35th NWA ANNUAL MEETING

The National Weather Association's 35th Annual Meeting was held at the Marriott University Park Hotel, across from the main gate of the University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona, from October 2–7, 2010.

Photos of the meeting | What Others Have To Say About the Meeting

Theme: Fire and Ice: Science and Society

The 2010 meeting emphasized ongoing and emerging interaction between the branches of the weather and water enterprise, including the private sector, media, academia and government. Meeting topics included: societal impact research and public policymaker interaction with weather forecasters; tropical cyclone forecasting, particularly in the eastern Pacific; wildfire forecasting; hydrometeorology, precipitation forecasting and estimation; innovative uses for lightning data; winter and severe convective storms, with emphasis on high plains and western U.S. geography issues; data denial and how operational forecasters cope with key data losses; and climate variability and forecasting, particularly on the intra-annual level.

2010 Annual Meeting Leaders:
The Annual Meeting Program Committee Chair was Erik Pytlak, Science and Operations Officer, NOAA/NWSFO, Tucson, AZ. He was assisted by: Christopher Castro, Erin Christiansen, Michael Crimmins, Mike Goldberg - Broadcasters’ Workshop Chair, Randy Graham, Ron Holle, Betsy Kling - Golf Outing organizer, Ryan Knutsvig, Glenn Lader, Terry Lankford - Aviation meteorology outreach, Patrick Market - Student Workshop Chair, Glen Sampson, Craig Shoemaker, Christopher Smallcomb and the NWA staff.

The NWA would like to thank the authors for making their presentations available to the association and the public. Some presentations may not be online if the author chose not to grant the NWA permission to make the presentation available due to proprietary or other considerations. The abstract and presentations are organized by day and topic within the conference agenda.

Click on the blue title of the presentation/poster to view the abstract. Some abstracts are not available.

A link ( [p] ) is provided for each presentation that is available on-line. The files are compressed, so you will need a program, such as WinZip or Stuffit, to uncompress them. Some of the presentations are large and may take a while to download on dial-up connections.

Saturday, October 2

9:00am The NWA Aviation Meteorology Committee as part of their outreach efforts joined in sponsoring a FAA WINGS SAFETY SEMINAR - TUS at Pima Community College / Aviation Technology Center located at the Tucson International Airport, West Side. Topic: Winter Weather Flying In Arizona. Speakers: Terry Lankford (NWA), Ken Drozd (NOAA/NWS Tucson) & Lead FAASTeam Rep Howard Deevers. Brief Description: presentations included unique local Arizona weather, winter weather patterns and just what constitutes and qualifies as "hazardous weather". Twenty local pilots attended.

11:00am NWA Eighth Annual Scholarship Golf Outing, Randolph Golf Course, sponsored by Baron Services, WSI Corporation and Atlantic States Weather. Thanks to NWA Golf Outing organizer Betsy Kling!

1:00pm NWA Registration and Information Desk Opens in Hotel Atrium; Closes at 9:00pm

1:00pm Exhibit room available for setup: Sabino/Pima Rooms. Exhibitors were: WSI Corporation, UCAR/COMET, Baron Services, Gibson Ridge Software, SSEC – University of Wisconsin, Midland Radio, Weather Metrics, Weather Central, Vaisala, AccuWeather, American Meteorological Society, National Weather Service, NOAA Office of Education, IPS MeteoStar and Weather Decision Technologies.

Sunday, October 3

7:00am NWA Registration and Information Desk in Hotel Atrium; Closed at 9:00pm

8:30am Broadcasters’ Workshop: Madera/Canyon Rooms

9:00am Exhibits Opened: Sabino/Pima Rooms

12:00pm Student Session: at the University of Arizona Student Union, Tucson and Catalina Rooms and continued later in the day at the Marriott hotel, Ventana room.

Broadcasters’ Workshop
Workshop Underwritten by Baron Services, Huntsville, AL  [Baron Services]
Madera/Canyon Rooms

8:30am Welcoming Remarks
Steven M. Zubrick, NWA President, NOAA/National Weather Service, Sterling, VA

8:35am Opening Remarks
Nick Walker, NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee Chair, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA Mike Goldberg, NWA Broadcast Workshop Chair, WSET-TV, Lynchburg, VA

8:45am [p]   Welcome to Tucson
Erin Christiansen, 2010 NWA Local Program Committee, KGUN-9 TV, Tucson, AZ

9:00am [p]   Hell Comes to Earth in 1859-The Legendary Santa Barbara Sundowner
Miles Muzio (Chair, NWA Broadcast Seal of Approval Committee), KBAK-TV, Bakersfield, CA

9:15am [p]   The 11-12 February 2010 Snowstorm: The Importance of Considering Snow to Liquid Ratio During the Forecast Process,
Hunter Coleman, Jeff Linton, Leonard Vaughn and Michael Cammarata, NOAA/National Weather Service, West Columbia, SC

9:30am [p]   Building Trust in Today's Forecast for Response in Tomorrow's Warning,
Samuel L. Lashley and J.A. Logsdon, NOAA/National Weather Service, Syracuse, IN; Andrea Lammers, NOAA/National Weather Service, Louisville, KY

9:45am [p]   Leveraging Emerging Technologies to Better Address Societal Impacts Focus of NWS Warnings
Michael J. Hudson, NOAA/National Weather Service, Kansas City, MO

10:00am Coffee Break in the exhibit hall: Sabino/Pima Rooms


10:30am [p]   Workshop: You Can't Make a Good Forecast Without a Good Analysis
H. Michael Mogil, How the Weatherworks, Naples, FL

11:30am [p]   A Review of the Active Winter Season of 2009-2010
Christopher Hedge, NOAA/National Weather Service/Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD

11:45am [p]   A Review of Significant Weather Events Occurring in 2010
Greg Carbin, NOAA/National Weather Service/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK

12:15pm Lunch on your own. Exhibits Open: Sabino/Pima Rooms


1:45pm Workshop: Understanding Dual Pol Data - An Interactive Exercise
John Ferree, Liz Quoetone, and Paul Schlatter, NOAA/National Weather Service, Norman, OK; Dale Morris, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK

3:15pm Refreshment Break in the exhibit hall: Sabino/Pima Rooms


3:45pm Atmospheric Conditions Leading to the Production of the Vivian, SD Hailstone
Jay Trobec, KELO-TV, Sioux Falls, SD

4:00pm [p]   Lightning Safety in Buildings and Vehicles
Ronald L. Holle (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), Holle Meteorology and Photography, Oro Valley, AZ

4:15pm [p]   COMET at 20: Where We've Been and Where We’re Going
Greg Byrd and Wendy Schreiber-Abshire (NWA Councilor), UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO

4:30pm Broadcast Meteorology: More Than Forecasting the Weather
John Carroll, KREX-TV, Grand Junction, CO

4:45pm [p]   Staying Relevant in Today's Newsroom
Don Schwenneker, WBBM-TV CBS 2, Chicago, IL

5:00pm Broadcast Meteorologists' Salary Survey Results
Mark Reynolds, WJHL-TV, Johnson City, TN

5:15pm Announcements. Dinner on your own. Exhibits open.


7:00pm Broadcaster DVD Swap
Nick Walker (Chair, NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee), The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA; Miles Muzio (Chair, NWA Broadcast Seal of Approval Committee), KBAK-TV, Bakersfield, CA

3rd Annual Students' Workshop
University of Arizona Student Union, University of Arizona Campus
Tucson and Catalina Rooms

12:00pm Welcoming Remarks
Steven Zubrick, NWA President, NOAA/National Weather Service, Sterling, VA Steve Harned, NWA Executive Director, Raleigh, NC Pat Market, NWA President-Elect, Chair, NWA Nominating Committee, and Chair of the 3rd Annual Student Session, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO

12:15pm [p]   Leadership Skills for New Scientists
Glen Sampson (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Tucson, AZ

12:45pm [p]   Preparing for that Outstanding Job Interview
John Ogren, NOAA/National Weather Service, Kansas City, MO

1:15pm [p]   Building your Competitive Resume and Cover Letter
Elise Schultz (NWA Councilor Student Ex-Officio), University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL

1:45pm [p]   Now for Something Completely Different
Wendy Schreiber-Abshire (NWA Councilor), UCAR COMET, Boulder, CO

2:15pm Resume and Interview One-on-Few Workshop (break included)


4:00pm Career Panel Discussion (Interview the Interviewers!)


5:00pm Dinner on your own.


6:30pm Student Poster Session: Marriott Hotel Atrium and Ventana Room


Student Poster Session:

P0.1 Sunspot Activity and Atlantic Tropical Cyclones
Brian Hutton Jr., and P. Grady Dixon, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS

P0.2 Predictability and Morphology of Great Salt Lake-Effect Precipitation
Trevor Alcott and W. James Steenburgh, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT

P0.3 Incorporation of NASA Satellite Data into the CHILI Mesonet Dataset to Improve Decision Support
Josh Stodghill, Amanda Billot, Allyson Cederholm and David Mullek, NASA/DEVELOP National Program, Mobile, AL

P0.4 Community Environmental Networks for Risk Identification and Management
Paul J. Croft (NWA Past President '04), Feng Qi, Patricia Morreale, Seth Docherty, Tom Giordano and John Crocker, Kean University, Union, NJ

P0.5 A Preliminary Lake Effect Assessment Study and Evaluation
Paul J. Croft (NWA Past President '04) and Dan Peck, Kean University, Union, NJ

P0.6 Chemical Analysis of Fog Events in New Jersey
Paul J. Croft (NWA Past President '04), Nivash Rampersad, and Matilde Saget, Kean University, Union, NJ

P0.7 Fog Assessment, Verification, and Operational Research using GIS
Paul J. Croft (NWA Past President '04), Feng Qi and Alexis Ottati, Kean University, Union, NJ

P0.8 Wind Energy at Kean University: Vertical Axis Wind Turbines for Urban Environments
William C. Heyniger, Kean University, Union, NJ

P0.9 Analysis of Microphysics Scheme Performance with the October 2006 Buffalo Snowstorm
Mike Piatek-Jimenez and Martin Baxter, Central Michigan University, Mt. Pleasant, MI

P0.10 High resolution Simulation of NAME Intensive Observing Periods using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model
William W. Cassell and Christopher L. Castro (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ

P0.11 New England Tornado Characteristics
Sarah Trojniak, Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, MI; Dan St. Jean and David Glenn, NOAA/National Weather Service, Gray, ME

P0.12 Public Perceptions of Tsunamis and the NOAA TsunamiReady Program in Los Angeles
Antonia Rosati, University of Denver, Denver, CO

P0.13 The Application of the Four-Quadrant Model to Real-World Jet Streaks
Stuart Miller and Patrick Market (NWA President-Elect, Chair, NWA Nominating Committee, and Chair, 3rd Annual Student Session), University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; Scott Rochette, University at Brockport/SUNY, Brockport, NY

P0.14 A Composite Analysis of Major Ice Storms in the Central United States
Kristopher J. Sanders, Charles E. Graves and Chad M. Gravelle, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO; John P. Gagan, NOAA/National Weather Service, Springfield, MO

8:00pm Student DVD Swap: Ventana Room

Annual Meeting General Sessions

Monday, October 4
Madera/Canyon Rooms

7:00am NWA Registration and Information Desk in Hotel Atrium; Closed at 5:00pm

8:00am-5:00pm General Session

9:00pm Exhibits: Sabino/Pima Rooms

12:30pm Daily Weather Briefing

5:30pm Icebreaker: Arizona State Museum

7:30pm Broadcasters' Dinner



8:00am Welcoming Remarks
Steven Zubrick, NWA President, NOAA/National Weather Service, Sterling, VA Steve Harned, NWA Executive Director, Raleigh, NC Erik Pytlak, Chair, NWA 2010 Local Program Committee, NOAA/National Weather Service, Tucson, AZ

8:15am [p]   Keynote Address
It Never Rains in Southern California: Doing the Weather…Without Any Weather

Josh Rubenstein, Chief Meteorologist, KCBS-TV, Los Angeles, CA

Session I: Severe Thunderstorms and Tornadoes I
Session Co-Chairs: John Ferree, NOAA/National Weather Service, Norman, OK; Ashton Altieri, KUSA-TV, Denver, CO
8:45am [p]   VORTEX II Operations Center: Bridging the Gap between Research and Operations
Patrick T. Marsh, Michael Coniglio and Louis Wicker, NOAA/Office of Atmospheric Research/NSSL Norman, OK; Kevin Scharfenberg, Chris Sohl and Kevin Brown, NOAA/National Weather Service, Norman, OK; Jim Purpura, NOAA/National Weather Service, San Diego, CA; Michael J. Hudson, NOAA/National Weather Service, Kansas City, MO; Steve Cobb, NOAA/National Weather Service, Lubbock, TX; Mark Britt and Fred Glass (Chair, NWA Awards Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Saint Louis, MO

9:00am [p]   A Comparison of Significant Tornadoes in North Alabama since 2008
Brian Carcione, Chris Darden, and Jennifer L. Lee, NOAA/National Weather Service, Huntsville, AL

9:15am [p]   The 1989 and 2010 Huntsville, Alabama Tornadoes: Societal Impacts and Warning Operations
Jennifer L. Lee and Kristen Scotten, NOAA/National Weather Service, Huntsville, AL; Angelica Betancourt-Negron, University of Puerto Rico at Mayagüez, Mayagüez, PR

9:30am [p]   The 19 August 2009 Twin Cities Area Tornadoes: High Resolution Observed and Modeled Characteristics
Tom Hultquist, NOAA/National Weather Service, Chanhassen, MN

9:45am [p]   Violent Tornado Environments
Ariel Cohen, NOAA/National Weather Service, Jackson, MS

10:00am Coffee Break in the exhibit hall: Sabino/Pima Rooms


Session II: Severe Thunderstorms and Tornadoes II
Session Co-Chairs: Tom Hultquist, NOAA/National Weather Service, Chanhassen, MN; William Cassell, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
10:30am [p]   A Mesoscale and Stormscale Analysis of the Historic Yazoo City Mississippi Violent Tornado of 24 April 2010
Alan Gerard (NWA Past President ‘07, and NWA Commissioner of Committees) and Greg Garrett, NOAA/National Weather Service, Jackson, MS

10:45am [p]   Warning Services and Decision Support for the Historic Yazoo City, MS Violent Tornado of 24 April 2010
Alan Gerard (NWA Past President ’07 and NWA Commissioner of Committees) and Stephen Wilkinson, NOAA/National Weather Service, Jackson, MS

11:00am [p]   A Study on the Environments of Significant Tornadoes Occurring Within the Warm Sector Versus Those Occurring Along Boundaries
Jonathan Garner, NOAA/National Weather Service/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK

11:15am [p]   Morphologic Investigation of Thunderstorm Initiates and GIS Attributes with Testing for Improved Operational Nowcasting of Thunderstorms and their Severity in New Jersey
Paul J. Croft (NWA Past President ‘04), Danielle Fadeski, Alexis Ottati, Alan Cope, and Jackie Parr, Kean University, Union, NJ

11:30am Lunch on your own. Exhibits open: Sabino/Pima Rooms


12:30pm Daily Weather Briefing: Students of the University of Missouri, Columbia, MO


Session III: Heavy Rain and Flash Flooding I
Session Co-Chairs: Troy Kimmel (NWA Councilor), University of Texas, Austin, TX; Chad Kauffman, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA
12:45pm [p]   Analysis of the May 1-2, 2010 Tennessee Heavy Rain Event
M. Sean Ryan, NOAA/National Weather Service/Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD

1:00pm [p]   The Great Mississippi River Flood of 1927 - A Review of This Significant Event
Kai Roth, David B. Reed, David Welsh, and Jeff Grashel, NOAA/National Weather Service, Slidell, LA

1:15pm [p]   Decision Support Service throughout Tennessee's Historic Flooding Event of 1-2 May 2010
James LaRosa and Thomas Johnstone, NOAA/National Weather Service, Nashville, TN; Richard Okulski, (Chair, NWA Specialized Operational Services Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Memphis, TN

1:30pm [p]   Killer Flash Flooding: The Beginning of an Epic Flood in North Georgia
Kent Frantz, NOAA/National Weather Service, Atlanta, GA

1:45pm [p]   Mesoscale and Synoptic Analysis of the August 4, 2009 Louisville Flash Flooding Event
John D. Gordon (NWA Councilor and Chair, NWA Membership and Marketing Committee), and John S. Denman, NOAA/National Weather Service, Louisville, Kentucky

2:00pm [p]   A Comparison of Flooding from the Remnants of Hurricane Gustav and Hurricane Ike in the mid-Mississippi Valley
Fred Glass (Chair, NWA Awards Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Saint Louis, MO

2:15pm [p]   Improving Excessive Rainfall Forecasts at HPC by using the Spatial Density Approach to High Resolution Models
Michael Eckert, David Novak, and Keith Brill, NOAA/National Weather Service/Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD

2:30pm Poster Session I and Refreshment Break: Atrium and Ventana Room


Poster Session I: Severe Thunderstorms, Tornadoes, Flash Floods, Lightning, QPE and NWP, and Extreme Event Characterization
Co-chairs: Faith Borden (NWA Secretary), NOAA/National Weather Service, Las Vegas, NV; Steve Listemaa (NWA Councilor), NOAA/National Weather Service, Sterling, VA
P1.1 Forecast Challenges Associated with Two Desert Southwest Precipitation Events, Part 1: 22-23 March 2010 Mesoscale Banded Rainfall
Michael J. Paddock, NOAA/National Weather Service, Phoenix, AZ

P1.2 Forecast Challenges Associated with Two Desert Southwest Precipitation Events, Part 2: April Fools Event of 2010
Michael J. Paddock, NOAA/National Weather Service, Phoenix, AZ

P1.3 Moved to an oral presentation


P1.4 The Early Civil War Battles in Southwest Missouri 1861: How Weather May Have Influenced the Outcome
Anthony R. Lupo (Editor, NWA Digest), J. Michael Madden, and John T. Moon, III, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO

P1.5 Case Study of Orographically Induced Cirrus Clouds East of the Southern Appalachians
Ryan Ellis, NOAA/National Weather Service, Raleigh, NC

P1.6 [p]   Case Study of Winter 2009-2010 High Wind Events in Southern Arizona and the links of Tropopause Undulations
Scott Minnick, NOAA/National Weather Service, Tucson, AZ

P1.7 An Analysis of Windstorm Events during the Sierra Rotors Project and Terrain-Induced Rotor Experiment (T-REX)
Brian J. Billings, National Research Council, Monterey, CA; James D. Doyle, USN/Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA

P1.8 Reforecasts of a 2004 Elevated Convection Event Misforecast by the Eta Model
Martin A. Baxter, Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, MI

P1.9 A Proposed Method for Objectively Identifying and Characterizing Surface Fronts
Kimberly A. Hoogewind and Michael E. Baldwin, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN

P1.10 An Observational and High-Resolution Model Analysis of Gale Wind Events in the Gulf of California
Ariel Cohen, NOAA/National Weather Service, Jackson, MS; John Cangialosi, NOAA/National Weather Service/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL

P1.11 Synoptic-Scale Analysis of Tornadic and Non-Tornadic Tropical Cyclones along the Gulf Coast
Ariel Cohen, NOAA/National Weather Service, Jackson, MS

P1.12 A Rare Late September Hybrid Supercell in East Central Mississippi
Ariel Cohen, NOAA/National Weather Service, Jackson, MS

P1.13 Radar Composite Analyses of Tornado-Producing Mesocyclones Across the Gulf Coastal States
Ariel Cohen, Joanne Culin and Jared Allen, NOAA/National Weather Service, Jackson, MS

P1.14 The New Lightning Launch Commit Criteria
William P. Roeder, Todd McNamara, U.S. Air Force, 45th Operational Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; Francis J. Merceret, NASA, Kennedy Space Center, Cape Canaveral, FL

P1.15 Estimating the Onset of any Sustained Wind Speed from Tropical Cyclones
William P. Roeder, US Air Force, 45th Operational Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; Lisa L. Huddleston, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Kennedy Space Center, FL

P1.16 Modifications to the Objective Lightning Probability Forecast Tool at Kennedy Space Center/Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, Florida
Winnie Crawford, NASA/Applied Meteorology Group/ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL; William Roeder, USAF/45th Operational Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL

P1.17 An Artificial-Intelligence Lightning Threat Algorithm
Michael E. Brown (Chair, NWA Seal Testing Committee), Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS

P1.18 Update on the Lightning Warning Product
Dennis Buechler, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; Geoffrey Stano, ENSCO, Inc., Huntsville, AL;

P1.19 [p]   Developing a Lightning Safety Toolkit for Large Venues
Charles Woodrum, NOAA/National Weather Service, Pittsburgh, PA; Donna Franklin, NOAA/National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD

P1.20 Forecasting Lake Erie Ice Cover using Princeton Ocean Model for the Great Lakes (POMGL) Ice Model
Kirk Lombardy and Robert LaPlante, NOAA/National Weather Service, Cleveland, OH

P1.21 Case Study: Urban Effects on Summer Monsoon Convection in the Phoenix, AZ Metropolitan Region
Christopher L. Castro (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee) and William Cassell, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; Susanne Grossman-Clarke, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; Joseph A. Zehnder, Creighton University, Omaha, NE; Yubao Liu, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO

P1.22 Development and Verification of 1km Super MicroCast Short-Term Temperature Forecasts over the Continental United States
Holly C. Hassenzahl, Brett A. Wilt, Brian Good, and Michael Thomas, Weather Central, LLC., Madison, WI

P1.23 Moved to an oral presentation


P1.24 Poster withdrawn


P1.25 An Examination of Nocturnal Thunderstorms that Produced Very Large Hail Across Northwest Alabama on 12 March 2010
Mark W. Rose, NOAA/National Weather Service, Birmingham, AL

P1.26 Understanding the Social Dimension of Recreational Storm Chasing through Participant's Motivations and Sensation Seeking Traits
Shuangyu Xu, Carla Barbieri, Sonja A. Wilhelm-Stanis, and Patrick Market (NWA President-Elect, Chair, NWA Nominating Committee, and Chair, 3rd Annual Student Session); University of Missouri; Columbia, MO

P1.27 Classification of Synoptic Scale Patterns for Tornadoes in the Mid-South
Thomas L. Salem, Jr., NOAA/National Weather Service, Memphis, TN; Heather Hyre and Christopher Luckett, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; Janice Maldonado, Dennis Negron, Alina Nieves, and Anthony Ortiz, University of Puerto Rico at Mayagüez, Mayagüez, PR

P1.28 6 May 2009 Mini-Supercell EF1 Tornado
Douglas G. Weber, NOAA/National Weather Service, Pendleton, OR

P1.29 Validation of University of Wisconsin Convective Initiation (UWCI) Algorithm
Lee Cronce, Justin Sieglaff and Wayne Feltz, University of Wisconsin/CIMSS, Madison, WI; Kris Bedka, SSAI, Hampton, VA; Mike Pavolonis and Andy Heidinger, NOAA/National Environmental Satellite, Data and Information Service/STAR, Madison, WI

P1.30 A Prototype Implementation of the High Resolution Rapid Refresh for the Alaska Region
Don Morton, University of Alaska – Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK; Carl Dierking, NOAA/National Weather Service, Juneau, AK; Eugene Petrescu, NOAA/National Weather Service, Anchorage, AK

P1.31 A Study on Supercells Emanating off of Low-Level Lapse Rate Axes
Jonathan Garner, NOAA/National Weather Service/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK

P1.32 Evolution of the Atmosphere during Extreme Hail Events over Central Florida
Charles H. Paxton, NOAA/National Weather Service, Tampa Bay/Ruskin, FL

P1.33 Reanalysis of the 1989 Huntsville Alabama Tornado
Michael Coyne (Chair, NWA Information Technology Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Huntsville, AL; Suheily J. López , University of Puerto Rico at Mayagüez, Mayagüez, PR

P1.34 Tornado Warning Services for Misoscale Circulations in Quasilinear Convective Systems
Kevin Scharfenberg and David L. Andra, Jr.; NOAA/National Weather Service, Norman, OK; Patrick Marsh, Kiel Ortega and Jerry Brotzge, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK

P1.35 Tornadic Mesovortices: Their Origins and Radar Appearances in the Middle to Lower Missouri River Valley Region
Chris Bowman and Suzanne Fortin, NOAA/National Weather Service, Pleasant Hill, MO

P1.36 The 17 June 2010 Minnesota Tornado Outbreak: A Brief Event Overview and Historical Perspective
Tom Hultquist, Todd Krause and Amanda Graning, NOAA/National Weather Service, Chanhassen, MN; Daniel J. Miller, Matthew Friedlein and Alex Lamers, NOAA/National Weather Service, Duluth, MN; Bradley Bramer, Gregory Gust and David Kellenbenz, NOAA/National Weather Service, Grand Forks, ND

P1.37 Evaluating Hail Detection Techniques with High Resolution Hail Reports
Kiel Ortega, Tiffany Meyer, Jessica Erlingis and Travis Smith, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/Office of Atmospheric Research/NSSL, Norman, OK

P1.38 Anomaly Situational Awareness Display: A Tool for Anticipating High Impact Events
Randy Graham (NWA Councilor and NWA 2010 Local Program Committee); Nanette Hosenfeld and Trevor Alcott, NOAA/National Weather Service, Salt Lake City, UT

P1.39 Consensus and Weighted Model Output in a Graphical Forecast Editor
Jeffrey P. Craven (NWA Treasurer and Chair, NWA Publications Committee) and Jerry R. Weidenfeld, NOAA/National Weather Service, Dousman, WI

P1.40 A Rare Low-Topped Thunderstorm Over Alaska's Norton Sound in October
Stephen Kearney, NOAA/National Weather Service, Fairbanks, AK

P1.41 Advancements in the National Weather Service's Impact Decision Support Services Provided during the Major Red River of the North Flood Event of March 2010
Mark Ewens, Dave Kellenbenz and Mark Frazier, NOAA/National Weather Service, Grand Forks, ND

P1.42 Significant Weather Impacts across Arkansas Due to Landfalling Tropical Systems
Christopher C. Buonanno, NOAA/National Weather Service, Little Rock, AR

P1.43 COMET NWP Course: Current Offerings and Upcoming Developments
Stephen D. Jascourt and William R. Bua, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research/COMET, Silver Spring, MD

Session IV: Heavy Rain and Flash Flooding II
Session Co-Chairs: Jacqui Jeras, CNN, Atlanta, GA; Paul Schlatter, NOAA/National Weather Service, Norman, OK
4:00pm [p]   Modeling Flood Response in Fast Responding Catchments over Diverse Terrain and Climatic Regimes of the Desert Southwest and Northeast
Michael Schaffner, NOAA/National Weather Service, Binghamton, NY; Patrick D. Broxton, Peter A. Troch, David Goodrich, and Hoshin Gupta, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; Carl Unkrich, USDA-ARS, Tucson, AZ, Thorsten Wagener, Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA

4:15pm [p]   Enhancement of the Flash Flood Monitoring & Prediction (FFMP) Project with a Localized Flashpoint Dataset
Timothy Lahmers, James Nieder, Michael DeFino, and Chad Kauffman, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA; Robert Davis, NOAA/National Weather Service, Pittsburgh, PA

4:30pm [p]   Multi-Partner Decision Support Lessons Learned: Experiences from the 2010 Minnesota and Upper Mississippi Valley's Spring Flood
Diane Cooper, NOAA/National Weather Service, Chanhassen, MN

4:45pm Flash Flood Monitoring & Prediction (FFMP): A GIS-based tutorial
Steven Michel, Dustin Snare, Katelyn Welsh and Chad Kauffman, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA; Robert Davis, NOAA/National Weather Service, Pittsburgh, PA

5:00pm Session Ends. Exhibit Hall closes. Dinner on your own.


5:30pm Ice Breaker at the Arizona State Museum
Sponsored by VAISALA, INC.

Tuesday, October 5
Madera/Canyon Rooms

7:00am NWA Registration and Information Desk in Hotel Atrium; Closed at 4:00pm

8:00am-5:00pm General Session

9:00am Exhibits: Sabino/Pima Rooms

12:30pm Daily Weather Briefing

6:30pm NWA Council and Committee Chairs Dinner Meeting in Ventana Room



8:00am [p]   Keynote Address
The Nexus of Weather, People, and Wildfires

Thomas Swetnam, Director, The Laboratory of Tree Ring Research, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ

Session V: Fire Weather
Session Co-Chairs: Chris Stachelski, NOAA/National Weather Service, Las Vegas, NV; Michael Paddock, NOAA/National Weather Service, Phoenix, AZ
8:30am [p]   Historic 2000 Wildfire Season: A Look Back Ten Years Later
Richard Okulski (Chair, NWA Specialized Operational Services Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Memphis, TN; and Scott Birch, NOAA/National Weather Service, Salt Lake City, UT

8:45am [p]   A Review of the 2010 Fire Season Major Lightning Outbreaks
James Wallmann and Rhett Milne, NOAA/National Weather Service, Reno, NV

9:00am [p]   Assessing Critical Fire Weather Conditions Using a Red Flag Threat Index
Gregory P Murdoch, NOAA/National Weather Service, Midland, TX; Christopher Gitro, NOAA/National Weather Service, Binghamton, NY

9:15am [p]   Encouraging and Recognizing Community Wildfire Preparedness
Christopher N. Jones and Kevin P. Lynott, NOAA/National Weather Service, Riverton, WY

9:30am Communicating Fire Weather Information and Assessing Societal Response--A Critical Connection to Save Lives and Property
Peter Roohr, NOAA/National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD; Kenneth Carey (Chair, NWA Professional Development Committee), Noblis Center for Sustainability, Falls Church, VA; Heath Hockenberry, NOAA/National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD; Sher Schranz, NOAA/Office of Atmospheric Research/Earth Systems Resource Laboratory, Boulder, CO

9:45am [p]   Online Fire Courses Available from the COMET Program
Elizabeth Mulvihill Page, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research/COMET, Charlotte, NC, Tsvetomir Ross-Lazarov, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research/COMET, Boulder, CO

10:00am Coffee Break in the exhibit hall: Sabino/Pima Rooms


Session VI: Lightning
Session Co-Chairs: Ron Holle (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), Vaisala Inc., Tucson, AZ; Craig Shoemaker, NOAA/National Weather Service, Tucson, AZ
10:30am [p]   New Concepts and Methodology in Lightning Forecasting
Paul Frisbie, Mike Meyers, Jeff Colton and Jim Daniels, NOAA/National Weather Service; Grand Junction, CO

10:45am Thunderstorm Nowcasting using the Vaisala Global Lightning Dataset GLD360
Nicholas W.S. Demetriades and Ronald L. Holle (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), Vaisala, Inc., Tucson, AZ

11:00am [p]   Exploring a Physically-based Tool for Lightning Cessation: Preliminary Results
Elise V. Schultz (NWA Councilor Student Ex-Officio), Lawrence D. Carey, Dennis E. Buechler, and Patrick N. Gatlin, University of Alabama – Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; Walter A. Petersen, NASA/Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL

11:15am [p]   Mechanisms of Lightning Injury Should Affect Lightning Safety Messages
Mary Ann Cooper, University of Illinois-Chicago (retired), River Forest, IL; and Ronald L. Holle (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), Holle Meteorology and Photography, Inc., Oro Valley, AZ

11:30am Lunch on your own. Exhibits: Sabino/Pima Rooms


12:30pm Daily Weather Briefing: Students of Kean University, Union, NJ


Session VII: Quantitative Precipitation Estimation and Numerical Weather Prediction I
Session Co-Chairs: Xubin Zeng, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; Don Morton, University of Alaska – Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK
12:45pm [p]   Relationship between Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Events and Precipitation: The Spatial and Time Resolution Problem
Carlos Minjarez, Christopher L. Castro (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), and Phillip Krider, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; Kenneth Cummins, Vaisala, Inc., Tucson, AZ

1:00pm Impacts of Complex Terrain on the Occurrence and Forecast of Freezing Rain in British Columbia
Quanzhen Geng, Environment Canada, Pacific Storm Prediction Center, Vancouver, BC

1:15pm [p]   Exploring the Use of Convection-Allowing Guidance to Improve Warm-season Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts
Bruce Sullivan, Richard Bann, Faye Barthold, Michael Bodner, David Novak, and Robert Oravec, NOAA/National Weather Service/Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD

1:30pm [p]   Examining the Use of a Probabilistic Precipitation Algorithm for High-impact Thresholds
Ken Pomeroy, NOAA/National Weather Service, Salt Lake City, UT; and Don Britton, NOAA/National Weather Service, Great Falls, MT

1:45pm [p]   Best Practices for NWP: The Nexus of Satellite Observations and Initial Conditions
Jordan Gerth, University of Wisconsin/CIMSS, Madison, WI

2:00pm [p]   Estimating Potential Severe Weather Societal Impacts using Probabilistic Forecasts Issued by the NWS Storm Prediction Center
Russell S. Schneider and Andy R. Dean, NOAA/National Weather Service/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK

2:15pm [p]   Improving Snow Processes in the NCEP NOAH Land Model for Weather Forecasting
Xubin Zeng, Zhuo Wang, and Mike Leuthold, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ

2:30pm Keancast - Kean University’s Weathercasting System
Paul J. Croft (NWA Past President ’04), Matt Albanese and Tom Skic, Kean University, Union, NJ

2:45pm Refreshment Break in the exhibit hall: Sabino/Pima Rooms


Session VIII: Quantitative Precipitation Estimation and Numerical Weather Prediction II
Session Co-Chairs: Jill Hasling (NWA Councilor), Weather Research Center, Houston, TX; Kevin Barjenbruch (Chair, NWA Societal Impacts Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Salt Lake City, UT
3:15pm [p]   Integrating the High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Atmospheric Model into Wind Operations at the Bonneville Power Administration
Charles Ross and Mike Van Tress, Department of Energy/Bonneville Power Administration, Portland, OR

3:30pm [p]   Adding Value to the Guidance beyond Day Two: Temperature Forecast Opportunities Across the NWS Southern Region
Bernard N. Meisner (NWA Councilor), NOAA/National Weather Service, Ft. Worth, TX; and Nestor S. Flecha, University of Puerto Rico – Mayagüez, Mayagüez, PR

3:45pm Presentation withdrawn


Session IX: Weather Decision Support and Outreach I
Session Co-Chairs: Jill Hasling (NWA Councilor), Weather Research Center, Houston, TX; Kevin Barjenbruch (Chair, NWA Societal Impacts Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Salt Lake City, UT
4:00pm [p]   NWS SAFER (Societal Applications For Enhanced Readiness) Program
Darone Jones, NOAA/National Weather Service, Salt Lake City, UT

4:15pm [p]   Integrated Hazard Information Services (IHIS)
John Ferree and Kevin Scharfenberg, NOAA/National Weather Service, Norman, OK; Tracy Hansen and Thomas J. Lefebvre, NOAA/Office of Atmospheric Research/ESRL, Boulder, CO

4:30pm [p]   National Weather Service 2010 Customer Satisfaction Survey Results
Douglas Young, Andy Horvitz, Sal Romano and Andrew Noel, NOAA/National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD

4:45pm [p]   Using Automobiles and Other Vehicles as Mobile Weather Platforms
Michael B. Chapman, Sheldon Drobot and Amanda Anderson, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO

5:00pm Session ends.
Exhibits close. Dinner on your own.

Wednesday, October 6
Madera/Canyon Rooms

7:00am NWA Registration and Information Desk in Hotel Atrium; Closed at 4:00pm

8:00am-5:00pm General Session

11:30am Daily Weather Briefing

11:45am NWA Annual Awards Luncheon: Sabino/Pima Rooms

6:15pm NWA Council Dinner Meeting in Ventana Room



8:00am [p]   Keynote Address
The Future of Weather, Water and Climate: Serving Society in the West

Vickie Nadolski, Director, NOAA/National Weather Service Western Region, Salt Lake City, UT

Session X: Weather Decision Support and Outreach II
Session Co-Chairs: J. Kevin Lavin, NWA Executive Director Emeritus, Charlottesville, VA; Mark Rose (NWA 2011 Local Program Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Birmingham, AL
8:30am [p]   Weather across Borders: Initiatives and Practices on the Texas-Mexico Border
Nezette Rydell, NOAA/National Weather Service, Boulder, CO; Jeral Estupiñán, NOAA/National Weather Service, Brownsville, TX

8:45am [p]   21st Century Weather Decision Support Service for the Aviation Community: The Total Integration of Weather into the Decision Making Process
Brandon Smith and Jeffery Tongue (Co-chair, NWA Education Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Upton, NY

9:00am [p]   Weather Decision Support for NASA at the NWS Spaceflight Meteorology Group
Frank Brody, NOAA/National Weather Service/Spaceflight Meteorology Group, Houston, TX

9:15am [p]   Statistical Analysis of Model Data for Operational Space Launch Weather Support at Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station
William H. Bauman III, NASA/Applied Meteorology Group/ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL. Presented by: William P. Roeder, US Air Force, 45th Operational Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL

9:30am [p]   National Weather Service Hydrology: Now and in the Future
Kai Roth, David B. Reed, David Welsh, and Jeff Graschel, NOAA/National Weather Service, Slidell, LA

9:45am [p]   Weather Decision Support and Societal Impacts at a Large Outdoor Venue: A Case Study from the 2010 Beale Street Music Festival
Jon W. Zeitler, NOAA/National Weather Service, Austin/San Antonio, TX; Richard Okulski (Chair, NWA Specialized Operational Services Committee), and Jonathan Howell, NOAA/National Weather Service, Memphis, TN

10:00am Poster Session II and Coffee Break: Atrium and Ventana Room


Poster Session II: Weather Decision Support and Outreach, Remote Sensing, Winter and Marine Weather, Climate and Climate Change
Co-chairs: Bruce Thomas (NWA Vice-President), Midland Radio Corporation, Kansas City, MO; Jeffrey P. Craven (NWA Treasurer and Chair, NWA Publications Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Dousman, WI
P2.1 Creating Dynamically Downscaled Seasonal Climate Forecast and Climate Change Projection Information for the North American Monsoon Region Suitable for Decision Making Purposes
Christopher L. Castro (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), Francina Dominguez, and Hsin-I Chang, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ

P2.2 El Niño, Arctic Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation, and the 2009-2010 Winter Season
Samuel L. Lashley, Mark Steinwedel and J.A. Logsdon, NOAA/National Weather Service, Syracuse, IN

P2.3 North American Monsoon Variability from Instrumental and Tree-Ring Data
Connie Woodhouse, Christopher L. Castro (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), Hsin-I Chang, Daniel Griffin, and Steven W. Leavitt, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ

P2.4 Statistical Analysis and Verification of Dynamically Downscaled Seasonal Forecast for the Summer North American Monsoon Region
Hsin-I Chang, Christopher L. Castro (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), and Brittany Ciancarelli, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ

P2.5 The Spatial Distribution of Rainfall Patterns in Pinellas County, FL
Cristina A. Mazza and Jennifer M. Collins, University of South Florida, St. Petersburg, FL; Charles H. Paxton, NOAA/National Weather Service, Tampa/Ruskin, FL

P2.6 Summer Weather Camps - Opening Doors to CAREERs in Meteorology
H. Michael Mogil and Vernon Morris, Howard University, Washington, DC

P2.7 Working with the National Weather Service (NWS) Forecasters in Preparation for use of the GOES-R Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI)
Kaba Bah, Justin Sieglaff and Tim Achtor, University of Wisconsin/CIMMS, Madison, WI; Tim Schmit, NOAA/National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service, Madison, WI; Marcia Cronce, NOAA/National Weather Service, Dousman, WI

P2.8 An Investigation to Assess the Robustness of Editing Aircraft Radar Data
Allison M. Schmitz, Timothy Eichler, Robert Pasken, and Charles E. Graves, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO

P2.9 Exploring the Impacts of High-Temporal Resolution Volumetric Radar Data on NWS Warning Decision Making
Daphne S. LaDue, University of Oklahoma, Norman OK; Pamela Heinselman, NOAA/Office of Atmospheric Research/NSSL, Norman, OK; Heather Lazrus, University of Oklahoma, Norman OK

P2.10 Societal Dimensions of the 2009 August 19 Minneapolis Tornado
Matthew Friedlein and Lisa R. Schmidt, NOAA/National Weather Service, Chanhassen, MN

P2.11 The Operational Use of NASA SPoRT Imagery at NWS Albuquerque
Deirdre Kann and Brian Guyer, NOAA/National Weather Service, Albuquerque, NM

P2.12 Application of Current and Future Satellite Capabilities in Support of Fire Weather Mission Support
Peter Roohr and William Campbell, NOAA/National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD; Chris Siewert, NOAA/National Weather Service/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK

P2.13 NDVI Analysis of Hail Swaths Associated With the May 5, 1995 Parker County and Tarrant County, Texas Hailstorm
Kevin Barrett, Texas State University – San Marcos, San Marcos, TX

P2.14 Accuracy of Estimating Wind Speeds from the Tilt of 3-Meter Discus Buoy
Walt McCall and Richard Bouchard, NOAA/National Weather Service/National Data Buoy Center, Stennis Space Center, MS

P2.15 GOES-R Proving Ground: The CIMSS/NWS Sullivan 2010 Testbed
Jeffrey P. Craven (NWA Treasurer and Chair, NWA Publications Committee) and Marcia R. Cronce, NOAA/National Weather Service, Dousman, WI; Wayne F. Feltz and Jordan J. Gerth, University of Wisconsin/CIMSS, Madison, WI

P2.16 Issuing Experimental Warnings at the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed
Greg Stumpf, Sarah Stough, and Travis Smith, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, Norman, OK

P2.17 [p]   Methods to improve one inch diameter hail detection in Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania
Erik Heden and Michael Evans, NOAA/National Weather Service, Binghamton, NY

P2.18 Using the Current Understanding of Societal Response to Warning to Improve the Integrated Warning Team
Andy Bailey, NOAA/National Weather Service, Pleasant Hill, MO

P2.19 Operational Decision Making Considerations for the Prairie and Arctic Storm Prediction Centre (PASPC)
Steve Knott and Heather Rombaugh, Environment Canada/Prairie and Arctic Storm Prediction Center, Edmonton, AB

P2.20 The National Weather Digest: More than Three Decades of Service to the Meteorological Community
Gary P. Ellrod, Chief Editor, NWA Digest; Anthony Lupo (Co-Editor, NWA Digest), University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; Stephen Harned, NWA Executive Director & NWA Digest Publisher, Raleigh, NC; Peter Roohr (Emeritus Digest Editor), NOAA/National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Kevin Lavin, NWA Executive Director Emeritus, Charlottesville, VA

P2.21 NWA Aviation Meteorology Committee Outreach Efforts
Terry T. Lankford, FAA Flight Service Specialist (retired), Murphys, CA

P2.22 Poster withdrawn


P2.23 Making Idaho Roads Safer: A Partnership Between the National Weather Service and the Idaho Transportation Department
Dan Valle, John Keyes and Dean Hazen, NOAA/National Weather Service, Pocatello, Idaho

P2.24 [p]   An Enhanced CWSU Briefing Tool: Thunderstorm Tactical Decision Aid for Aviation Interests
William Modzelewski, NOAA/National Weather Service, Cleveland, OH

P2.25 A Framework for Integrating Digital Aviation Services Into Forecast Operations
Jeff S. Waldstreicher (NWA Councilor) and Fred McMullen, NOAA/National Weather Service, Bohemia, NY; Joseph Dellicarpini, NOAA/National Weather Service, Taunton, MA

P2.26 Testing and Transition of Spaceflight Meteorology Group Decision Support Simulation Concepts to the NWS Austin/San Antonio Weather Forecast Office
Kurt M. Van Speybroeck, NOAA/National Weather Service/Spaceflight Meteorology Group, Houston, TX; Jon W. Zeitler, NOAA/National Weather Service, Austin/San Antonio, TX

P2.27 Decision Support for a Low Confidence Snow Event During The 2010 Super Bowl Sunday
Chris Duke and Richard Okulski (Chair, NWA Specialized Operational Services Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Memphis, TN

P2.28 Synchronization of Fishes Temporal Feeding Patterns with Weather in Mid-Missouri
Anthony R. Lupo (Editor, NWA Digest) and Robert S. Hayward, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; Gregory W. Whitledge, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale, IL

P2.29 [p]   MyWIDA: A Personalized Weather Impacts Decision Aid
David Knapp (NWA Past President ’06), Subing Zeng, and Richard Szymber, Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM

P2.30 [p]   Conducting Effective Debriefings to Improve Teamwork and Services
Tim Oram, NOAA/National Weather Service/Spaceflight Meteorology Group, Houston, TX; Lance Wood

P2.31 [p]   Conveying Medium Range Uncertainty Forecasts to Diverse Stakeholders
Erik Pytlak (Chair, NWA 2010 Local Program Committee) NOAA/National Weather Service, Tucson, AZ; Michael Crimmins (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), Christopher Castro (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), and Gregg Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; Erin Jordan, KOLD-TV, Tucson, AZ

P2.32 Tool for Forecasting Cool-Season Peak Winds Across Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, Phase II
Joe Barrett, NASA/Applied Meteorology Unit, Cocoa Beach, FL

P2.33 An Unusual May Windstorm over the Denver Metropolitan Area
Sam Ng (Chair, NWA Weather Analysis and Forecasting Committee) and Richard Wagner, Metropolitan State College of Denver, Denver, CO

P2.34 Coastal Gravity Wave Event of 24 April 2010
Scott Overpeck, Chris McKinney and Kent Prochazka, NOAA/National Weather Service, Houston/Dickinson, TX

P2.35 The Northern Nevada Winter Storm of 14-16 April 2009
Ryan Knutsvig (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee) and Clair Ketchum, NOAA/National Weather Service, Elko, NV

P2.36 Analysis of the 12 February 2010 North Central Gulf Coast Heavy Snow Event
Jason Beaman and John Werner, NOAA/National Weather Service, Mobile, AL

P2.37 Composite Analysis of Conceptual Models for Significant Snowstorms in the Lower Ohio Valley
Erin Snavely and Theodore W. Funk, NOAA/National Weather Service, Louisville, KY; Evan B. Webb, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY; Chad Gravelle and Charles E. Graves, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO

P2.38 Effects of Cold Fronts on the Rio Grande Valley
Jeral Estupiñan, Geoffrey Bogorad, Robert Hart and Adrian Ortiz, NOAA/National Weather Service, Brownsville, TX

P2.39 WFO Flagstaff's Usage of Web-Based Weather Graphics for High-Impact Weather Events During the Winter and Spring of 2009-2010
Nicholas Petro, NOAA/National Weather Service, Flagstaff, AZ

P2.40 A Look at the June 20, 2010 Billings, MT Father's Day Tornado
Matt Solum and Marc Singer, NOAA/National Weather Service, Billings, MT

P2.41 Improving Efficiency and Decision Support in the National Weather Service Weather Forecast Offices Using Microsoft SharePoint
Matt Solum, NOAA/National Weather Service, Billings, MT

P2.42 Reviewing the Mid Atlantic Coast Nor'easter of November 11 through 13, 2009
John Billet, NOAA/National Weather Service, Wakefield, VA; Steven Zubrick (NWA President), NOAA/National Weather Service, Sterling, VA

P2.43 Diagnosis of Synoptic Patterns for Snow Events in Northern Alabama
Michael Coyne (Chair, NWA Information Technology Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Huntsville, AL; Ismari Ramos, University of Puerto Rico at Mayagüez, Mayagüez, PR

11:30am Daily Weather Briefing by Students of the California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA


11:45am NWA Annual Awards Luncheon: Sabino/Pima Rooms


2:15pm [p]   The 2010 Weather Year in Review
Greg Carbin, NOAA/National Weather Service/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK

3:00pm Refreshment Break: Atrium


Session XI: In-situ and Remote Sensing
Session Co-Chairs: Deirdre Kann, NOAA/National Weather Service, Albuquerque, NM; Chris Bowman, NOAA/National Weather Service, Pleasant Hill, MO
3:15pm [p]   Dual Polarization Radar: An Update on the Upgrade
Paul Schlatter, NOAA/National Weather Service/WDTB, Norman, OK

3:30pm [p]   NOAA's Satellites: Operational Updates, AWIPS Products, Fire and Ice, and More!
Thomas Renkevens and Brian Hughes, NOAA/National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service, Camp Springs, MD

3:45pm [p]   Cooperative Weather Observer Program (COOP): Beyond 2010 a Good Look at the Program
Joel Cline, NOAA/National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD

4:00pm [p]   AWIPS-II and GOES-R: When Updated Information Processing Systems and New Satellites Meet
Jordan Gerth, University of Wisconsin/CIMSS, Madison, WI

4:15pm [p]   GOES-R Proving Ground Plans for the 2010 Hurricane Season at the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Spring Experiment
James Gurka, Steve Goodman, and Timothy Schmit, NOAA/National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service, Greenbelt, MD; Chris Siewert, NOAA/National Weather Service/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK; Mark DeMaria, NOAA/National Weather Service/Tropical Prediction Center, Coral Gables, FL

4:30pm [p]   NOAA's Role in the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Mission
Ralph Ferraro (Chair, NWA Remote Sensing Committee), NOAA/National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service, College Park, MD

4:45pm [p]   Examination of a Winter Storm Using a Micro-Rain Radar and AMDAR Aircraft Soundings
Barrett Smith and Jonathan Blaes, NOAA/National Weather Service, Raleigh, NC; Sandra Yuter, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC

5:00pm Session ends.
Dinner on your own.

Thursday, October 7
Madera/Canyon Rooms

7:00am NWA Registration and Information Desk in Hotel Atrium; Closed at 5:00pm

8:00am-5:00pm General Session

12:30pm Daily Weather Briefing



8:00am [p]   Keynote Address
Advancing the Prediction Enterprises Beyond Weather - The Future is Now

Louis W. Uccellini, Director, NOAA/National Weather Service National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Camp Springs, MD

Session XII: Winter and Marine Weather
Session Co-Chairs: Ryan Knutsvig (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Elko, NV; W. James Steenburgh, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT.
8:30am [p]   Conceptual Model Verification: Heavy Snow Producing Northeast U.S. Cyclones
Chad M. Gravelle and Charles E. Graves, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO; Martin A. Baxter, Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, MI

8:45am [p]   The Application of Diabatic Heating in Q-vectors for the Study of a Midwest Cyclone Event
Justin J. Abraham, Katie L. Crandall, Laurel P. McCoy, Rachel Tillot, Patrick S. Market (NWA President-Elect, Chair, NWA Nominating Committee, and Chair, 3rd Annual Student Session ), and Anthony R. Lupo (Editor, NWA Digest), University of Missouri, Columbia, MO

9:00am [p]   Collection and Analysis of Upper-air Sounding Data (CAUSD) during the Profiling Of Winter Storms (PLOWS) Project. Part I: Overview
Patrick S. Market (NWA President-Elect, Chair, NWA Nominating Committee, and Chair, 3rd Annual Student Session), Katie Crandall, Vanessa Melton, and Jennifer Power, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO

9:15am [p]   Collection and Analysis of Upper Air Sounding Data (CAUSD) during the Profiling Of Winter Storms (PLOWS) Project. Part II: Lightning-bearing storms
Patrick S. Market (NWA President-Elect, Chair, NWA Nominating Committee, and Chair, 3rd Annual Student Session) , Robert Rauber, Joseph Wegman, and Katie Crandall, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO

9:30am [p]   COAMPS-TC Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones Interacting with Mountain Islands in the Pacific
Brian J. Billings, National Research Council, Monterey, CA; James D. Doyle, USN/Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA

9:45am [p]   The Storm Surge and Inundation Modeling under CIPS (Chesapeake Bay Inundation Prediction System) Project for the November 2009 Nor’easter for Hampton Roads Virginia
John Billet, NOAA/National Weather Service, Wakefield, VA; Steven Zubrick (NWA President), NOAA/National Weather Service, Sterling, VA; Harry V. Wang, Virginia Institute of Marine Sciences, Gloucester Point, VA

10:00am Coffee Break: Atrium


Session XIII: Improving Extreme Weather Event Characterization I
Session Co-Chairs: Randy Graham (NWA Councilor and NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Salt Lake City, UT; Glenn Lader (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Tucson, AZ
10:30am [p]   Lessons Learned From the Pacific Pounding of January 2010
Chris Stachelski, NOAA/National Weather Service, Las Vegas, NV

10:45am [p]   A Review of the 18-23 January 2010 Arizona Winter Storms
Paul Iñiguez, NOAA/National Weather Service, Phoenix, AZ; Glenn Lader (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Tucson, AZ

11:00am [p]   Summer Dust Storms in Phoenix, Arizona: Station Climatology and Classification of Synoptic Scale Patterns
Craig Shoemaker (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee) and Jeffrey T. Davis, NOAA/National Weather Service, Tucson, AZ

11:15am [p]   Improving Storm Damage Data Collection using Smart Phones and Laptop Computers with GIS Web Servers
Keith Stellman, NOAA/National Weather Service, Shreveport, LA; Parks Camp, NOAA/National Weather Service, Tallahassee, FL

11:30am Lunch on your own


12:30pm Daily Weather Briefing: Students of the University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ


Session XIV: Improving Extreme Weather Event Characterization II
Sessions Co-Chairs: Connie Woodhouse, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; Kelly Mahoney, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO
12:45pm [p]   Storm-Based Convective Warning Best Practices
Kevin Scharfenberg and John Ferree, NOAA/National Weather Service, Norman, OK

1:00pm [p]   Climatology of Standard Deviation of High Temperature Across the United States
Larry Brown, NOAA/National Weather Service, Wakefield, VA

1:15pm [p]   Evaluation of State-of-the-Art Research Diagnostics to Improve Clear Air Turbulence at NOAA's Aviation Weather Center
Gary P. Ellrod, Chief Editor, NWA Digest, NOAA-retired, Granby, CT; John A. Knox, University of Georgia, Athens, GA; Steven Silberberg, NOAA/National Weather Service, Kansas City, MO

1:30pm [p]   Anticipating a Rare Event Utilizing Forecast Anomalies: An Event and Forecast for the Ages?
Randy Graham (NWA Councilor and NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), Nanette Hosenfeld and Trevor Alcott, NOAA/National Weather Service, Salt Lake City, UT; Rich Grumm, NOAA/National Weather Service, State College, PA

Session XV: Climate and Climate Change I
Sessions Co-Chairs: Connie Woodhouse, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; Kelly Mahoney, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO
1:45pm [p]   A Severe Storm Environment Climatology for the Continental United States
Russell S. Schneider and Andy R. Dean, NOAA/National Weather Service/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK

2:00pm Climatology, Life Cycle, and Impacts of Intermountain Cyclones
W. James Steenburgh, Matt Jeglum and Greg West, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; Lance Bosart and Tiros Lee, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY

2:15pm [p]   Climatology of Cold-Season Nonconvective Wind Events for the Northern Plains Region
Jonathan Kurtz and Jason Martinelli, Creighton University, Omaha, NE

2:30pm Refreshment Break: Atrium


Session XVI: Climate and Climate Change II
Sessions Co-Chairs: Christopher Castro (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; Glen Sampson (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), NOAA/National Weather Service, Tucson, AZ
3:00pm [p]   The Impact of Interaction between the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the Madden-Julian Oscillation on Eastern North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Activity
David R. Roache and Jennifer M. Collins, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL

3:15pm [p]   Statistical Analysis and Mechanisms Examining the Link Between the North American Monsoon System and Easterly Waves
Simona Seastrand, Yolande Serra, Christopher L. Castro (NWA 2010 Local Program Committee), and Elizabeth Ritchie, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ

3:30pm [p]   Is Too Much Rain Always a Bad Thing?
John Keyes and Dan Valle, NOAA/National Weather Service, Pocatello, ID

3:45pm [p]   Extreme Precipitation Events in Future Climates: Water-based Research Applications in the Colorado Front Range
Kelly Mahoney, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO; David Raff, John England and Jade Soddell, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Lakewood, CO; Michael Alexander, NOAA/Office of Atmospheric Research/ESRL, Boulder, CO; James Scott and Joe Barsugli, NOAA/Office of Atmospheric Research/CIRES, Boulder, CO

4:00pm [p]   The 2009-2010 Extreme Precipitation Deficit and Record Heat in South Texas: Worst Drought on Record Followed by a Cold and Wet Winter
Alexander O. Tardy, NOAA/National Weather Service, Corpus Christi, TX

4:30pm How Atypical Were the Impacts of the 2009-10 El Niño on Central California?
Gary E. Sanger and Brian S. Ochs, NOAA/National Weather Service, Hanford, CA

4:45pm Closing Remarks


5:00pm 35th NWA Annual Meeting adjourns.