aila on Heavy Rain and Flooding in Bangladesh, Bhutan, NE-India and Nepal
Mohan Kumar Das, SAARC Meteorological Research Centre, Dhaka, Bangladesh
Sujit K. Debsarma


P1.28  [PDF file]  A Preliminary Examination of The Elevation Dependence of Snowfall in Northeast Pennsylvania
Michael Evans, NOAA/NWS, Binghamton, NY
Michael L. Jurewicz Jr., and Robert Ballentine


P1.29 powerpoint    Lake Effect Snowfalls and Evaluation of the Cobb Method
Seth Kutikoff, University of Nebraska - Lincoln, Lincoln, NE
Mark Anderson


P1.30 An Anomalous Anchorage Snowstorm
James Nelson, NOAA/NWS, Anchorage AK


P1.31 powerpoint    A Review of Traffic Accidents Compared with Observed Snowfall
Todd J. Shea, NOAA/NWS, La Crosse, WI


P1.32 Climatology of Tornado Outbreaks in the Eastern United States
Chris Fuhrmann, Southeast Regional Climate Center (SERCC), University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC
Chip Konrad, Jordan McLeod, Maggie Kovach, and Hillary Fox


P1.33 Withdrawn   Mapping Tornado Risk: The Scientization of Tornado Alley and Dixie Alley
Jennifer Henderson, Virginia Tech


P1.34 Unwarned Tornadoes within the National Weather Service St. Louis County Warning Area: 1995-2011
Kristopher Sanders, NOAA/National Weather Service Topeka, KS
Fred H. Glass


P1.35 The Influence of Climate on the Location and Feasibility of Solar and Wind Production
Richard Snow, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL
Mary Snow


P1.36 A User-Friendly Method for Accessing Climate Data the Central US
Michael S. Timlin, Midwestern Regional Climate Center, Champaign, IL


P1.37 The Effects of Gap and Along-Valley Flow on Surface Winds during the Terrain-induced Rotor Experiment
Brian J. Billings, Saint Cloud State University, Saint Cloud, MN
James D. Doyle and Qingfang Jiang


P1.38 Significant Ice Storms Affecting Corpus Christi, Texas
Michael Buchanan, NOAA/NWS Corpus Christi, TX


P1.39 New COMET NWP Training: Videos, NWP Matrix, Additions, and New NWP Course
Gregory P. Byrd, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
William R. Bua


P1.40 powerpoint     [PDF file]  Recent Upgrades to NASA SPoRT Initialization Datasets for the Environmental Modeling System
Jonathan L. Case, ENSCO, Inc./NASA SPoRT Center, Huntsville, AL
Frank J. LaFontaine, Andrew L. Molthan, Bradley T. Zavodsky, and Robert A. Rozumalski


P1.41 Mid-Latitude Cyclone Regime Identification for Severe Winter Storms in Missouri from 1960-2010
Katie Crandall, University of Missouri at Columbia, Columbia, MO
Patrick Market


P1.42 powerpoint    Dynamic Lightning Forecasts Derived from High Resolution, Rapid Refresh Numerical Model Data
Gary P. Ellrod, Ellrod Weather Consulting, Granby, CT
Dr. Barry H. Lynn


P1.43 powerpoint    The Pacific Coast Fog Project: A Multi-disciplinary Effort to Provide Web-based Climate Products for Ecologists
Gary P. Ellrod, Ellrod Weather Consulting, Granby, CT
Alicia Torregrosa, Cynthia Combs, and Ismail Gultepe


P1.44  [PDF file]  Performance of Gridded Maximum and Minimum Temperature Guidance and Forecasts at the National Weather Service’s Miami Forecast Office
Jeral Estupinan, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL
Eric Jenks and Andrew Kennedy


P1.45 powerpoint    The National Weather Service Operations Center: Monitoring the Pulse of the Nation's Weather
Katie Garrett, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD


P1.46 powerpoint    Exploring the Utility of Downscaled SREF Grids for Generating Probabilistic Snowfall Forecasts
Randy Graham, NOAA/NWS Salt Lake City, UT
Glen Merrill


P1.47 powerpoint    1 December 2011 Damaging Windstorm in Utah
Randy Graham, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
Steve Rogowski


P1.48 powerpoint     [PDF file]  An Analysis of BUFKIT Methodologies to Forecast Wind and Wind Gust Speed for the Upper Ohio River Valley
Thomas A. Green, Jr., NOAA/NWS Pittsburgh, PA
Richard J. Poremba


P1.49 Synoptic Probabilistic Forecasting
Richard Grumm, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA


P1.50 The Epic Eastern North American Heat-Wave of March 2012
Richard Grumm, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA
Justin Arnott


P1.51 The Structure and Life Cycle of Dry Airstreams in Mature Extratropical Cyclones
Patrick Market, University of Missouri at Columbia, Columbia, MO
Ray Wolf, John Hasse, Anthony Lupo, and John Gagan


P1.52 powerpoint     [PDF file]  Real Time Objective Verification of Convective Forecasts: 2012 HWT Spring Forecast Experiment
Christopher J. Melick, NOAA/NWS/SPC; University of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK
Israel L. Jirak, Steven J. Weiss, Andrew R. Dean, and James Correia


P1.53 A Rotor Event in Anchorage, AK
Emily Niebuhr, NOAA/NWS Anchorage, AK
Gene Petrescu


P1.54 Evaluation of Assimilating Simulated Radar and Satellite Observations During a Cool Season OSSE
Jason Otkin, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Thomas Jones, Kent Knopfmeier, and David Stensrud


P1.55 Determining Skill in Maximum and Minimum Temperature Forecasts
Philip Schumacher, NOAA/NWS Sioux Falls, SD
Kyle Weisser and Jeffrey Chapman


P1.56 powerpoint    Challenging Forecasters Through Experiential Learning
Christopher Spannagle, Warning Decision Training Branch/National Weather Service (NWS)/Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies (CIMMS) University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK, Veronica Holtz and James LaDue


P1.57 powerpoint    NASA DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM: An Investigation of High-Impact Non-Convective Wind Events Associated with Intense Extratropical Cyclones Using NASA Data Products
Sarah Trojniak, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO
Mallory Cato, Nick Elmer, Michelle Hogenmiller, and Emily Berndt


P1.58 powerpoint    Preliminary Results of a U.S. Deep South Modeling Experiment using NASA SPoRT Initialization Datasets for Operational National Weather Service Local Model Runs
Lance Wood, NOAA/NWS, Houston, TX
Jeffrey M. Medlin, Bradley T. Zavodsky, Jonathan Case, and Andrew Molthan


P1.59 powerpoint    Radar And Lightning Analyses Of Gigantic Jet-Producing Storms
Tiffany Meyer, NOAA/NWS/WDTB, Norman, OK
Timothy Lang, Steven Rutledge, Walt Lyons, Gaopeng Lu


P1.60 powerpoint    Hurricane Ernesto (2006): Frontal Influence on Precipitation Distribution
Barrett Smith, NOAA/NWS, Raleigh, NC
Jordan Dale and Gary Lackmann


P1.61 NASA/SPoRT Products for the GOES-R Proving Grounds
Kevin Fuell, University of Alabama-Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
Gary Jedlovec, Andrew Molthan, and Matt Smith


P1.62 Recent NWS Satellite Training Activities
Brian Motta, NOAA/NWS, Boulder, CO


P1.63 powerpoint    Boundary Layer Destabilization of Non-Typical Blizzard Events in the Central Plains
Jacob Beitlich, NOAA/NWS, Minneapolis, MN
Karl Jungbluth and Ken Podrazik


P1.64 Operational Fog Forecasting: GOES-R and Archive Multimodal Approach
Paul J. Croft, Kean University, Union, NJ
Alan M. Cope

P1.65 powerpoint    Weather Readiness across International Borders
Richard Okulski, NOAA/NWS, Caribou, ME
Noelle Runyan

P1.66 powerpoint    An Update on CIRA's GOES-R Proving Ground Activities
Ed Szoke, CIRA/NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO
Renate Brummer, Hiro Gosden, Steve Miller, and Mark DeMaria

Session D9: Emerging Technologies
Co-Chairs: Tim Brice, NOAA/NWS, El Paso, TX
Scott Lindstrom, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI

11:00am powerpoint    D9.1 Rapid Access to Real-Time and Forecast Products through a Web Map Service
Russell Dengel, SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Sam Batzli, Dave Parker, Nick Bearson, and Dave Santek


11:15am powerpoint    D9.2 The Storm Damage Assessment Toolkit - Storm Damage Survey Data Collection using Smartphones and Tablets
Keith Stellman, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City/Atlanta, GA
Parks Camp


11:30am powerpoint    D9.3 Leveraging New Video Conferencing Technologies for National Weather Service Decision Support
Timothy W. Troutman, NOAA/NWS Huntsville, Alabama
Corey Pieper, Tim Brice, Tom Johnstone, and Kerry Jones


11:45am powerpoint    D9.4 The DOE perspective on supporting Wind Energy with NOAA partnerships a Continuation from 2011’s agreement
Joel Cline, NOAA/NWS Liaison to DOE, Washington, D.C.


11:45am 1st NWA Women's Luncheon: Capital Club, Hilton-Madison Monona Terrace Hotel


12:00pm Lunch Break


Session D10: Weather-Ready Nation
Co-Chairs: Kenneth F. Carey, Director of Strategic Solutions, Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc., Laurel, MD
Paul Schlatter, NOAA/NWS, Washington, DC

1:30pm powerpoint    Keynote Speaker
D10.0 Building a Weather-Ready Nation: One Year In

Laura Furgione, NOAA Acting Assistant Administrator for Weather Services, Acting Director of the National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD


2:00pm D10.1 National Weather Service Weather-Ready Nation Roadmap and Pilot Projects
Chris Strager, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD


2:15pm powerpoint    D10.2 Early findings and results from the Central Region Impact Based Warnings Demonstration
Michael J Hudson, NOAA/NWS Kansas City, MO
Peter A. Browning, Kenneth Harding, Kenneth J. Galluppi, and Jessica L. Losego


2:30pm powerpoint    D10.3 NWS Operations Proving Ground Evaluating and Validating Science and Services
Kim Runk, NOAA/NWS Central Region / NWS Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO
Chad M. Gravelle and Somer Erickson


2:45pm powerpoint    D10.4 Weather Ready Nation: WFO Sterling Pilot Project: Impact-Based Decision Support Services (IDSS)
Kyle Struckmann, NOAA/NWS, Sterling, VA
Steven Zubrick, Steve Goldstein, and Kenneth Widelski


3:00pm powerpoint    D10.5 Building a Weather Ready Nation with Regional Partners: The NWS Southern Region Headquarters Regional Operations Center Pilot Project
Timothy Oram, Emergency Response Meteorologist, NOAA/NWS Southern Region Headquarters, Fort Worth, TX
Jennifer McNatt, Mark Wiley, Brian Hoeth, and Kurt Van Speybroeck


3:15pm powerpoint    D10.6 Distributed and Collaborative Simulations as a Foundation for Weather-Ready Nation Success
Dale Morris, Univ of Oklahoma/CIMMS/WDTB, Norman, OK


3:30pm Afternoon Break; exhibits close at 4:00pm


4:00pm Town Hall Meeting sponsored by Midland Radio: Decision Maker’s Perspective – Assessing Weather Impacts. See full details at: http://nwa2012.com/town-hall.



Wednesday, 10 October 2012

7:00am Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 4pm)


8:00am Weather Briefing: Ballroom AB


8:15am General Session: Ballroom AB


12:00pm NWA Annual Awards Luncheon: Ballroom CD


3:15pm Poster Session P2: Grand Terrace East


4:30pm Social Media Boot Camp: Ballroom AB


General Session: Ballroom AB

8:15am powerpoint    Keynote Speaker
E11.0 Meteorology in the Private Sector: Energy, Agriculture and Water Resources

Jon Davis, Chief Meteorologist, Chesapeake Energy, Chicago, IL


Session E11: Remote Sensing-Radar
Co-Chairs: Marcia Cronce, NOAA/NWS, Sullivan, WI
Chris Franks, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN

8:45am powerpoint    E11.1 Enhancing Weather Training Through Continual Learning Solutions
Chris Spannagle, CIMMS/WDTB Norman, OK
Clark Payne


9:00am powerpoint    E11.2 Dual Polarization Radar Tornadic Vortex Signature Best Practices
Paul Schlatter, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD


9:15am E11.3 Dual-Polarization Radar and Impact-Based Warnings: An Operational Perspective Examining the 14 April and 19 May 2012 Tornado Outbreaks
Kenneth R. Cook, NOAA/NWS, Wichita, KS


9:30am Morning Break


Session E12: Weather Review of 2012
Chair: Lee Cronce, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI

10:00am powerpoint    E12.1 A Review of Significant Weather Events Occurring in 2012
Greg Carbin, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK


Session E13: Severe Storms-Tornadoes-Lightning
Co-Chairs: Rusty Kapela, NOAA/NWS, Sullivan, WI
Lee Cronce, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI

10:30am powerpoint    E13.1 NWS Charleston, WV Pilot Project: Combining New Science and Forecasting Techniques in an Operational Environment
Chris Leonardi, NOAA/NWS, Charleston WV
Julia Ruthford, Jonathan Wolfe, and Jeffrey Hovis


10:45am powerpoint    E13.2 Using UW-Cloud Top Cooling Rates in Convective Storm Warning Experiments
Justin Sieglaff, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Lee Cronce and Wayne Feltz


11:00am powerpoint    E13.3 Evaluation of the GOES-R Proving Ground Convective Initiation Products in the Plains: Evaluation through Case Studies
Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA/NWS, Omaha, NE
Mark Anderson, Jason Apke, Casey Griffin, and Adam Taylor


11:15am E13.4 Analysis of Lightning Mapping Array Data during Severe Weather in the Mid-Atlantic
Dan Proch, NOAA/NWS, Wakefield Virginia


11:30am powerpoint    E13.5 Lightning Jump Algorithm and Relation to Thunderstorm Cell Tracking, GLM Proxy and other Meteorological Measurements
Christopher J. Schultz, Dept. of Atmospheric Science, University of Alabama at Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
Lawrence D. Carey, Daniel J. Cecil, and Monte Bateman


11:45am powerpoint    E13.6 National Lightning Safety Toolkit Updates
Timothy W. Troutman, NOAA/NWS Huntsville, Alabama
Charles Woodrum, Stephen Wilkinson, and Donna Franklin


12:00pm Awards Luncheon: Ballroom CD


Session E14: Weather Analysis and Forecasting-NWP
Co-Chairs: Trisha Palmer, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA
Alan Gerard, NOAA/NWS, Jackson, MS

2:00pm E14.1 Near-Storm Scale Numerical Models for local WFO Operations A Unique Strategy for Frequent Assessments of the Evolving Convective Threat
Peter F. Blottman, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne FL
Matthew R. Volkmer, David W. Sharp, Amanda R. Bowen and Jonathan C. Guseman


2:15pm powerpoint    E14.2 Linear Optimization as a Solution to Improve the Sky Cover Guess, Forecast
Jordan Gerth, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI


2:30pm powerpoint    E14.3 Sensitivity of Model Physics and Grid Resolution on Forecasts of Severe Convection in Convection Allowing Models
Chris Franks, NOAA/National Weather Service, Chanhassen, MN
Tom Hultquist


2:45pm Withdrawn  E14.4 Examining Verification of Precipitation Forecasts
Philip Schumacher, NOAA/NWS, Sioux Falls, SD


Session P2: Poster Session
Chair: Justin Sieglaff, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI

3:00pm Poster Introductions: Ballroom AB


3:15pm Poster Session: Grand Terrace East


P2.1 Effects of Wildfire Smoke on Air Quality in the Great Lakes Region
Frank Dempsey, Ontario Ministry of Environment, Etobicoke, ON


P2.2 CIMSS SATellite CONsensus Algorithm for Estimating the Intensity of Tropical Cyclones
Derrick Herndon, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Chris Velden and Jeff Hawkins


P2.3 Using Historical Events to Evaluate a Flash Flood Potential Index and to Define Flood Threat Areas
Amanda Martin, NOAA/NWS, Albuquerque, NM
Deirdre Kann


P2.4 Examining Trends in Satellite-Detected Overshooting Tops as a Potential Predictor of Tropical Cyclone Genesis
Sarah A. Monette, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Christopher S. Velden


P2.5 The UW-CIMSS Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Timothy Olander, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Christopher Velden


P2.7 Providing Satellite Product Support for the Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (HS3) Field Program
John Sears, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Chris Velden


P2.8 powerpoint    Use of the SWAN model for wave height forecasting at the NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office
Caroline Suffern, NOAA/NWS, Sterling, VA
Brandon P. Peloquin, Steven A. Listemaa, and Steven M. Zubrick


P2.9 powerpoint    Iowa Flood Center Tools for Forecasting and Communicating Flood Risk
Nathan Young, Iowa Flood Center/IIHR-Hdyroscience & Engineering/University of Iowa/Iowa City, Iowa
Witold Krajewski, and Larry Weber


P2.10 Meteorological and Other Factors in Turbulence Injuries on Commercial Airlines Flights
Brian J. Billings, Saint Cloud State University, Saint Cloud, MN


P2.11 Analysis of Two Turbulence Forecast Indices Using Pattern Recognition and Eddy Dissipation Rate
Rick Di Maio, Instructor Lewis University, Romeoville, IL


P2.12 Moved to F18.5 Meteorological Decision Support Services at the FAA - Air Traffic Control System Command Center (ATCSCC)
Michael Eckert, NOAA/NWS/Aviation Weather Center


P2.13 The 4-Element Low Level Turbulence Algorithm at the Air Force Weather Agency
James McCormick, UCAR, Offutt AFB, NE


P2.14 Aviation Meteorology Professional Development Activities at COMET®
Elizabeth Mulvihill Page, UCAR/COMET Boulder, CO
Gregory Byrd and Patrick Parrish


P2.15 WSR-88D Dual Polarimetric Tornadic Debris Signatures Associated with Four Weak Tornadoes in Georgia
Laura E. Belanger, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA
Steven E. Nelson


P2.16 Enhancing Broadcaster's Severe Weather Presentations Using Dual-Polarization Radar Products
Ray Hawthorne, Weather Central, LP, Madison, WI


P2.17 Radar Observations of the 9 March 2011 U.S. Central Gulf Coast Distinctive Bow Echo and Attendant Tornado-Producing Mesovortices
Jeffrey Medlin, NOAA/NWS Mobile, AL


P2.18 Leap Day 2012 Tornadoes Across Southwestern Missouri
Andy Boxell, NOAA/NWS Springfield, MO
John P. Gagan


P2.19 powerpoint    A Cloud-to-Ground (CG) Lightning Climatology for the Lake Superior Region
Michael Dutter, NOAA/NWS Marquette, MI
Steven Fleegel


P2.20 powerpoint    The Gales of September? Analysis and Customer Impacts of the 03-04 September 2010 High-Wind Event across Lake Superior
Michael Dutter, NOAA/NWS Marquette, MI


P2.21 The Catastrophic St. Louis Metropolitan Hail Storms of April 28, 2012
Fred H. Glass, NOAA/National Weather Service St. Louis, MO


P2.22 Pedagogical Challenges of Organizing a Storm Chasing Field-Trip Course
Mario Majcen, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA


P2.23 Withdrawn    The Indianapolis Severe Wind Event of 13 August 2011
Daniel McCarthy, NWS Indianapolis, IN
Sonia Mark-Flechtner


P2.24 powerpoint    Verification of a Small, Large and Giant Hail Discrimination Algorithm for Dual-Polarized WSR-88D Radars Using High Resolution Reports
Kiel Ortega, OU/CIMMS NOAA/OAR/NSSL Norman, OK
Matthew Kumjian, Alexander Ryzhkov, and John Krause


P2.25 powerpoint    An Update from the Severe Hazards Analysis and Verification Experiment (SHAVE)
Kiel Ortega, OU/CIMMS NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK


P2.26 powerpoint    The Multi-Year Reanalysis of Remotely Sensed Storms (MYRORSS) Project
Kiel Ortega, OU/CIMMS NOAA/OAR/NSSL Norman, OK
Travis Smith, Jian Zhang, Carrie Langston, and Youcun Qi


P2.27 The 2 March 2012 Tornado Outbreak: Where Tornadoes Did Not Form Across the Ohio Valley
Michael Paddock, NOAA/NWS Louisville, KY
Angela Lese


P2.28 The 22 June 2011 Churchill Downs Tornado: A Science and Impact-Based Study
Michael Paddock, NOAA/NWS Louisville, KY
Angela Lese


P2.29 powerpoint     [PDF file]  Lightning has Fallen to Third Leading Source of Storm Deaths in the U.S. Behind Tornadoes
William P. Roeder, Private Meteorologist, Rockledge, FL


P2.30 powerpoint     [PDF file]  Lightning Safety Applications Of NOAA's New Lightning Fatality Database
William P. Roeder, Private Meteorologist, Rockledge, FL
John Jensenius


P2.31 powerpoint    NWS Spaceflight Meteorology Group Weather Support in the Post Space Shuttle Era
Frank C. Brody, NOAA/NWS Spaceflight Meteorology Group, Houston, TX


P2.32 Climate Research Supporting Local Decision Support Services
Christopher C. Buonanno, NOAA/NWS WFO Little Rock, AR
John A. Lewis III, Brian D. Smith


P2.33 An Examination of Decision Support Services Provided by the NWS during Major Winter Storms
Dennis VanCleve, NOAA/NWS, Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
Marcia Cronce and Jamie Enderlen


P2.34 powerpoint    The Collaborative Transition of Unique Satellite Observations into the Operational Forecasting Environment and the Impact on Planning and Decision Support
Deirdre Kann, NOAA/NWS, Albuquerque, NM
Brian Guyer


P2.35 The Growing Role of NOAA within DHS Operations and Planning
Peter B. Roohr, NOAA/NWS/OST/PPD/SPB (Silver Spring MD) and DHS National Operations Center NOAA Desk (Washington DC)
Regis Walter, LT Matthew Glazewski, and LT Stephen Barry


P2.36 powerpoint    NWS Evaluation of Earth Networks Incorporated Total Lightning Detection Network
Peter B. Roohr, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring MD
Jonathan Blaes and Alan Cope


P2.37 Withdrawn  Mobile Weather Technology for Decision Support
David Sauter, Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM
Yasmina Raby


P2.38 powerpoint    MetEd Resources for Weather and Natural Hazard Decision Support
Amy Stevermer, UCAR/The COMET Program, Boulder, CO
Victoria Johnson, Elizabeth Page, and Wendy Schreiber-Abshire


P2.39 An Operational Strategy for Addressing the Dangers Posed by Peninsular Florida Landspouts
Matthew Volkmer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL
Peter Blottman and Jonathan Guseman


P2.40 powerpoint    Central Region Impact Based Warnings Demonstration: a Weather-Ready Nation Initiative
Michael J. Hudson, NOAA/National Weather Service Kansas City, MO
Peter A. Browning, Kenneth Harding, Kenneth J. Galluppi, and Jessica L. Losego


P2.41 powerpoint    A Local Initiative to Improve Warning Content
Patrick J. Spoden, NOAA/NWS Paducah, KY
Zachery A. Heern


P2.43 powerpoint    Improving NWA Communications
Janice Bunting, NWA Membership & Marketing Committee, Norman, OK
Frank Brody, Diane Cooper, Brad Herold, and Winnie Crawford


P2.44 Putting the Science to Work: A Collaborative Course for Taking Meteorology Beyond the Classroom and Into the World
Christina C. Crowe, National Weather Service, Huntsville, AL
Ryan Wade and Sundar Christopher


P2.45 Above The Storm: A Broader Perspective in the Aftermath of Hurricane Irene
Susan Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA
Vankita Brown, John Kelley, and Wes Browning


P2.46 Analysis of Tornado Debris During the April 27, 2011 Super Outbreak as Determined Using Social Media Data
John A. Knox, University of Georgia, Athens, GA
J.A. Rackley, A.W. Black, V.A. Gensini, M. Butler, M. Phan, C. Dunn, T. Gallo, M.R. Hunter, L. Lindsey, R. Scroggs, and S. Brustad


P2.47 powerpoint    Engaging Storm Spotters and College Students in Regional Responses to Climate Change
Margaret Mooney, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Steve Ackerman, Rusty Kapela, and Dave Parker


P2.48 powerpoint    Severe Weather and Ham Radio Skywarn Activation and NWS Chat Room
Vincent Papol, NOAA/NWS, Pendleton, Oregon


P2.50 Withdrawn    Communities Need Severe Weather Event Risk Data
Stephen Szoke, Portland Cement Association, Skokie, IL
Stephen S. Szoke


P2.51 powerpoint    Adjusting a Spotter Program to the Modern Times
Christine Wielgos, NOAA/NWS, Paduch, KY
Rick Shanklin and Patrick Spoden


P2.52 powerpoint    Foundation Principles for Tornado Safety
Jon W. Zeitler, NOAA/NWS, Austin/San Antonio, TX


P2.53 Using NOAA Google Applications in High-Impact Event Support
Jennifer Zeltwanger, NOAA/NWS Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO


P2.54 Incorporating NASA SPoRT and Other Alternative Data Sets into an Operational AWIPS II Environment
Brian C. Carcione, NOAA/NWS, Huntsville, AL
Jason Burks, Kristopher D. White, Matthew Smith, and Kevin McGrath


P2.55 powerpoint     [PDF file]  Persistent Daytime Superadiabatic Surface Layers Observed by a Microwave Temperature Profiler
Alan C. Czarnetzki, University of Northern Iowa, Cedar Falls, Iowa


P2.56 AWIPS II Deployment: The AWIPS of the Future
Shevy Greene, Raytheon, Silver Spring, MD
Kevin Johnson and Brad Scalio


P2.58 The Development of a Next Generation Graphical Forecast at NWS Key West
Christopher Rothwell, NOAA/NWS, Key West, FL
William Ulrich, Fred Johnson, and Andrew Devanas


P2.59 Weather Central, LP Wind Power Yield Forecast System
Justin Traiteur, Weather Central LP - Madison, WI
Rodney Runnheim, Sarah Reinke, Brett Wilt, and Andy Rice


P2.60 powerpoint    Overview of the Antarctic Automatic Weather Station Network
Lee Welhouse, Antarctic Meteorological Research Center, Space Science Engineering Center, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Matthew Lazzara, Jonathan Thom, George Weidner, and Linda Keller


P2.61 Withdrawn  Evolution of Data-Driven Weather Intelligence
Ben Zimmerman, Weather Central, LP, Madison, WI
Andy Rice and Steve Smedberg


P2.62 Moved to P1.66 An Update on CIRA's GOES-R Proving Ground Activities
Ed Szoke, CIRA/NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO
Renate Brummer, Hiro Gosden, Steve Miller, and Mark DeMaria


P2.63 powerpoint   MOS Probabilistic Winter Weather Guidance: Prototype Products for Weather-Ready Nation" Pilot Initiative"
Phillip E. Shafer, NOAA/NWS/MDL, Silver Spring, MD
Geoffrey Wagner and Kenneth Widelski


P2.64 powerpoint   [PDF file]  MOS Precipitation Forecasts Formatted for the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD)
Tabitha L. Huntemann, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
Phillip E. Shafer, Kathryn K. Gilbert, and Matthew R. Peroutka


P2.65 powerpoint    Preliminary Results of AutoNowCaster over a Large Domain
Mamoudou Ba, NOAA/NWS/MDL, Silver Spring, MD
Lingayan Xin, John Crockett, Kenneth Sperow, and Rita Roberts


P2.66 Weather-Ready Nation: A Vital Conversation - Themes and Actions from the December 2011 Meeting in Norman, Oklahoma
John Ferree, NOAA/NWS Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Services, Norman, OK


P2.67 Building and Enhancing Decision Support Services across the National Weather Service Western Region
Jeffery R. Zimmerman, NOAA/NWS Western Region Headquarters, Salt Lake City, UT
Todd Morris, Roger Lamoni. Leslie Wanek, and Matt Solum


P2.68 CoCoRaHS - Volunteer Precipitation Observations: Providing Valuable Information in Heavy Rainfall Events
Henry Reges, CoCoRaHS/Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
Nolan Doesken, Zach Swalbe, Julian Turner, and Noah Newman


P2.69 Withdrawn   4D Weather Visualization Workbench (WxWb)
Amanda O'Connor, Exelis Visual Information Solutions, Boulder, CO
Kellie McNaron-Brown, Adam Edson, and Stephanie Dockstader


P2.70 powerpoint    Meet EDD (Enhanced Data Display)
Jonathan Wolfe, NOAA/NWS, Charleston, WV
Julia Ruthford and Chris Leonardi

Session E15: Social Media Boot Camp

4:30pm powerpoint    E15.1 Interactive Social Media Boot Camp presented by the NWA Social Media Committee
Tiffany Sunday, NWA Social Media Committee, Emerging Tech Strategist, Dallas, TX
Tim Brice, Senior Meteorologist, NOAA/National Weather Service, El Paso, TX

Thursday, 11 October 2012

7:00am Registration and Information Desk Opens (Closes at 3pm)


8:00am Weather Briefing: Ballroom A


8:15am General Session: Ballroom A


General Session: Ballroom A

Session F16: AWIPS Migration
Chair: Jordan Gerth, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI

8:15am powerpoint    Keynote Speaker
F16.0 AWIPS II – The AWIPS of the Future

Shevy Greene, AWIPS II Deployment Manager, Raytheon Misson Operation Solutions, Silver Spring, MD


8:45am Withdrawn   F16.1 Building the Framework for Severe Weather Warning Hazard Services in AWIPS2
Greg Stumpf, CIMMS and NOAA/NWS/MDL, Norman, OK
Bryon Lawrence and Tracy Hansen


9:00am powerpoint    F16.2 WES-2 and WES-2 Bridge: Training Capabilities in AWIPS-2
Dale Morris, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS/WDTB, Norman, OK
Iqbal Virani, Michael Magsig, and Nazir A. Mohamed Said


9:15am AWIPS2 Panel Discussion


10:00am Morning Break


Session F17: Remote Sensing-Satellite
Co-Chairs: Wendy Schreiber-Abshire, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
Timothy Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/CORP/ASPB, Madison, WI

10:30am F17.1 Improving Forecasts of Clouds and Convection using Simulated Satellite Imagery
Daniel T. Lindsey, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/RAMMB, Fort Collins, CO
Jason Otkin, Justin Sieglaff, Dan Bikos, and Louie Grasso


10:45am powerpoint    F17.2 Improving Very-Short-Range Forecasts of the Pre-Convective Environment Using Operational Geostationary Satellite Observations
Ralph A. Petersen, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Robert Aune, William Line, and Richard Dworak


11:00am powerpoint    F17.3 A Quantitative Fog/Low Stratus Detection Algorithm for GOES-R
Corey Calvert, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Michael Pavolonis


11:15am powerpoint    F17.4 The 2012 GOES-R Product Demonstrations for Marine and Precipitation Applications
Michael J. Folmer, University of Maryland-College Park/ESSIC/CICS, College Park, MD
Steve Goodman, Andrew Orrison, Joseph Sienkiewicz, and David Novak


11:30am powerpoint    F17.5 Methods for Detecting Turbulence within Satellite Mountain Wave Signatures
Anthony Wimmers, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Calgary, AB
Wayne Feltz


11:45am powerpoint    F17.6 Leveraging the GOES-R Proving Ground Process and Forecaster Feedback to Improve GOES-R products and Training Material
Scott Lindstrom, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
A. Scott Bachmeier, Wayne F. Feltz, Justin M. Sieglaff, and Mike Pavolonis


12:00pm Lunch Break


Session 18.1 Decision Support Services
Co-Chairs: Mark Fox, NOAA/NWS, Fort Worth, TX
Kaba Bah, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI

1:30pm powerpoint    [PDF file]  F18.1 Probabilistic Forecasting of Severe Convection
John L. Cintineo, CIMSS/SSEC/University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI
Michael J. Pavolonis and Justin M. Sieglaff


1:45pm powerpoint    F18.2 An Examination of Decision Support Services Provided by the NWS during Major Winter Storms
Marcia Cronce, NOAA/NWS, Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
Dennis VanCleve and Jamie Enderlen

2:00pm powerpoint    F18.3 A Quantitative and Qualitative Examination of Tornado Related Statistics Across the United States
Alan Gerard, NOAA/NWS Jackson, MS


2:15pm F18.4 Communication Revolution: Using Twitter to Exchange Situational Awareness Information during Two Significant Weather Events
Randy Graham, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
Monica Traphagan


2:30pm powerpoint    F18.5 Meteorological Decision Support Services at the FAA - Air Traffic Control System Command Center (ATCSCC)
Michael Eckert, NOAA/NWS/AWC, Kansas City, MO


2:45pm Afternoon Break


Session F19: Warning Operations
Co-Chairs: Stephen Brueske, NOAA/NWS, Sullivan, WI
Randy Graham, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT

3:15pm powerpoint    F19.1 Polygonology: A Realistic Look at the National Weather Service Polygon Warning System
Kevin B. Laws, NOAA/NWS, Birmingham, AL


3:30pm powerpoint    F19.2 Evolving to Impact Decision Support Services - An Overview of Deployment Boot Camp for Emergency Response
Jennifer Zeltwanger, NOAA/NWS Central Region Headquarters - Kansas City, MO
Kelsey Angle


3:45pm Withdrawn  F19.3 Warning Frequency Variations among National Weather Service Weather Forecast Offices
Kevin Barrett, Texas State University, Department of Geography, San Marcos, Texas
Richard Dixon


4:00pm powerpoint    F19.4 A Prototype Emergency Response Meteorologist Taskbook
Jon W. Zeitler, NOAA/NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Rick Davis


4:15pm powerpoint    F19.5 The 2012 Experimental Warning Progarm Spring Experiment at NOAA’s Hazardous Weather Testbed
Darrel Kingfield, OU/CIMMS & NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
Aaron Anderson, David Andra, Kristin Calhoun, and Gabriel Garfield


4:30pm powerpoint    F19.6 Severe Weather Simulations: Immersion Training with Partners
Mark A. Fox, NOAA/NWS, Dallas/Fort Worth. TX
Melissa S. Huffman


4:45pm powerpoint    [PDF file]  F19.7 Implementation of Enhanced Short Term and Aviation Grids at the NWS Atlanta Weather Forecast Office
Trisha D. Palmer, NOAA/NWS, Atlanta/Peachtree City, GA
Patricia A. Atwell, Steven E. Nelson, Jason T. Deese, Brian D. Lynn, Matthew Sena, Lans P. Rothfusz, Charles A. West, and Randy Skov


5:00pm Closing Remarks; 37th NWA Annual Meeting adjourns


Return to main meeting page at http://www.nwas.org/meetings/nwa2012/ to register or for information on making hotel reservations and more.