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NATIONAL WEATHER ASSOCIATION
31st ANNUAL MEETING
14-19 OCTOBER 2006
ONLINE PRESENTATIONS


The NWA would like to thank the authors for making their presentations available to the association and the public. Some presentations may not be online if the author chose not to grant the NWA permission to make the presentation available due to proprietary or other considerations. The abstract and presentations are organized by day and topic within the conference agenda. A link is provided for each presentation that is available on-line.  Some of the presenations are large and may take a while to download on dial-up connections.  An approximate file size is listed for each presentation.  Typical times to download the file are:


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The link for Poster Presentations provides the abstract for the presentation.  Poster presentations are not available on the NWA site at this time.

Sunday, 15 October 2006

BROADCASTER WORKSHOP

0830 AM Welcoming Remarks. NWA President, David I. Knapp, U. S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM.

0835 AM Opening Remarks. NWA Broadcast Meteorology Committee Chair, Mike Goldberg, WTVR-TV, Richmond, VA., and Broadcaster Workshop Program Chair, Bryan Karrick, (NWA Councilor) KCCI-TV, Des Moines, IA (bkarrick@hearst.com)

0845 AM Welcome to Cleveland!
Betsy Kling, (NWA Councilor, Public Relations Chair and Local Arrangements Committee Chair) Broadcast Meteorologist for WKYC-TV, Cleveland, OH
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0900 AM Using COMET Modules as Educational and Continuing Education Opportunities.
Elizabeth Page, (NWA Secretary) UCAR/COMET, Greensboro, NC.
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0915 AM Watershed Education for Weather Broadcasters.
Matthew Kelsch, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO.
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0930 AM The Functionality of a New Radar Software Package: GRLevel2 Analyst Edition.
Ted Keller, KOLR/KSFX-TV, Ceaseless Wind LLC, Springfield, MO.
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0945 AM The First Operational Polarimetric Doppler Radar for Television Use.
James-Paul Dice, WHNT-TV, Huntsville, AL.
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1000 AM Coffee Break in Ballrooms A & B

1030 AM Performance of New Tornado Detection Algorithms: The 18 August 2005 Stoughton, Wisconsin Tornado.
Mike Beles, Weather Central, Inc., Madison, WI.
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1045 AM Cyclone Saturday: A Review of the Teamwork and Technology during the 12 November 2005 Iowa Tornadoes.
John McLaughlin, (NWA Past-president) KCCI-TV, Des Moines, IA and Daryl Herzmann, Iowa State University, Ames, IA.
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1100 AM The Use of Mesoscale Analysis.
Daniel McCarthy, (NWA Councilor and Annual Awards Committee Chair) NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK.
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1200 NOON Lunch on your own; Exhibits open in Ballrooms A & B

0130 PM Introduction to Weather Radar Interpretation: Some Useful Insights for the TV Meteorologist.
Richard Kane, NOAA/NWS Pittsburgh, PA.
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0230 PM Walk In My Shoes: Unique Simulation Efforts at the 2006 National Severe Weather Workshop.
Elizabeth Quoetone, (NWA Commissioner of Committees) NOAA/NWS/WDTB Norman, OK. Daphne LaDue and Paul Schlatter, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK, John McLaughlin, KCCI-TV, Des Moines, IA and Dave Freeman, KSNW-TV, Wichita, KS.
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0245 PM A Public-Private Partnership to Saturate Two Television Markets with NOAA Weather Radio.
Wayne Hart, WEHT-TV, Evansville, IN, John McLaughlin, (NWA Past-president) KCCI-TV, Des Moines, IA, Rick Shanklin, NOAA/NWS Paducah, KY and Jeff Johnson, NOAA/NWS Des Moines, IA.
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0300 PM Refreshment Break sponsored by WeatherBug (www.weatherbug.com) and Exhibits Open in Ballrooms A & B

0330 PM From Watching to Watching Out: Public Reaction to Severe Weather Information.
Jim Rasor & Samantha Davies, WSIL-TV, Carterville, IL.
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0345 PM FLASH: Strengthening Homes and Safeguarding Families through Partnerships.
Leslie Chapman-Henderson, President/CEO of Federal Alliance for Safe Homes (FLASH, Inc.), Tallahassee, FL.

0410 PM Storm-based Warnings: Changes to NWS Warnings for the Digital Age.
John Ferree, NOAA/NWS/Severe Storm Service Leader, Norman, OK and Dave Freeman, Chief Meteorologist, KSNW-TV, Wichita, KS.
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0430 PM SHARK-BAIT: How To Avoid Major Mistakes in Employment Contract Negotiations.
Avery Friedman, Friedman Associates, Cleveland, OH.
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0450 PM NWA Seal Recertification Update.
Bryan Karrick, NWA Seal of Approval Recertification Chair and Mike Goldberg, Broadcast Meteorology Committee Chair
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0500 PM Dinner on your own; Exhibits open in Ballrooms A & B until 6:00 PM.

0700 PM TAPE SWAP 2006 in Ballroom C. Mike Goldberg, Broadcast Meteorology Committee chair, WTVR-TV, Richmond VA and Larry Rice, Broadcast Seal Committee chair, KOB-TV, Albuquerque, NM. Refreshments will be served after 8:00 PM thanks to the generosity of Baron Services, Inc. (www.baronservices.com). [Attendees: please submit your VHS tapes to the NWA Registration and Information Desk volunteers by 5:00 PM & insure your name, address, and station are listed on the tape.]

1030 PM NWA Annual Meeting scheduled activities close for the day.

Monday, 16 October 2006 - Annual Meeting General Sessions

0715 AM NWA Registration/Information Desk opens at the InterContinental Hotel on the 2nd floor in the foyer of the Ballroom.

0800 AM Welcoming Remarks: NWA President, David I. Knapp, U. S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM, Theresa Rossi, NWA Annual Meeting Program Committee Chair, (NWA Past-president) NOAA/NWS Pittsburgh, PA and Michael Vescio, (NWA Vice President) NOAA/NWS Pendleton, OR.

0815 AM Keynote Address. Van Wert Tornado - A Community Prepared.
Rick McCoy, Director Emergency Management Agency, Van Wert County, OH.
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0845 AM Keynote Address. NOAA National Weather Service Future in the Digital Age.
Brigadier General USAF (Ret.) David L. Johnson, NOAA Assistant Administrator for Weather Services and Director, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD.
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0915 AM Keynote Address. NOAA/NWS Initiative to Improve Weather, Water, and Climate Services.
Dean P. Gulezian, Director National Weather Service Eastern Region, Bohemia, NY.
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0945 AM NWA Announcements. NWA President, David I. Knapp

1000 AM Coffee Break; Exhibits open in Ballrooms A & B

SESSION: CUSTOMER SERVICE
Session Chair: Elizabeth Quoetone, (NWA Commissioner of Committees) NOAA/NWS/WDTB Norman, OK.

1030 AM The Nation's Weather Enterprise: Short Course on the Public/Private Partnership.
John Toohey-Morales, CCM, National Council of Industrial Meteorologists (NCIM), NBC Telemundo, Miami, FL.
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1045 AM Improving Partnerships Through Training: An Interactive Web-supported Training Exercise for Decision-makers.
Jason Johnson, Jonathan Brazzell, Derek Deroche, Scott Overpeck, Seth Nagle, Julie States, Hector Guerrero (NWA Councilor) and Amy McCullough, NOAA/NWS San Angelo, TX.
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1100 AM Instant Messaging, Then and Now.
Faith Borden and Darone Jones, NOAA/NWS Birmingham, AL and Daryl Herzmann, Iowa State University, Ames, IA.
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1115 AM Impact Weather Communications.
Mark Fox and Tom Bradshaw, NOAA/NWS Southern Region Headquarters, Fort Worth, TX.
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1130 AM Lunch on Your Own; Exhibits open in Ballrooms A & B

0100 PM The WEBCEM- An Automated Dissemination Method for Issuing Non-Weather Related Hazardous Warnings via the Web.
Brian C. Carcione, Timothy W. Troutman, John Mike Coyne and Jason E. Burks, NOAA/NWS Huntsville, AL.
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0115 PM Watching Paint Weather: An Overview of How We Use Different Climates and Weather Factors to Ensure Paint Will Last.
Guy Wilson, Ph.D., Sherwin-Williams Company, Cleveland, OH.
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0130 PM A Public-Private Partnership to Saturate Two Television Markets with NOAA Weather Radio.
John McLaughlin, (NWA Past-president) KCCI-TV, Des Moines, IA, Wayne Hart, WEHT-TV, Evansville, IN, Rick Shanklin, NOAA/NWS Paducah, KY and Jeff Johnson, NOAA/NWS Des Moines, IA.
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0145 PM Applied Meteorology in the Mobile Marketplace.
Bob Baron and Rob Doornbos, Baron Services, Inc., Huntsville, AL.
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SESSION: WINTER WEATHER
Session Chair: Peter Manousos, NOAA/NWS Camp Springs, MD.

0200 PM On the Co-existence of Thundersnow and Heavy Snowfall.
Christina Crowe, Patrick Market (NWA Councilor), Brian Pettegrew, and Chris Melick, University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO.
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0215 PM Lake Effect Thunder Snows Over the Eastern Great Lakes.
Robert Hamilton, NOAA/NWS Buffalo, NY and Scott Steiger, Ph.D. SUNY Oswego, NY.
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0230 PM Simulation of Lake Effect Snow Using the Workstation WRF Model.
Daniel Leins and Robert LaPlante, NOAA/NWS Cleveland, OH.
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0245 PM Correlations between Observed Snowfall and NAM Forecast Parameters.
Michael Evans and Michael L. Jurewicz Sr., NOAA/NWS Binghamton, NY.
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0300 PM The Great Ohio Blizzard of 1978: Storm Review and Assessment of Societal Impacts.
Kirk A. Lombardy, NOAA/NWS Cleveland, OH and Dr. Thomas W. Schmidlin, Kent State University, Kent, OH.
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0315 PM The Blizzard of 2006 in the Northeast: A look inside the Operations of a National Weather Service Forecast Office.
Patrick Maloit and Jeffrey Tongue, NOAA/NWS Upton, NY.
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0330 PM Refreshment Break; Exhibits open in Ballrooms A & B

SESSION: PROBABILISTIC FORECASTING
Session Chair: Robert S. Davis, NOAA/NWS Pittsburgh, PA.

0400 PM Model JUMPINESS and the Need for Ensembles.
Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWS State College, PA and Lance F. Bosart, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY.
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0415 PM Using Ensemble Probability Forecasts and High Resolution Models To Identify Severe Weather Threats.
Josh Korotky, NOAA/NWS Pittsburgh, PA and Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWS State College, PA.
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0430 PM Expressing Uncertainty in Both Hazardous and Routine Weather Forecasts at a NWS Forecast Office.
Jeffrey P. Craven, (NWA Councilor and Co-chair Weather Analysis & Forecasting Committee) NOAA/NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI.
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0445 PM The Short-Range Ensemble Forecast: Applying Uncertainty and Probabilistic Forecasts of Winter Storms.
Matthew Steinbugl, NOAA/NWS Des Moines, IA and Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWS State College, PA.
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0500 PM Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics to Improve 12-Hour Probability of Precipitation Forecasts.
John P. Gagan, NOAA/NWS Springfield, MO and Chad Entremont, NOAA/NWS Jackson, MS.
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0515 PM Updating Thunderstorm Probability Forecast Guidance in Support of Gridded Model Output Statistics.
Kathryn Gilbert, NOAA/NWS Silver Spring, MD.
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0530 PM Session ends; Administrative announcements Exhibits close; NWA Registration/Information desk closes

0600 PM BOARD SHUTTLE BUSSES for ROCK and ROLL HALL of FAME and MUSEUM. Thanks to Oregon Scientific, Inc., (www2.oregonscientific.com/) the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum have been reserved for Monday evening for NWA Annual Meeting attendees and guests to tour the museum and enjoy a reception. The Cleveland Convention and Visitors Bureau is supplying the bus transportation and sponsoring the "look-live" video reports broadcasters can send back to their station via the Internet. A Cleveland company, Digital Newsreel, has perfected sending and receiving broadcast quality video over the Internet. Broadcasters that are interested in this opportunity should contact betsykling@wkyc.com to reserve a "look-live" spot.

0900 PM Busses will return attendees to the InterContinental Hotel after 0900 PM. Broadcaster Dinner will be at the House of Blues for those wishing to attend.

Tuesday, 17 October 2006 - Annual Meeting General Sessions

0730 AM NWA Registration/Information Desk opens at the InterContinental Hotel on the 2nd floor in the foyer of the Ballroom.

0740 AM Weather Briefing (Ballroom C)

SESSION: SEVERE WEATHER I
Session Chair: Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWS State College, PA

0800 AM Verification of Particularly Dangerous Situation (PDS) Watches.
Joseph T. Schaefer, (NWA Past-president) NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Director, Norman, OK and Andrew R. Dean, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK.
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0815 AM The Severe Hail Verification Experiment (SHAVE 2006).
Travis Smith, Kiel Ortega, and Kevin Scharfenberg, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, OK.
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0830 AM Changes in F-Scale, Hail and Wind Reports.
Daniel McCarthy and Joseph Schaefer, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK.
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0845 AM A Proposal for a Threat Level Scale for National Weather Service Severe Thunderstorm Warnings.
Kelly G. Godsey, Robert C. Goree and Andrew I. Watson, NOAA/NWS Tallahassee, FL.
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0900 AM SVRGIS: Geographic Information System (GIS) Graphical Database of Tornado, Large Hail, and Damaging Wind Reports in the United States (1950-2005).
Bryan Smith, Ball State University, Muncie, IN.
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0915 AM Cyclone Saturday: A Review of the Teamwork and Technology During the 12 November 2005 Iowa Tornadoes.
John McLaughlin (NWA Past-president), KCCI-TV, Des Moines, IA and Daryl Herzmann, Iowa State University, Ames, IA.
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0930 AM Performance of the Experimental 4.5 km WRF-NMM Model During Recent Severe Weather Outbreaks.
Steven J. Weiss, (NWA Past-president) NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center (SPC), Norman, OK, John S. Kain NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms Laboratory, Boulder, CO, David R. Bright , NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK. Matthew E. Pyle, Zavisa I. Janjic and Brad S. Ferrier, NOAA/NWS Environmental Modeling Center, Camp Springs, MD.
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0945 AM The 11-13 March 2006 Mid-South Tornado Outbreak - Why it Never Occurred.
Dan Valle, NOAA/NWS Memphis, TN.
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1000 AM Coffee Break; Exhibits open in Ballrooms A & B

SESSION: Special Tribute to the late Roderick A. Scofield, NWA Past-president Session Chairs: Kenneth F. Carey, (NWA Remote Sensing Committee Chair) Mitretek Systems, Inc., Falls Church, VA and Michael Eilts, Warning Decision Technologies Inc., Norman, OK.

1030 AM Estimating Rainfall from GOES Satellite Imagery - The Early Years.
Samuel K. Beckman, NOAA/NWS Kansas City, MO.
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1045 AM A GOES-Eye View of Rod Scofield's Legacy.
Robert J. Kuligowski, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, Camp Springs, MD.
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1100 AM Statewide Monitoring of the Mesoscale Environment: A Technical Update on the Oklahoma Mesonet.
Ken Crawford (NWA Past-president) and Renee A. McPherson, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK.
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1115 AM Cloud Lightning From the National Lightning Detection Network (NLDN).
Ronald Holle, Nicholas Demetriades and Martin Murphy, Vaisala, Inc., Tucson, AZ.
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1130 AM POSTER SESSION I [Lunch on your own; Exhibits open in Ballrooms A & B] Posters will be available all afternoon.


POSTERS:
P1.1 Assessment of Kean University Configured Real-Time WRF.
Shing Yoh and Braden Ward, Kean University, Union, NJ.

P1.2 Sounding the "Muck Fire" Alarm - Could it Return to Northeast Ohio?
Dale A. Dockus, FedEx Corp., Memphis, TN.

P1.3 Atmospheric Blocking Patterns and Effects on Air Quality in the Great Lakes Region.
Frank Dempsey, Pickering, Ontario, Canada.

P1.4 Convective Initiation in New Jersey.
Paul J. Croft (NWA Past-president), Steven L. Koenigstein, Justin Lewis, Ryan Matthews, Melissa C. Rod and Mike Szczepanski, Kean University, Union, NJ.

P1.5 Mesoscale Features in New Jersey: Initial Investigations.
Paul J. Croft, Melissa C. Rod and Ryan Matthews, Kean University, Union, NJ.

P1.6 The Mississippi Mesonet: Growth and Applications.
Loren White, Elizabeth Matlack and Quincy Jones, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS, and Gary Galloway, Newton County Emergency Management Agency, Decatur, MS.

P1.7 A Comparison of Wind Speed Data from Mechanical and Ultrasonic Anemometers.
David A. Short, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL, Leonard Wells, 30th Weather Squadron, Vandenberg AFB, CA, Francis Merceret, Weather Office NASA/Kennedy Space Center, FL, William P. Roeder, 45th Weather Squadron, Cape Canaveral AFS, FL.

P1.8 GOES-R Instrument CONOPS Considerations.
Thomas Renkevens and Tim Walsh, NOAA/NESDIS, Greenbelt, MD.

P1.9 Recent Improvements to the AMSU Hydrological Product Suite.
Ralph Ferraro, (NWA Councilor) NOAA/NESDIS and ESSIC/CICS University of Maryland, College Park, MD.

P1.10 Remote Sensing Applications and Technologies: The Africa Challenges
Kenneth Rumi Ayadiani, Nigerian Meteorological Agency, Murtala Muhammed International Airport, Lagos, Nigeria.

P1.11 Changes in Precipitation Water Vapor Sensed by Ground Based GPS in Three Gorges Region.
Rong Wan, Wuhan Institute of Heavy Rain of China Meteorological Administration, Wuhan, China, Ruilin Du, Institute of Seismology of China Earthquake Administration, Wuhan, China, Guoguang Zheng, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China, and Wei Wang, Institute of Seismology of China Earthquake Administration, Wuhan, China.

P1.12 Building a Florida Centric Road Weather Information System.
Patrick T. Welsh and J. David Lambert, University of North Florida, Jacksonville, FL.

P1.13 The Hazard Mapping System (HMS)-A Multiplatform Remote Sensing Approach to Fire and Smoke Detection for Air Quality Applications.
Jamie Kibler and John Simko, NOAA/NESDIS/OSDPD, Camp Springs, MD. Shobha Kondragunta, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, Camp Springs, MD. Roland Draxler, NOAA/OAR/ARL, Silver Spring, MD. Po Li, QSS, Camp Springs, MD.

P1.14 GOES Satellite Data Distribution: Past, Present, and Future.
Thomas Renkevens NOAA/NESDIS, Greenbelt, MD and John Paquette, NOAA/NESDIS.

P1.15 UPWARDS at Kean! Year II: Agents of Change.
Paul J. Croft, Kean University, Union, NJ.

P1.16 Turn Around Don't Drown: A Campaign Built on Partnerships.
Hector Guerrero, (NWA Councilor) NOAA/NWS San Angelo, TX, Leslie Chapman-Henderson, Federal Alliance for Safe Homes, Tallahassee, FL, Roy Sedwick, Texas Flood Plain Management, Austin, TX, Larry Wenzel, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD and Kandis Boyd, NOAA/NWS Southern Region, Fort Worth, TX.

P1.17 Timmy The Twister: Raising Daily Community Severe Weather Awareness.
Dan Valle, Jim Belles and Rich Okulski, NOAA/NWS Memphis, TN

P1.18 Tornado Safety Recommendations for Persons in Mobile Homes or Motor Vehicles.
Thomas W. Schmidlin, Kent State University, Kent, OH.

P1.19 The NOAA Center for Atmospheric Sciences: Impacts to the Meteorological Community.
Loren White, Rezwanul Karim, R. S. Reddy, Duanjun Lu, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS and Vernon Morris, Howard University, Washington, D.C.

P1.20 How Broadcast News Shapes Memories of Severe Weather: Hurricane Katrina as a Defining Event.
Josh Nathan, Private Meteorological Consultant, Englewood, CO.

P1.21 Empowering Critical Decision Makers: A National Weather Service and North Carolina Department of Transportation Partnership.
Jeff Orrock and Kermit Keeter, NOAA/NWS Raleigh, NC and Lonnie Watkins, North Carolina Department of Transportation, Raleigh, NC.

P1.22 NOAA Weather Radio Awareness Upsurge: Positive Aftermath Following the Killer Evansville Area Tornado of 6 Nov 2005.
Matthew T. Friedlein, NOAA/NWS Chanhassen, MN.

P1.23 Leveraging Community Organizations to Accomplish Public All-Hazards Awareness: The West Central Texas All Hazards Preparedness Campaign.
Carl Wright, NOAA/NWS San Angelo, TX, Nicole Gonzales, Citizens Corps., Kent Brown, Boy Scouts of America, Marissa Swank, Concho Valley Electric Coop., and Rosendo Velez, New York Critical Response Medical Services.

P1.24 Climate Outreach Toolkit.
Patricia A. Wnek, NOAA/NWS State College, PA.

P1.25 Air Quality Index and Synoptic Weather Type in the Northern Mid-Atlantic States.
Paul J. Croft and Belkys V. Melendez, Kean University, Union, NJ.

P1.26 Using Historic Teleconnection Datasets to Identify Abnormal Weather Regimes in the Missouri Ozarks.
John Gagan and Gene Hatch, NOAA/NWS Springfield, MO.

P1.27 The Community Collaborative Rain, Hail, and Snow Network (CoCoRaHs) comes to Missouri.
Patrick E. Guinan, Missouri Climate Center/University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO, Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO, and Rachel N. Redburn, Missouri Climate Center/University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO.

P1.28 Blocking in the Northern and Southern Hemisphere: An Update to Include 2000-2006.
Joseph V. Clark, Kristen M. Mihalka and Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO.

P1.29 Climatology of Non-Convective Windstorms in the Great Lakes Region.
John A. Knox, University of Georgia, Athens, GA.

P1.30 October Tropical Cyclone Activity Relative to New Jersey.
Paul J. Croft and Steven L. Koenigstein, Kean University, Union, NJ.

P1.31 The Frequency of Tropical Cyclones Moving into Missouri and the Synoptic Environment.
Rachel N. Redburn and Patrick E. Guinan. Missouri Climate Center/University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO and Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO.

P1.32 Assessing Confidence in Ensemble Prediction System Forecasts.
Richard H. Grumm and Ron Holmes, NOAA/NWS State College, PA, Robert Hart and Andrew Durante, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL.

P1.33 Examining the GFS Model in a Busted Snow Event: 16 January 2003.
Chad M. Gravelle, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO, Fred H. Glass, NOAA/NWS Saint Louis, MO, Charles E. Graves and the late James T. Moore (NWA Past-president) Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO.

P1.34 Area Specific Flash Flood Warnings.
Audra C. Hennecke, Penn State University, University Park, PA and Stephen Rogowski, Richard Hitchens and Sarah E. Allen, NOAA/NWS Sterling, VA.



SESSION: REMOTE SENSING APPLICATIONS AND TECHNOLOGIES
Session Chairs: Kenneth F. Carey, (NWA Remote Sensing Committee Chair) Mitretek Systems, Inc., Falls Church, VA and Michael Eilts, Warning Decision Technologies Inc., Norman, OK.

0130 PM Current and Future GOES Program Overview.
Thomas Renkevens, NOAA/NESDIS, Greenbelt, MD, Timothy J. Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS, Madison, WI and Tim Walsh, John Paquette and Brian Hughes, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD.
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0145 PM Operational Implications of the GOES-R.
Timothy J. Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS, Madison, WI, Thomas Renkevens NOAA/NESDIS, Greenbelt, MD, James J. Gurka, NOAA/NESDIS Silver Spring, MD and Mat M. Gunshor and Jun Li, University of Wisconsin-Madison/CIMSS, Madison, WI.
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0200 PM Improved Resolution and Consistency in the Quest for Better Utilization of GOES Sounder Products.
Gary S. Wade, NOAA/NESDIS, Madison, WI, Scott Bachmeier, NOAA/NWS Madison, WI, James P. Nelson III and Sarah T. Bedka, University of Wisconsin-Madison/CIMSS, Madison, WI and Timothy J. Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS, Madison, WI.
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0215 PM RIDGE - Radar Integrated Display with Geospatial Elements. Planned Updates and Enhancements to the NWS New Radar Webpage.
Keith Stellman and Paul Kirkwood, NOAA/NWS Southern Region, Fort Worth, TX, Jason Burks, NOAA/NWS Huntsville, AL, Tim Brice, NOAA/NWS El Paso, TX. and Ken Pavelle, NOAA/NWS Silver Spring, MD.
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0230 PM Dual-polarimetric WSR-88D Radar Algorithms.
Kevin A. Scharfenberg, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, OK.
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0245 PM Status on the Integration of the NSSL Four-dimensional Stormcell Investigator (FSI) into AWIPS.
Gregory J. Stumpf, NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL) and University of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK, F. Thomas Filiaggi, NOAA/NWS Silver Spring, MD, Michael A. Magsig, NOAA/NWS/WDTB, Norman, OK, Kurt D. Hondl, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK and Stephan B. Smith, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD.
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0300 PM Site-Specific Scanning Strategies for WSR-88Ds: Planning for Field Tests.
Rodger A. Brown, (NWA Publications Committee Co-chair) NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, OK and Randy M. Steadham, NOAA/NWS Radar Operations Center, Norman, OK.
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0315 PM Refreshment Break; Exhibits open in Ballrooms A & B and POSTER SESSION I continues

SESSION: WEATHER ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING
Session Chair: Jeffrey P. Craven, (NWA Councilor and Co-chair of the Weather Analysis and Forecasting Committee) NOAA/NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI.

0345 PM Model Flip-Flops and Forecast Opportunities.
Bernard N. Meisner, NOAA/NWS Southern Region, Fort Worth, TX.
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0400 PM The Enhanced Short-Term Forecast Program at WFO Charleston WV.
Alan Rezek and Jeffrey Hovis, NOAA/NWS Charleston, WV.
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0415 PM Advancements in Surface Transportation Weather Practices and Technologies.
Paul Pisano, Federal Highway Administration, Washington, DC and Andrew Stern, Mitretek Systems, Inc., Falls Church, VA.
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0430 PM A Fingerprinting Technique for Major Weather Events.
Benjamin V. Root and Paul G. Knight, Penn State University, University Park, PA, Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWS State College, PA, Jeremy Ross, ZedX Inc., Bellefonte, PA and Steven Greybush, Penn State University, University Park, PA.
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0445 PM High-Resolution Analysis Products to Support Severe Weather and Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Threat Assessments over Florida.
Jonathan Case, ENSCO Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL and Scott Spratt and David Sharp, NOAA/NWS Melbourne, FL.
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0500 PM An Operational Configuration of the ARPS Data Analysis System to Initialize WRF in the NWS Environmental Modeling System.
Jonathan Case, ENSCO Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL, Peter Blottman, NOAA/NWS Melbourne, FL, Timothy Oram (NWA IT Committee Chair) and Brian Hoeth, NOAA/NWS Spaceflight Meteorology Group (SMG) Johnson Space Center, TX.
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0515 PM Easy Deployment of the WRF Model with Parallel Computing Using Non-Dedicated PCs.
Braden Ward and Shing Yoh, Kean University, Union, NJ.
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0530 PM Session ends; Administrative announcements. Exhibits tear down.

0600 PM NWA Registration/Information desk closes.

0630 PM NWA Council and Committee Chairs dinner and business meeting (Room 207)

Wednesday, 18 October 2006 - Annual Meeting General Sessions

0730 AM NWA Registration/Information Desk opens at the InterContinental Hotel on the 2nd floor in the foyer of the Ballroom.

0740 AM Weather Briefing (Ballroom C)

SESSION: FLASH FLOOD/HYDROLOGY
Session Chair: Bernard N. Meisner, NOAA/NWS Southern Region, Fort Worth, TX.

0800 AM Invited Presentation - Hydrometeorological Training: What Makes a Flood a Flash Flood.
Matthew Kelsch, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO and Wendy Abshire, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO.
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0830 AM Flash Flood Hot Spot Climatology: An Essential Tool for the Flash Flood Warning Process.
Michael Moneypenny, NOAA/NWS Raleigh, NC and Jamie Wirth, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC.
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0845 AM Observing the Flood Threat from Hurricane Ivan with the Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction (FFMP) Program.
Robert S. Davis, NOAA/NWS Pittsburgh, PA.
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0900 AM Revisiting Upper Tropospheric Lows and Their Interaction with the North American Monsoon: What is Next in Hypothesis Formulation and Testing.
Erik Pytlak, NOAA/NWS Tucson, AZ.
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0915 AM Dual-polarimetric radar in Operational Forecasting: An Overview.
Kevin A. Scharfenberg, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, OK.
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0930 AM A Subtle Heavy Rainfall Signature (SHARS) Event in Southeast Arizona: Ramifications of a Major Flash Flooding in an Urbanized Desert Environment.
Michael Schaffner and Erik Pytlak, NOAA/NWS Tucson, AZ
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0945 AM Coffee Break

1015 AM An Update on Satellite Derived Tropical Rainfall Potential (TRaP) and Blended Total Precipitable Water Products.
Sheldon J. Kusselson, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD and Dr. Stanley Kidder, CIRA/Colorado State University, Denver, CO.
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1030 AM An Operational Forecast Office Perspective of the National Weather Service Hydrologic Distributed Modeling System (HDMS).
Diane Cooper, NOAA/NWS ABRFC, Tulsa, OK.
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1045 AM Probabilistic Forecasts - Baseline Products for Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services.
David B. Reed, NOAA/NWS LMRFC Slidell, LA.
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1100 AM Invited Presentation - Dr. Richard W. Spinrad, NOAA Assistant Administrator for Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, Silver Spring, MD.
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1130 AM NWA Annual Awards Luncheon (Ballrooms A & B) includes a tribute to Rod Scofield and Jim Moore, NWA Past-presidents who died in 2006.

SESSION: PROFESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT
Session Chair: Dr. Gregory P. Byrd, (NWA Councilor) UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO.

0200 PM Walk in My Shoes: Unique Simulation Efforts at the 2006 National Severe Weather Workshop.
Elizabeth Quoetone (NWA Commissioner of Committees) NOAA/NWS/WDTB Norman, OK, Daphne LaDue and Paul Schlatter, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK, John McLaughlin (NWA Past-president), KCCI-TV, Des Moines, IA and Dave Freeman, KSNW-TV, Wichita, KS.
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0215 PM KU-OUR-METPACT Year II: Growth.
Paul J. Croft (NWA Past-president), Kean University, Union, NJ.
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SESSION: CLIMATOLOGICAL PERSPECTIVES
Session Chair: Dr. Gregory P. Byrd, (NWA Councilor) UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO.

0230 PM Discovery of the Primary Teleconnection Mechanism (PTM) - the Trigger Mechanism that Controls Recurring Cycles of the El Nino, Hurrican Landfalls and other Weather/Climate Cycles.
David Dilley, Global Weather Oscillations, Inc., Ocala, FL.
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0245 PM The Interannual and Interdecadal Variability in Hurricane Activity in the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific Oceans.
Tamera K. Latham, Trenton H. Magill, Anthony R. Lupo, Joseph V. Clark and Patrick S. Market (NWA Councilor), University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO.
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0300 PM An Informal Look at Some Tornado Related Statistical Trends.
Alan E. Gerard, (NWA President-elect and Co-chair of Publications Committee) NOAA/NWS Jackson, MS.
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0315 PM Trying to Clear up a Foggy Forecast.
Thomas L. Salem Jr., NOAA/NWS Glasgow, MT.
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0330 PM Refreshment Break and POSTER SESSION II


POSTERS:

P2.1 The COMET Planetary Boundary Layer Symposium: Options for Offering Advanced Meteorology Education at a Distance.
Bruce Muller, Joseph Lamos, and Gregory Byrd (NWA Councilor), UCAR/COMET Boulder, CO, and Brian Motta, NOAA/NWS, Boulder CO.

P2.2 NAM WRF Training Available from the Cooperative Program for Meteorological Education and Training (COMET).
William R. Bua, Stephen D. Jascourt, and Gregory Byrd, UCAR/COMET Boulder, CO.

P2.3 Hurricane Katrina - Backup Operations by the Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center.
David B. Reed, NOAA/NWS LMRFC Slidell, LA.

P2.4 The North American Monsoon System: Integrating Findings from NAME 2004 into Conceptual Forecasting Models.
Erik Pytlak, NOAA/NWS Tucson, AZ.

P2.5 A Climatology of Seasonal Variability in Flight Categories for Selected Airports in Northern and Central Virginia, Northeastern Maryland and Eastern West Virginia.
Katherine A. LaBelle, Penn State University, University Park, PA and Roger Smith, NOAA/NWS Sterling, VA.

P2.6 Comparison of CAD Events at DCA/BWI/IAD Which Produce Low Ceilings and Low Visibilities and CAD Events That Produce Ceilings and Visibilities which Have a Lesser Impact on Aviation.
Katherine A. LaBelle, Penn State University, University Park, PA and Roger Smith, NOAA/NWS Sterling, VA.

P2.7 Comparison of NAM and GFS Model Turbulence Index Performance Based on Analysis of Pilot Reports.
Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA/NESDIS (retired), Granby, CT.

P2.8 Analysis of Rapidly Developing Low Cloud Ceilings in a Stable Environment.
William H. Bauman III, Joe H. Barrett III, Jonathan L. Case and Mark M. Wheeler, ENSCO, Inc/Applied Meteorology Unit, Cocoa Beach, FL, and G. Wayne Baggett, NOAA/NWS Spaceflight Meteorology Group, Johnson Space Center, TX.

P2.9 Early Detection of the April 5, 2005 Anatahan Volcano Eruption using the Guam WSR-88D.
Timothy P. Hendricks, NOAA/NWS Barrigada, GU.

P2.10 Cold-Season Coupled Upper-Level Jet Streaks in the Northeastern U.S. Part I: Weak Dynamic Cases.
Scott M. Rochette, State University of New York, Brockport, NY, Chad M. Gravelle, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO and Thomas A. Niziol, NOAA/NWS Buffalo, NY.

P2.11 Cold-Season Coupled Upper-Level Jet Streaks in the Northeastern U.S. Part II: Strong Dynamic Cases.
Scott M. Rochette, State University of New York, Brockport, NY, Chad M. Gravelle, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO and Thomas A. Niziol, NOAA/NWS Buffalo, NY.

P2.12 GOES Winter Precipitation Efficiency Algorithm.
Robert Rabin, NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms Laboratory and CIMSS, Madison, WI and Jay W. Hanna, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD.

P2.13 The Record Setting Snowfall in New York City on February 11-12, 2006.
Nelson Vaz and Chris Jacobson, NOAA/NWS Upton, NY.

P2.14 A Diagnostic Analysis of Mesoscale Snow Bands, Which Occurred on 26 February 2003.
Michael J. Paddock, Charles E. Graves and the late James T. Moore (NWA Past-president), Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO.

P2.15 A Conceptual Model Depicting Processes Important for the Generation of Meso-Beta Scale Snow Bands.
Michael Paddock, Charles E. Graves and the late James T. Moore, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, MO.

P2.16 An Objective Guidance for Forecasting Lake-Effect Precipitation Based on Topographical Forcing Downwind of Lake Erie.
Kerry Moyer and Rebecca Byars, Edinboro University of Pennsylvania, Edinboro, PA.

P2.17 A Case Study of the Great Plains Blizzard of 27-28 November 2005.
Brian Pettegrew, University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO, John Stoppkotte, NOAA/NWS North Platte, NE, and Patrick Market (NWA Councilor), Chris Melick and Amy Becker, University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO.

P2.18 An Investigation of the Radar Characteristics and the Environment of a Mesoscale Snowband that Formed on 15 March 2004.
Emily Eisenacher, Charles E. Graves and the late James T. Moore, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO.

P2.19 Investigating Stability Evolution of Snowstorms Featuring Lightning.
Larry L. Smith, NOAA/NWS Medford, OR and Patrick S. Market (NWA Councilor), University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO.

P2.20 Tornadoes From the Sun.
W. P. Sokeland, Oakland City, IN.

P2.21 Hurricanes From the Sun.
W. P. Sokeland, Oakland City, IN.

P2.22 A Thermodynamic Comparison of Two November Tornado Outbreaks in Alabama.
Kristin Scotten, Michael Scotten and Mark W. Rose, NOAA/NWS Birmingham, AL.

P2.23 A Cloud to Ground Lightning Climatology for the Lower Great Lakes: Implications for Sea Breeze and Lake Effect Precipitation Forecasting.
Scott M. Steiger, Ph.D., SUNY, Oswego, NY, Robert Hamilton, NOAA/NWS Buffalo, NY and Jason Keeler, SUNY, Oswego, NY.

P2.24 Inland Lake Surges Associated with Hurricanes Katrina and Rita.
Lance Wood, Dave Schwertz, and Bill Read (NWA Past-president) NOAA/NWS Houston, TX and Marty Pope, NOAA/NWS Jackson, MS.

P2.25 Graphically Depicting the Hazardous Weather in Southern Middle Tennessee and North Alabama.
Brian C. Carcione, Christopher P. Darden, John Mike Coyne, Timothy W. Troutman and Jason E. Burks NOAA/NWS Huntsville, AL.

P2.26 Characteristics of Cool Season Severe Environments in the Ohio Valley (1995-2006).
Bryan Smith and Chad Omitt, NOAA/NWS Indianapolis, IN and Jared Guyer, NOAA/NWS SPC Norman, OK.

P2.27 The Evansville Area Tornado.
Christine Wielgos and Patrick J. Spoden, NOAA/NWS Paducah, KY and Ron Przybylinski, NOAA/NWS Saint Louis, MO.

P2.28 A Thermodynamic Investigation of the Early Afternoon Wet Microburst Pre-Storm Environment over Southern Alabama and the Western Florida Panhandle.
Jeffrey M. Medlin and Jack Cullen, NOAA/NWS Mobile, AL.

P2.29 The Primary Teleconnection Mechanism (PTM) - Trigger Mechanism that Controls Recurring Cycles of the El Niño, Hurricane Landfalls and other Weather/Climate Cycles.
David Dilley, Global Weather Oscillations, Inc., Ocala, FL.



0500 PM Session ends; Administrative announcements

0530 PM NWA Registration/Information desk closes.

0600 PM NWA Council dinner and business meeting (Room 207)

Thursday, 19 October 2006 - Annual Meeting General Sessions

0730 AM NWA Registration/Information Desk opens at the InterContinental Hotel on the 2nd floor in the foyer of the Ballroom.

0740 AM Weather Briefing (Ballrooms A & B)

SESSION: WEATHER IMPACT ON AVIATION
Session Chair: Ron W. Przybylinski, NOAA/NWS Saint Louis, MO.

0800 AM Invited Presentation - The Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters' Missions and the 2005-2006 Tropical Cyclone Season.
Major John Gordon, United States Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters, Keesler AFB, MS.
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0830 AM Generation and Application of Gridded Aviation Forecast Parameters in GFE and AvnFPS.
Chris Leonardi, NOAA/NWS Charleston, WV.
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